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Aqueduct

Taking a shot at a two-day carryover

David Grening|Dec 10, 2007
OZONE PARK, N.Y. - After the public choice won four of the first six races on Saturday, favorites at Aqueduct's inner track meet were batting a robust 44.8 percent. But longshots dominated the next 12 races at the Big A, resulting in a two-day pick-six carryover of $205,698 entering Wednesday's card.

Wednesday's pick six consists of five races for 2-year-olds including the $75,000 Capote Stakes at six furlongs. Wet conditions could complicate matters, as it rained Monday and more showers were forecast Tuesday night into early Wednesday.

Here's a look at the sequence:

Race 4 - A potential single is Constance, who chased the likes of graded stakes winners Irish Smoke and Indian Blessing in two maiden races at Saratoga. She missed some time due to a significant skin disease, according to assistant trainer Seth Benzel. Constance has been training well for her return and if she can avoid a speed duel with the returning False Pretense, she should win. Lion's Maddy ran second to overnight stakes winner Throbbin' Heart two back in the mud. She is a full-sister to Maddy's Lion, who won a stakes over the inner track at age 3 and finished second here Sunday.

Race 5 - You probably have to go at least four deep in here with Ricardo A, the coupled entry of Doc Cheney and He's a Pioneer (preferring the latter), Taking the Redeye, and Don't Park Now.

Ricardo A returns to the inner track where he earned a career-best 102 Beyer Speed Figure at this $35,000 claiming level in March. He must overcome an outside draw. He's a Pioneer was competitive with better and takes another drop while entrymate Doc Cheney was eased and vanned off racing at this level when claimed by trainer Enrique Arroyo off of Nick Zito on Oct. 7.

Doc Cheney shows a series of steady works.

Taking the Redeye defeated cheaper on the inner last out, but did it nicely and has run well on wet surfaces. Don't Park Now beat Taking the Redeye and Ricardo A last out in the mud over the main track.

Race 6 - Trainer Rick Violette bats a healthy 22 percent with horses dropping into maiden claimers from maiden special weight, a move he is doing with Overheated in this six-furlong heat. Bomber D Back has two good races in the mud, including a second at this level over the main track.

Race 7 - It's a starter allowance for 2-year-olds who won a maiden race for a $50,000 claiming tag or less, and it figures to come down to Dr. W and the Michael Dubb and Sanford Goldfarb-owned entry of Double or Nothing and Touch the Devil.

Dr. W was beaten a neck in a similar spot by Possibi, who came back to win a first-level allowance at Turfway Park by 6 1/2 lengths.

Race 8 - It's an extremely competitive running of the $75,000 Capote for 2-year-old colts.

Possetothemax is already a minor stakes winner and looms the proverbial speed of the speed from the rail in his first start for David Fawkes, a Calder-based trainer spending his first winter in New York. Fawkes said this horse is in New York because of the speed-favoring nature of the inner track. The final furlong is a concern.

All Expenses Paid is 2 for 2 on off tracks and had misfortune of facing highly-regarded Etched three back. Bettors with deeper pockets might add Red Reef, 2 for 2 for trainer Tony Dutrow.

Race 9 - If we made it this far, we most likely would be alive with only Wishful Tomcat, a son of Tactical Cat who stretches out for trainer Gary Contessa.

Bigger ticket-buyers might want to add Post Exchange, who gets blinkers and stretches out for trainer Kiaran McLaughlin.

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