Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for July 28

RACE 2

1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $85,000

1. MACAROON (Tapit - Fast Cookie, by Deputy Minister)
Sire 109-718 (15%) 2yo, 125-1076 (12%) turf; dam G2 route SW (557K, 1-7 at 2, 4-14 turf) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple 2yo G1 SW Midshipman (1.5M); barn 2-9 (22%) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo sprint-route turf MSW (1-3 Spa); perhaps more early speed here.

1A. DANCING HOUSE (Tapit - Tout Charmant, by Slewvescent)
Sire 31-250 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam multiple G1 SW (1.7M, 1-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint) with 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, FTS winner, 1-3 sprints); dam 1/2 G3 SW Forest Grove (281K); barn 9-49 (18%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

2. RAU BRECK (Mr. Greeley - Tawaaded, by Nashwan)
100K yearling; 1/2 multiple turf SP Sahaat (72K France), multiple G2 turf Shakis (1-2 at 2) by 37-375 (10%) 2yo FTS, 48-501 (10%) 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (13K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 8 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-6 turfers); dam 1/2 SP (South Africa) Andrea Dora; barn 1-14 (7%, $3.45 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 6/15, 7/22 works match Stroll to Victory (FTS Sat. R2); consider

3. RED CONSTITUTION (Bernardini - Creative Design, by Stravinsky)
52K yearling; sire 12-97 (12%) 2yo FTS, 3-111 (3%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from turf-winning dam (113K, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner, 1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 turf SW Apasionata Sonata (155K); barn 5-48 (10%, $3.39 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-2 turf).

4. SAMURAI'S HONOR (First Samurai - Trip, by Lord At War)
85K yearling; 1/2 2yo SW Passport (279K, 2-11 turf, FTS winner, 1st-turf winner) by 8-85 (9%) 2yo FTS, 10-85 (12%) 1st-turf sire; dam multiple G3 SW (888K, 0-1 at 2, 1-5 turf) with 3 winners from 4 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-4 turfers, 1 first-turf winner); dam 1/2 multiple SW Laity (223K); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route; 6/30 work matches Feels So Right (FTS Thurs. R5); solid pedigree

5. ILLAPA (Rock Hard Ten - Catinca, by Storm Cat)
70K weanling, 280K yearling; 1/2 2yo SW Managed Account (159K, FTS winner, 0-1 turf) by 14-115 (12%) 2yo FTS, 22-176 (13%) 1st-turf sire; dam G1 SW (864K, 0-1 at 2) with 3 winners from 6 runners (1-3 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 0-3 turfers); female family multiple G2 Hail Bold King (767K); barn 8-137 (6%) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-9 turf); 6/13 matches Art of the Game (4th FTS 33 Beyer dirt MSW 7/19); nice breeding; needs one?

6. MURMURE (Lemon Drop Kid - Melody Maiden, by Saint Ballado)
1/2 turf SP Skating (44K), turf SW Medolina (130K, 1-1 at 2, 1st-turf winner) by 26-232 (11%) 2yo FTS, 47-407 (12%) 1st-turf sire; SP dam (96K, 2-6 turf, 1st-turf winner) with 3 winners from 3 runners (1-1 2yos, FTS winner, 2-3 turf, 1 first-turf winner); female family 2yo G3 turf SW Lake Como; barn 6-37 (16%) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 7/1 work matches Mom's Quality (4th FTS 63 Beyer turf MSW 7/5); 7/15 work matches Candy Kitty (2nd 78 Beyer turf MSW 7/22); Pletcher always tough 1st-out.

7. SPANGLED BANNER (Tiz Wonderful - Eastern Ruckus, by Eastern Echo)
55K weanling; 1/2 multiple SW Ladyecho (381K, 2-6 at 2, 0-2 turf), G2-placed router Whatdreamsrmadeof (137K, 1-4 at 2, FTS winner) by 10-45 (22%) 2yo FTS, 2-26 (8%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 4 winners from 6 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 0-3 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Gold Star Deputy (416K); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS turf; 7/22 work went .03 faster Queen Regent (16 Tapeta Beyer).

8. STRIKING STYLE (Smart Strike - Rahy Dolly, by Rahy)
280K yearling; 1/2 G3 turf SP Aquitaine (112K, 0-2 at 2) by 51-364 (14%) 2yo FTS, 68-593 (11%) 1st-turf sire; dam G1 SP router at 2 (95K, FTS winner) with 3 winners from 4 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-3 turfers); dam 1/2 SP turf sprinter Pink Diamond (131K); barn 2-12 (17%, $5.72 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route (1-2 Spa); 6/22 work matches Jasper Lake (50 dirt Beyer)

9. MISS FROST (Curlin - Allencat, by Storm Cat)
57K RNA yearling, 105K 2yo after 2F work 22.2; 1/2 2yo turf SP Prizefighting (117K, Europe) by 16-99 (16%) 2yo, 3-26 (12%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 4 winners from 6 runners (2-4 2yos, 1-4 turfers; dam 1/2 turf SP Petrovich (England); barn 1-11 (9%) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo dirt/turf; winner of debut returned to place 4th in the Schuylerville; jock's 1st call

10. GRANNY MC'S KITTEN (Kitten's Joy - Granny Franny, by Grand Slam)
Full G2 turf SW Kitten's Dumplings (433K, 2-4 at 2, FTS winner, 1st-turf winner) by 32-179 (18%) 2yo FTS, 39-245 (16%) 1st-turf sire; dam route winner (68K, 0-1 at 2, 0-4 turf) with 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 2yos, FTS winner, 1-2 turfers, 1 first-turf winner); barn 5-26 (19%, $2.11 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf route Spa; 6/10 work .05 faster Ready to Act (1st 73 Beyer 7/22 turf MSW); jock's 1st call

11. PROVE IT ALL NIGHT (Pomeroy - Funky Fraulein, by Sligo Bay)
8.5K yearling; sire 10-82 (12%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP Kimme a Star (173K); barn 3-25 (12%, $2.01 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint (0-4 Spa); jock's 2nd call.

12. OCEAN BOULEVARD (Fusaichi Pegasus - Adorable Jane, by Tale of the Cat)
Sire 114-785 (15%) 2yos; SW dam (184K, 0-3 at 2, 2-5 sprints) has 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 route SW Susan's Angel (350K); barn 0-16 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos/1st-time Lasix MSW dirt sprints; jock's 2nd call

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. Granny Mc's Kitten
2. Striking Style
3. Samurai's Honor

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Granny Mc's Kitten to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.