TimeformUS Speed Figure Report for week ending Feb. 11, 2018
Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend’s graded stakes and releases the TimeformUS Speed Figures for these races.
Santa Anita
Grade 2 Santa Maria Stakes
1/2 137
3/4 137
Fin 131
Top 3: Unique Bella 133, Mopotism 120, Majestic Heat 105
Note: 2017 Eclipse-winning female sprinter remained undefeated in three starts around two turns; second-largest winning TimeformUS Speed Figure of 2018 thus far (Gun Runner, 141)
Grade 2 San Vicente Stakes
1/4 146
1/2 134
Fin 116
Top 3: Kanthaka 116, Nero 118, All Out Blitz 97
Note: Fractions red in TimeformUS PPs – hot pace; winner (11-1) had best TimeformUS Late Speed Rating in race projected to have a hot pace by Pace Projector
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Grade 3 Thunder Road Stakes
1/2 131
3/4 119
Fin 123
Top 3: Om 124, Bowies Hero 124, Next Shares 124
Note: Om opened up big seven-length lead after half-mile, dug in when challenged and hung on; fractional times appeared very fast, but two other races at same distance on the turf proved it was a very fast course
Gulfstream
Grade 1 Gulfstream Park Turf Stakes
1/2 128
3/4 134
Fin 125
Top 3: Heart to Heart 127, Kurilov 125, Hi Happy 125
Note: First Grade 1 win in eighth attempt for Heart to Heart, now 3 for 4 at nine furlongs; big effort from Chilean import Kurilov in first North American turf try, future looks promising
Grade 3 Suwannee River Stakes
1/2 124
3/4 129
Fin 120
Top 3: Elysea’s World 120, Dream Awhile 121, Ultra Brat 120
Note: Winner nearly overcame slow pace to win last out in Grade 3 Frankel when earning best last-race TimeformUS Speed Figure in the field, easily turned tables on Midnight Crossing in this one with more honest setup
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Tampa
Grade 3 Sam F. Davis Stakes
1/2 107
3/4 113
Fin 121
Top 3: Flameaway 118, Catholic Boy 118, Vino Rosso 117
Note: Fractions blue in TimeformUS PPs – slow pace; career-best TimeformUS Speed Figure for winner on move back to dirt after winning Kitten’s Joy Stakes last out on turf; odd running line for Vino Rosso, was up close, dropped back, then finished well
Grade 3 Tampa Bay Stakes
1/2 150
3/4 136
Fin 126
Top 3: World Approval 127, Forge 126, Fire Away 120
Note: Nice return for 2017 Breeders’ Cup Mile winner at 1-5 odds; big effort for Forge, best race since being imported from England – big year ahead
Grade 3 Endeavour Stakes
1/2 120
3/4 125
Fin 124
Top 3: Dona Bruja 124, La Coronel 119, Truly Together 117
Note: Top three betting choices finished in that order for a measly 10-1 trifecta; big rider upgrade for winner to 2017 Eclipse Award winner Jose Ortiz – wire-to-wire score was first time setting pace since shipping to United States from Argentina
Suncoast Stakes
1/2 99
3/4 92
Fin 89
Top 3: C. S. Incharge 89, Daisy 87, Mihrab 86
Note: Race was worth 10 points to winner for Kentucky Oaks standings; very slow race for 3-year-old stakes fillies, even this early in the year
Oaklawn
Martha Washington Stakes
1/2 99
3/4 108
Fin 105
Top 3: Red Ruby 105, Sassy Sienna 104, Cosmic Burst 97
Note: Winner has improved TimeformUS Speed Figure in each career start, all three at a mile or longer; run over sloppy track


