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Saratoga

Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 23

Dan Illman|Aug 22, 2013

RACE 1

5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $80,000

1. HAVANA (Dunkirk - Missy Turtle, by Kyle's Our Man)
50K yearling, 575K 2yo after 1F work 9.3; 1/2 SP Among the Willows (67K, 4-18 sprint) by multiple G1 SP router (393K, 1-1 sprint, 1-17 with 2yo FTS); dam a sprint winner (103K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 4-24 sprint) with 3 winners from 5 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Chief J Strongbow (181K, 2-6 at 2, 6-26 sprint), SP sprinter Catsuit (85K, 1-6 at 2, 3-20 sprint), SW sprinter Egg Head (145K, 0-1 at 2, 4-6 sprint); barn 36-99 (36%, $2.76 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/15 work matches Seeking Her Glory (6th FTS MSW turf 66 Beyer 8/18); expecting speed from rail.

2. CHOMSKY (Distorted Humor - Meerkat Miss, by Giant's Causeway)
300K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; sire 57-337 (17%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple SP Catnip (123K, 1-5 at 2, 1-8 sprint), SP router Forty Nine Hearts (160K, 0-3 sprint), multiple G1 route SW Editor's Note (1.6M, 3-10 at 2, 2-6 sprint), multiple turf SW Catfriend (Europe), 2yo G1 turf SW Hold That Tiger (France, 644K, 3-5 at 2, won debut), SP Oneofacat (144K, 1-4 at 2, 1-8 sprint); barn 0-17 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 8/11 work matches Charlie's Picnic (76 Beyer); classy pedigree.

3. KOWBOY KING (Kodiak Kowboy - Kivi, by King of Kings)
100K yearling; 1/2 G1 turf sprint SW Regally Ready (1.2M, 2-7 dirt sprint) by multiple G1 SW (1.6M, 4-7 at 2, 10-20 sprint, 1-10 with 2yo FTS); dam turf SP (France, 50K, 0-2 at 2) with 3 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP Vilayet (France), turf SW Legend of Russia (167K, 0-1 at 2), turf SP Compton Dragon (England); barn 1-7 (14%, $0.92 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/12 work matches Viva Lad (2nd FTS MSW Tapeta 68 Beyer 7/25 PID); 7/19 work matches More Debt (9th FTS 50K MCL turf 53 Beyer 7/26); 8/5 work matches Livingston Street (9th 20K beaten claimer turf 66 Beyer 8/17); bred for speed, but lots of turf as well.

4. MISCHIEVIOUSLY (Indian Charlie - Illicit, by Mr. Prospector)
1/2 G3 turf SP Contentious (Germany, 94K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 sprint), multiple G2 route SW Gone Astray (1.1M, 1-4 at 2, 2-5 sprint) by 49-301 (16%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 2 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-5 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 route SW Smuggler (654K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 1-2 sprint); barn 0-19 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; classy bloodlines.

5. KENDALL'S BOY (Sky Mesa - Golden Damsel, by Gold Token)
100K yearling; 1/2 multiple SP Instant Style (149K, 0-2 at 2, 0-7 sprint) by 33-208 (16%) 2yo FTS sire; SW dam (241K, 1-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint) has 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW If It's Meant to B (130K, 0-3 at 2, 1-14 sprint); barn 22-50 (44%, $2.67 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint; interesting.

6. A TOUCH OF POETRY (Birdstone - Overandabeauty, by Grand Slam)
Sire 35-318 (11%) 2yos; 1st starter from multiple SP dam (159K, 1-2 at 2, 2-12 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Tapit (557K, 2-2 at 2); barn 1-12 (8%, $0.40 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; showed speed vs. Twang (next-out 7th in Saratoga Special); capable.

7. FINANCIAL MOGUL (Street Boss - Trav N' Kris, by Snow Chief)
185K weanling, 170K RNA yearling 1/2 G1 SP sprinter Bear in the Woods (210K, 0-5 sprint), SP sprinter Mr. Negotiator (79K, 1-6 at 2, 1-19 sprint), SP Cane Garden Bay (89K, 1-3 at 2, 2-17 sprints), SP sprinter Angry Bird (79K, 1-4 at 2, 3-15 sprint) by 26-144 (18%) 2yo sire; dam 2yo G2 sprint SP (68K, 0-5 at 2, 2-23 sprint) with 6 winners from 8 runners (4-6 with 2yos, 4-8 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SP Kelkyko (218K, 0-6 at 2, 3-18 sprint); barn 1-3 (33%, $2.13 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; bet hard and finished ahead of next-out 92-Beyer winner Strong Mandate; quick early.

