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Saratoga

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 5

Dan Illman|Aug 04, 2013
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RACE 3
7 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $80,000

1. KINGOFGOLDSTREET (Street Cry - In the Gold, by Golden Missile)
Sire 44-323 (14%) 2yos; G1 SW dam (745K, 1-4 at 2, 1-5 sprint) has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 1-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter High Blitz (430K, 12-30 sprint); barn 1-5 (20%, $0.72 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yo/1st-time Lasix MSW dirt sprint (0-3 at Spa); raced greenly in debut and is stuck down inside.

1a. SOUPERFAST (Broken Vow - Playa Maya, by Arch)
500K yearling; 1/2 multiple 2yo G1 route SW Uncle Mo (1.6M, 3-3 at 2, FTS winner, 1-2 sprint) by 34-312 (11%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple SP dam (81K) has 3 winners from 3 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-3 sprinters); female family G3 SW router Woods of Windsor (197K, 1-3 at 2, 0-10 sprint); barn 0-41 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/4 work matches Ma Billet Doux (7th FTS turf MSW 55 Beyer 7/22; MTO Sun R2); 7/21 work matches Quilt (2nd FTS MSW 58 Beyer 7/31)

2. CHISHOLM (Congrats - Icy Warning, by Caveat)
400K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 route SW Devotion Unbridled (163K, 0-1 sprint), multiple turf SW Snow Cone (353K, 2-7 at 2, 0-3 sprint) by 16-123 (13%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple SW dam (516K, 2-12 at 2, 1-9 sprint) has 8 winners from 10 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-9 with sprinters); dam full G1 turf SW Ops Smile (785K, 0-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint), multiple SW Northern Flair (108K, 0-4 at 2, 0-3 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple SW Testing (530K, 1-1 sprint); barn 33-99 (33%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa); 6/10 work went .01 faster than uncoupled mate King Cyrus; 7/8 work went .04 slower than Pecorino (2nd FTS MSW 71 Beyer 7/22); 7/28 work matches King Cyrus; ran Saturday and likely to scratch.

3. HIGH RANSOM (Hard Spun - Ruby's Realm, by Empire Maker)
400K yearling; sire 7-91 (8%) with 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple G3 turf SW Sacred Song (England, 167K, 1-1 at 2), multiple G2 turf SW Strut the Stage (1.5M, 1-2 at 2, FTS winner); barn 1-34 (3%, $2.94 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 5/20 work matches Rooster Cruiser (6th FTS MSW 16 Beyer 7/25); 5/29, 6/6 works match Strong Mandate (5th FTS MSW 59 Beyer 7/22); 7/6 work matches Order of Magnitude (60 Beyer); 7/30 work matches Le Plume (FTS Sunday R5); strong turf bloodlines.

4. TIGHTLY BRIDLED (Unbridled's Song - Winning Bet, by Dixie Union)
250K yearling; 330K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 43-342 (13%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 SP sprinter New Way (120K, 5-12 sprint), multiple G2 SP router Treasure Island (96K, 1-1 at 2, 1-2 sprint), multiple G1 SW Finder's Fee (708K, 3-8 at 2, FTS winner, 5-17 sprint); barn 0-51 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/29 work matches A Touch of Poetry (3rd FTS MSW 69 Beyer 7/27)

5. ASLAN (A.P. Indy - Satin Kiss, by Seeking the Gold)
1/2 turf SP Spellwork (France, 53K, 0-1 at 2) by 175-1069 (16%) 2yo sire; winning dam (352K, 2-4 at 2, FTS winner, 0-1 sprint) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-1 sprinters); dam full 2yo G1 turf SW Lujain (England, 139K, 3-4 at 2, FTS winner), G1 SP sprinter Botanical (403K, 1-4 at 2, FTS winner, 2-17 sprint); dam 1/2 multiple turf SW Lilium (England, 2-3 at 2, FTS winner); barn 5-25 (20%, $1.96 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint (0-7 Spa); more distance helps; must improve.

6. KING CYRUS (Bellamy Road - Queen of Empire, by Empire Maker)
70K yearling; sire 6-66 (9%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-2 on turf); 3rd dam multiple G1 SW Dispute (1.1M, 1-2 at 2, FTS winner, 2-4 sprint); barn 33-99 (33%, $2.59 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa); 6/10 work went .01 slower than uncoupled mate Chisholm); 6/16 work matches Danza (1st FTS MSW 68 Beyer 7/12); 7/28 work matches Chisholm.

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SELECTIONS:
1, King Cyrus
2. Tightly Braided
3. Souperfast

THE PLAY:
King Cyrus to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.


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