Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 7

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Race 1

1. OTOY (Bernstein - Pennyhill, by Saint Ballado)
52K short yearling, 50K yearling, 18K 2yo after 1F work 10.4; sire 32-257 (12%) 2yo FTS, 41-310 (13%) 1st-turf sire; dam won sprinting (15K, 0-1 turf) and has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 SP router Penny Perfect (98K); this is barn's 1st debut runner over past 5 years; big price expected on solid pedigree.

2. MACK MILLER (Yes It's True - Raspberry Eggcream, by Time for a Change)
42K yearling, 120K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 G3 route SW Electrify (666K, 3-4 at 2, FTS winner, 0-1 turf), SW Cream Only (133K, 1-6 at 2, 1-3 turf), 2yo SP sprinter Kinsey (134K, 2-7 at 2), G3 SW sprinter Rothko (281K) by 59-400 (15%) 2yo FTS, 18-321 (6%) 1st-turf sire; unplaced dam (0-3 at 2) has 8 winners from 10 runners (3-7 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-4 turfers); dam 1/2 G3 SW sprinter Kazoo (637K, 2-5 at 2, 0-2 turf), SP Daddy Joe (263K, 1-5 at 2, 0-8 turf), G3 turf SP Lemon Cream Pie (150K, 0-2 at 2, 3-21 turf); barn 2-12 (17%, $1.78 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint Spa; 6/4 work matches Corfu (1st FTS MSW dirt 80 Beyer 7/25); 6/24 work matches Bashart (3rd FTS MSW turf 61 Beyer 7/12).

3. MORE THAN CLASSIC (More Than Ready - Classic West, by Gone West)
100K short yearling, 110K RNA yearling, 120K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 44-384 (11%) 2yo FTS, 70-491 (14%) 1st-turf sire; 1st starter from sprint-placed dam (0-1 turf); dam full G3 SP M. A. Fox (93K, 0-2 turf); dam 1/2 G1 SP router Watching You 136K, 1-3 at 2, FTS winner); barn 3-17 (18%, $1.20 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; solid pedigree.

4. CATFIVE (Smart Strike - Cat Charmer, by Storm Cat)
3K yearling; sire 51-365 (14%) 2yo FTS, 68-596 (11%) 1st-turf; turf SW dam (121K, 1-2 at 2, 2-6 turf, 1st-turf winner) has 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 turfers); dam 1/2 multiple G1 SP router Impeachment (350K, 1-1 at 2); barn 4-13 (31%, $2.44 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-1 on turf); 6/12 Work matches Brianna Nicole (2nd 16K MCL turf 59 Beyer 6/19); 6/12 work went .01 faster than Justin Nguyen (2nd FTS MSW dirt 71 Beyer 7/27); 6/27 work matches Justin Nguyen; 7/6 work went .01 slower than Justin Nguyen.

5. ALL CASH (English Channel - Andover the Money, by Dynaformer)
1/2 multiple SP Andover the Cash (171K, 2-28 turf), multiple SW Spenditallbaby (469K, 2-9 at 2, 3-17 turf), 2yo route SW Runforthemoneybaby (187K, 2-6 at 2, 0-3 turf) by 6-66 (9%) 2yo FTS, 19-104 (18%) 1st-turf sire; dam won turf (179K, 4-22 turf) with 5 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 4-5 turfers); 3rd dam SW Margie's Toy (63K); barn 1-14 (7%, $4.07 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS turf (0-4 sprint); strong turf bloodlines.

6. LITTLE BOSS (Street Boss - Golden Rhythm, by Rhythm)
32K RNA weanling, 40K yearling; sire 11-53 (21%) 2yo FTS, 8-34 (24%) 1st-turf sire; multiple turf SW dam (242K, 0-4 at 2, 9-31 turf) has 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-2 with turfers); 2nd dam multiple SW Double O J (88K, 3-7 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 7/7 work matches Smart Cover (1st MSW turf ELP 59 Beyer 7/28); quick local drills.

7. WAR HAWK (War Front - Surveil, by Kingmambo)
300K yearling; sire 4-78 (5%) 2yo FTS, 14-100 (14%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-2 turf France); 2nd dam G3 SW Watch (610K, 8-20 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 3-31 (10%, $1.08 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint (0-3 Spa); 7/26 work matches Aireofdistinction (3rd MSW turf 80 Beyer 7/29); expecting good effort.

8. BELLY OF THE WHALE (Red Giant - Miss Nashwan, by Nashwan)
Sire 1-9 (11%) 2yo FTS, 0-10 1st-turf; dam won G3 on turf Italy (107K, 1-1 at 2, 3-18 turf, 1st-turf winner) and has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with turfers); 2nd dam G3 turf SW Miss Carolina (Italy, 257K, 1-3 at 2, FTS winner, 9-18 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 4-18 (22%, $1.86 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint (0-3 Spa).

9. FLYING JOE (Sightseeing - American Flier, by Quiet American)
19K yearling, 65K 2yo after 2F work 22.1; 1/2 multiple G3 SW Flying Glitter (597K, 1-2 at 2, 2-9 sprint) by 2-27 (7%) 2yo FTS sire; SP dam (90K, 2-13 sprint) has 7 winners from 8 runners (3-6 with 2yos, 4-8 sprint); dam full SW American Heiress (50K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 1-2 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple SW Joe's Son Joey (441K, 1-3 at 2, 2-11 sprint); barn 1-32 (3%, $1.10 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

SELECTIONS:
1. War Hawk
2. All Cash
3. Otoy

THE PLAY:
War Hawk - All Cash EXACTA
War Hawk - Otoy EXACTA