Saturday TimeformUS Highlight Horse: No So Quiet Man’s last effort not as bad as it appears

Belmont Park | Race 8 | Post Time 5:13 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs

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Outrageous Bet (#4) comes off the best last-out performance as he lost by only a head against a tougher field at this level. His overall form is a bit spotty, but he is certainly capable of beating this field on his best day. I’m using him, but other runner out of that Aug. 19 race interests me more.

NOT SO QUIET MAN (#3) got a very peculiar trip in that race. He actually broke very well and was in the first flight of horses soon after the start. However, Javier Castellano seemed to be content to let him drop back through the pack through the following furlongs, ultimately getting shuffled back to last on the far turn. Castellano is not the kind of rider to so willingly let horses lose position like that, and I didn’t see any apparent reason for him to stop riding aggressively. No So Quiet Man actually had some run once they got into the stretch, but he was behind horses and had to alter course.

He’s clearly better than that, and his prior form at Monmouth suggests that he was actually getting back to some of his better races. I like that they’re bringing him back at the same level again with Castellano aboard, and the slight stretch-out to 6 furlongs may work in his favor.

The other horse to use is Jupiter Rising (#1), who probably will benefit from the turnback to sprinting on turf. His recent form is less than desirable, but he seems to be landing in an unusually soft spot.

THE PLAY

Win: 3

Exacta Key Box: 3 with 1,4,8

Trifecta: 3 with 1,4 with 1,4,6,8