Spa Babies for 8/12

Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Saturdays results:
Race 2: The Leopard finished first
Race 5: Midnight Slammer finished first

Sunday, August 12, 2007
Race 5
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Matchless Orinda (Sky Mesa Perfectly Stunning, by Silver Deputy)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 18, 2005 in Kentucky
- $140,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $375,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- out juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (6-3-1-1, $633,076, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 1-9 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sires debut winner came in maiden special weight over Polytrack
- dam was a sprint winner (10-3-1-1, $92,405, unraced at two, 3-9 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- this is dams first foal (cost $1,250,000 as a yearling)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Master Print (37-4-7-5, $89,500, 1-6 at two, 4-30 in dirt sprints, 2-6 in mud/slop), stakes-winning sprinter Wardrobe Test (14-5-3-1, $87,747, 0-1 at two, 5-13 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), Grade 3 sprint winner Farmonthefreeway (56-17-6-13, $486,929, 2-5 at two, won debut, 9-34 in dirt sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop), and stakes-winning sprinter Scarlet Rage (30-7-4-2, $126,618, unraced at two, all races sprinting, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- Silver Deputy is the broodmare sire of five debut winners this year
- trainer is 89-379 (23%, $1.69 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 22-91 (24%, $1.66 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has 17 debut winners this year (one at this meet, 11 on dirt, 12 in open maiden special weight, all with Lasix, nine with John Velazquez aboard, 12 juvenile debut winners)
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale
- July 21 workout went .04 faster than barns juvenile Mr. Shortcake (73 Beyer top)

2. Wish Me Success (Successful Appeal Basque N the Storm, by Mystery Storm)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled February 9, 2005 in Florida
- $40,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- withdrawn yearling (OBS August 2006)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $125,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Shes a Stormin (17-1-4-3, $26,701, 1-6 at two, 1-17 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (22-8-2-4, $654,681, 3-6 at two, 7-13 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop
- sire is 18-76 (24%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, one on dirt, both in maiden claimers)
- dam was a winner (33-8-6-3, $149,005, 4-14 at two, 4-17 in dirt sprints, 2-6 in mud/slop, cost $5,500 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- second dam a winning half-sister to stakes-winner Maison Maestro (33-3-6-3, $86,082, 1-2 at two, 1-12 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- Mystery Storm is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 14-95 (15%, $2.38 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-26 (4%, $0.27 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (with Lasix on turf in maiden special weight)
- worked a furlong in 10.60, and another furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale

3. Go Samantha Go (Holy Bull My Top Saint, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: Dale Romans
- Foaled February 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (16-13-0-0, $2,481,760, 4-4 at two, 5-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 14-231 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has five debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, four on dirt, four in maiden special weight)
- dam was a sprint winner (32-4-7-1, $126,116, 2-4 at two, 4-30 in dirt sprints, 1-7 in mud/slop)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- second dam an unraced half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Tea for Top (56-6-12-11, $147,897, 2-9 at two, 2-9 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- Saint Ballado is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 26-187 (14%, $1.56 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-15 (20%, $2.31 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has six debut winners this year (one at this meet for this owner, five on dirt, four in open maiden special weight, all with Lasix, three juvenile debut winners)
- August 1 workout matches barns juvenile filly All the Rightnotes (finished sixth in career debut on August 10 with 4 Beyer)

4. Liza Lu (Menifee Chamrousse, by Peaks and Valleys)
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
- Foaled April 22, 2005 in Kentucky
- $210,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (11-5-4-1, $1,732,000, 2-2 at two, 3-3 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 17-107 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has eight debut winners this year (four juvenile debut winners, seven on dirt, six in maiden special weight)
- dam was a Grade 2 route winner (17-4-2-6, $359,585, 1-1 at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- this is dams first foal
- second dam is a route-winning half-sister to Grade 2 winner The Names Jimmy (22-6-3-2, $403,914, 2-6 at two, won debut, 3-7 in dirt sprints), and stakes-placed juvenile Endear (17-1-2-3, $38,211, 1-5 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 9-97 (9%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-21 (10%, $0.87 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has four olderdebut winners this year (three on dirt, all in maiden special weight, all with Lasix, two with Alan Garcia aboard)
- July 6 workout went .04 slower than barns five-year-old Museeb (finished third in the Bold Venture Stakes over Woodbines polytrack on July 22 with 95 Beyer)
- July 28, August 4 workouts match barns juvenile Big Stick (finished sixth in career debut yesterday with 65 Beyer)

5. Namastes Wish (Pulpit Copelans Bid Gal, by Copelan)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled February 8, 2005 in Kentucky
- $600,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- full sister to Grade 1 route winner Purge (15-6-1-2, $905,434, 1-1 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to stakes-placed (Mexico) Boca Di Leone (9-2-1-2, $9,528, 0-1 at two, 2-7 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 68-400 (17%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (12-5-0-0, $84,579, 2-4 at two, 5-11 in dirt sprints, 3-3 in mud/slop, cost $8,000 as a yearling, and $16,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four foals of racing age, four runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Valid Wager (16-5-5-0, $306,020, 3-7 at two, 3-10 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed sprinter Mrs. Cav is Here (16-2-7-0, $59,680, unraced at two, 1-14 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 2-15 (13%) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 1-2 (50%) with that angle at Saratoga