8. FERLIN HUSKY (Mr. Greeley - Dattts R Girl Addy, by Vindication)
40K yearling, 105K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 37-380 (10%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from route winner (69K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint); dam 1/2 SW sprinter Urban Distraction (177K, 2-8 at 2, 5-18 sprint), multiple SW First Spear (365K, 1-3 at 2, 0-5 sprint); barn 0-39 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

9. ROBERTO GATO (Zensational - Cat News, by Storm Cat)
100K weanling, 175K yearling, 240K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 200K RNA 2yo after 2F work 21.4; 1/2 G2 route SW 2yo Publication (582K, 2-4 at 2, 6-22 sprint) by multiple G1 sprint SW (669k, 0-1 at 2, 5-7 sprint, 4-24 with 2yo); dam won sprint in slop (28K, 1-2 sprint) with 6 winners from 7 runners (2-6 with 2yos, 6-7 with sprinters); 2nd dam G1 route SP Paper Money (104K, 0-1 at 2, 0-3 sprint); barn 3-24 (13%, $2.87 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; troubled from rail vs. good group 8/10

SELECTIONS:
1. Kendall’s Boy
2. Mischieviously
3. Havana

THE PLAY:
Kendall’s Boy – Mischieviously EXACTA
Kendall’s Boy – Havana EXACTA

RACE 5
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $70,000

1. MAYBRYS CHALLENGE (Maybry's Boy - Miss Challenge, by More Than Ready)
Sire G3 sprint SW (322K, 1-5 at 2, 0-4 on turf, 2-4 with 2yo FTS, 1-4 first-turf); 1st starter from turf SW dam (124K, 0-2 at 2, 3-8 turf); dam 1/2 G2 sprint SW Ventana (383K, 1-5 at 2, won debut, 0-1 turf); barn 1-4 (25%, $3.60 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW turf sprint Spa; 8/5 work matches Pure Amour (78 turf Beyer); intriguing.

2. MOMMA'S MARK (Noonmark - Momma's Image, by Marquetry)
1/2 multiple turf SP Image of Noon (89K, 0-2 at 2, 1-6 turf) by G3 sprint SW (354K, 1-2 at 2, 0-6 with 2yos, 0-1 with 1st-turfers); dam won turf (33K, 0-1 at 2, 1-10 turf, 1st-turf winner) with 3 winners from 4 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 2-2 with turfers); dam full multiple SW sprinter To Marquet (198K, 1-4 at 2, 0-5 turf); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Pretty Imposing (276K, 0-1 at 2, 0-4 turf); barn 1-1 (100%, $10.80 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf SMSW sprint Spa; strong turf pedigree.

3. ZIGGY THE GREAT (Langfuhr - Michele the Great, by Distorted Humor)
65K yearling; sire 43-444 (10%) 2yo FTS, 53-613 (9%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from SP dam (148K, 1-4 at 2, 1-10 turf); 3rd dam is SP sprinter Mintullah (27K); barn 1-6 (17%, $2.06 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; 5/25, 5/31, 6/12, 6/19 works match So Lonesome (1st FTS SMSW dirt 63 Beyer 8/19); 5/31, 6/19, 6/26, 7/5, 7/15, 7/23 works match Hotspur Harriet (5th FTS 30k MCL dirt 30 Beyer DEL 7/31); 7/5 work matches Petie's Boy (3rd 25K MCL dirt 55 Beyer DEL 7/25)

4. HARBOR KING (Rockport Harbor - Wander Queen, by Kingmambo)
37K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 21-176 (12%) 2yo FTS, 7-130 (5%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 turf) has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 multiple SP turf sprinter Life Lesson (153K, 0-2 at 2, 2-12 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-9 past 5 years FTS.

5. PUSH UPS (Frost Giant - Malibu Morn, by Malibu Moon)
Sire 3-16 (19%) 2yo FTS, 0-16 with 1st-turfers; unraced dam has 3 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); female family multiple SW Jazzy One (249K, 1-2 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-10 (10%, $2.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS; solid bloodlines

6. PETE'S FLEET (Afleet Alex - Lenape Legend, by Dixie Union)
9K RNA yearling; sire 15-160 (9%) 2yo FTS, 10-163 (6%) 1st-turf; dam placed turf (11K, 0-1 at 2, 0-4 turf) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); dam 1/2 G3 SW Nonies Dancer Ali (165K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 0-3 turf), G2 route SW Regal Sanction (485K, 0-5 at 2, 0-5 turf); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2yo FTS turf

7. AINTEASYBEINGGREEN (Bring the Heat - High On Freud, by Freud)
Sire 44-190 (23%) 2yos, 36-189 (19%) turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 at 2); female family 2yo SP Rebecca's Gal (198K, 1-5 at 2, 0-6 turf); barn 7-15 (47%, $4.25 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW turf sprint; tired in open heat that produced next-out 69 Beyer graduate Marvin's Miracle; respect his speed.

8. METROPOLITAN STORM (Freud - Chanced, by American Chance)
Sire 88-611 (14%) 2yos, 29-218 (13%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from winning dam (203K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 turf); 3rd dam multiple SW Kitty Tatch (233K, 8-23 turf); barn 4-116 (3%, $0.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; sire gets some good turfers.

9. JUNGER (Freud - Devilish Max, by Gold Token)
Sire 88-611 (14%) 2yos, 29-218 (13%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 at 2) has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers; female family multiple SW Christina Czarina (293K, 2-5 at 2, 0-3 turf); barn 1-3 (33%, $4.06 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf SMSW sprints Spa; broke poorly in slop; too early to give up on just yet.

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. Maybrys Challenge
2. Metropolitan Storm
3. Junger
4. Momma’s Mark

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Maybrys Challenge to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater.


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