6. Porte Bonheur (Hennessy Sous Entendu, by Shadeed)
Trainer: David Duggan
- Foaled May 11, 2005 in Kentucky
- $250,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to multiple turf stakes-winner (France) Banafsajee (12-5-1-2, $98,648, unraced in dirt sprints), and Group 2 turf winner (Germany) Slip Stream (20-3-2-1, $161,792, 1-1 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-4-3-0, $580,400, all races at two, 4-6 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 24-203 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two juvenile debut winners this year, one on dirt, both in maiden special weight)
- dam was Group 3-placed on turf in France (12-1-2-1, $36,112, winless at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam has ten foals of racing age, seven runners, three winners, five juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Air Dancer (23-4-7-1, $123,649, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), Group 2 juvenile turf winner Bitooh (France), and turf stakes-winner Monaassabaat (England, 1-5 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners

7. Hanna Banana (Officer Native Hanna, by Our Native)
Trainer: Frank Alexander
- Foaled May 1, 2005 in Kentucky
- $50,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- $90,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Royal Senorita (18-3-2-4, $13,340, 1-5 at two, 1-10 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winning sprinter Stormin Hanna (50-6-5-8, $329,489, 3-11 at two, 6-39 in dirt sprints, 1-10 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (9-6-1-1, $804,090, 5-8 at two, 5-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 36-159 (23%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (22-2-2-3, $28,111, 0-3 at two, 2-20 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop, cost $57,000 as a yearling)
- dam has 11 runners of racing age, 10 runners, five winners, five juvenile runners, three juvenile winners
- second dam a turf-winning half-sister to turf stakes-winner Vieux Carre (France)
- trainer is 3-42 (7%, $1.75 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juvenile runners
- trainer is 2-15 (13%, $3.93 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- worked one furlong in 10.40, and another furlong in 10.40 prior to the April sale

8. Banner Day (A.P. Indy Gold Streamer, by Forty Niner)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled January 20, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 32-270 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has three debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, one at this meet, all in maiden special weight)
- A.P. Indy Forty Niner nick has produced multiple Grade 2 winner Indian Vale (11-7-0-0, $678,601, unraced at two, won debut, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam was a multiple route winner (17-5-2-2, $182,385, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed router A. P. Five Hundred (7-1-0-4, $122,735, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- Forty Niner is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 11-69 (16%, $2.47 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-19 (5%, $1.23 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three debut winners this year (one at this meet, one on dirt, all in maiden special weight, one with Lasix, two juvenile debut winners, one for this owner)

9. Cozy Mesa (Sky Mesa Cozy Island, by Cozzene)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled February 3, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (6-3-1-1, $633,076, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-21 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was Grade 2-placed (15-3-6-2, $160,444, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- this is dams first foal
- second dam a turf-winning half-sister to multiple Grade 3-placed turfer Hawk Spell
- trainer has 80-711 (11%, $0.98 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on dirt
- trainer is 10-124 (8%, $0.64 ROI) with Spa Babies on dirt

10. Raw Silk (Malibu Moon Silken Sash, by Danehill)
Trainer: Thomas Albertrani
- Foaled February 10, 2005 in Kentucky
- $460,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- sire was a sprint winner at two (2-1-1-0, $33,840, all races sprinting at two)
- sire is 16-96 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has six debut winners this year (five juvenile debut winners, two on dirt, four in open maiden special weight)
- dam was a turf winner in Europe (8-1-2-1, $11,917, 0-4 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprint)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- second dam is juvenile turf stakes-winner (Ireland) Flame Violet (6-3-0-0, $50,672, all races at two, won debut, unraced in dirt sprints)
- Danehill is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 2-37 (5%, $1.16 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-17 (6%, $0.40 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has four older debut winners this year (all on dirt, two in maiden special weight, two with Lasix, one with blinkers, one with Prado, one for this owner)
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale
- July 20 workout went .02 slower than barns three-year-old filly Boxitup (47 dirt Beyer, 73 on turf)

Analysis:
BANNER DAY has tons of class in her pedigree, and trainer Rusty Arnold sent out Morakami to win her debut at this meet off a similar light worktab.
COZY MESA disappointed in her Spa race after a good try against the bias in the faster division of maiden special weights at Churchill. Should show good early speed in this spot. WISH ME SUCCESS is by a top first-out sire, and shows steady workouts for barn that got first meet win yesterday. LIZA LU sold very well last year, and this barn is having an excellent Spa meeting.
MATCHLESS ORINDA shows good works for the always-dangerous Pletcher barn. She wouldn't be a surprise at all. HANNA BANANA didn't have an easy trip after breaking from difficult inside post, and should benefit with that experience under her girth. RAW SILK attracts Prado for top connections, but must avoid a wide trip from the far outside.

Selections:
1. Banner Day
2. Cozy Mesa
3. Wish Me Success

The play: Banner Day to win and place (6-1 odds or more)

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 25-5-11 (-$23.80)