Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 15

RACE 3
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $80,000

1. ROOSTER CRUISER (Yes It's True - Pleasant Song, by Unbridled's Song)
Sire 201-1362 (15%) 2yos; 1st starter from turf-winning dam (0-3 sprints); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Nice Nelly (73K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint), turf SP Ms Pianist (54K, 1-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos adding blinkers on dirt; didn't do much in debut and is now stuck inside.

2. ROLL ALL KNIGHT (Bluegrass Cat - Miss Sand Bar, by Glitterman)
9K weanling, 52K yearling, 37K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 26-168 (15%) 2yo FTS; dam 2yo SP sprinter (94K, 3-9 at 2, 3-10 sprinting) with 3 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 3-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP Cheyenne Spirit (185K, 1-15 sprint); dam full SP Friday Meeting (49K, 1-8 sprint); barn 3-14 (21%, $7.94 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/20 work matches Flashy Sunrise (6th 100K OPC 84 Beyer 7/29); interesting.

3. PURE SENSATION (Zensational - Pure Disco, by Disco Rico)
Sire multiple G1 SW sprinter (669K, 0-1 at 2, 5-7 sprint, 3-15 (20%) 2yos); 1st starter from multiple SW dam (496K, 2-5 at 2, 7-25 sprints); dam full multiple SP turfer Captain Gaughen (87K, 0-8 at 2, 0-3 sprint); barn 2-9 (22%, $0.73 ROI) 2nd-out 2yo MSW dirt sprint; showed excellent speed and good courage when 2nd to Saratoga Special winner; very logical.

4. TONY B (Old Fashioned - Teruko, by Coronado's Quest)
100K yearling, 500K 2yo after 2F work 21.2; 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Safe Trip (275K, 0-1 at 2, 6-20 sprint) by 2yo G2 SW router (583K, 3-3 at 2, 1-1 sprint, 1-8, 13% 2yo FTS); dam route winner (22K, 0-3 sprint) with 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 SP router Erin Moor (130K, 2-5 at 2, 1-8 sprint), G3 SW sprinter Willa On the Move (363K, 6-9 sprint); barn 0-49 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 6/22, 7/18 works match Borseggiatore (8th FTS MSW 47 Beyer 8/10); 7/26 work went .01 slower than Tightly Bridled (5th FTS MSW 9 Beyer 8/5)

5. ENTHRONE (Northern Afleet - Pathtothecrown, by Giant's Causeway)
3K weanling, now with new ownership; sire 125-786 (16%) 2yos; dam won sprint (36K, 0-1 at 2, 1-3 sprint) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); 3rd dam SW My Dear Lady (52K, 2-3 at 2); barn 0-31 past 5 years 2yo MSW dirt sprint; chased next-out Vandal Stakes winner Go Greeley (70 Beyer) in the Colin; classy family, but caught tough field.

6. DARWIN'S DREAM (Old Fashioned - Destiny's Yield, by High Yield)
87K RNA yearling, 135K yearling; sire 2yo G2 SW router (583K, 3-3 at 2, 1-1 sprint, 1-8, 13%, 2yo FTS); dam won turf (7K, 0-2 at 2, 0-5 sprint) with 1 winner from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, FTS winner, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Brush Over (120K, 0-1 at 2, 3-5 sprint), multiple G3 SP sprinter Brushed On (424K, 2-9 at 2, 9-36 sprint), SP sprinter Singular Broad (26K, 1-4 at 2, 0-2 sprint); barn 0-17 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/12 work matches Ostentatious Me (3rd FTS MSW 50 Beyer IND 8/9)

7. DIVINE ENERGY (Tapit - Pure Symmetry, by Storm Cat)
390K yearling; sire 32-254 (13%) 2yo FTS; dam placed sprinting at 2 (14K, 0-6 at 2, 0-5 sprint) with 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Serena's Tune (337K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 3-5 sprint), SP Arbitrate (195K, 0-2 at 2, 1-8 sprint), G2 route SW Harlington (370K, 1-1 at 2); dam full G1 turf SW Sophisticat (443K, 1-8 at 2), G2 route SW Grand Reward (545K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 0-3 sprint), G3 turf SW Schramsberg (394K, 1-4 sprint); barn 35-97 (36%, $2.74 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; can't ignore.

8. PECORINO (Afleet Alex - Sandra's Song, by A.P. Indy)
70K short yearling, 77K yearling, 130K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 45-433 (10%) 2yo; SP dam (3-17, 130K, 0-1 sprint) has 2 winners from 5 runners (0-3 2yos, 1-5 sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 turf SW Big Booster (820K, 1-3 at 2); barn 6-36 (17%, $0.61 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-time 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; chased impressive winner; factor.

9. AARONS ORIENT (Orientate - Are U Being Served, by Jambalaya Jazz)
35K yearling, 75K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; sire 118-778 (15%) 2yos; unraced dam has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); 3rd dam G2 SW Geraldine's Storm (347K); barn 7-21 (33%, $3.22 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; showed good speed debut vs. Pure Sensation.

SELECTIONS:
1. Divine Energy
2. Pure Sensation
3. Roll All Knight

THE PLAY:
Divine Energy to WIN at 2-1 odds or greater

RACE 7

5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $70,000

1. LUCKY NANCY E. (Disco Rico - Beyond the Limit, by Unbridled)
Sire 8-79 (10%) 2yo FTS, 10-107 (9%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-2 at 2, 0-2 turf) has 5 winners from 6 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-3 with turfers); 3rd dam multiple G1 SW Missy's Mirage (2-4 at 2, won debut); barn 2-67 (3%, $0.46 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS; 6/28 work went .01 faster than Momma's Mark (6th FTS SMSW dirt 12 Beyer 8/2); 7/14 work went .01 slower than Momma's Mark; 7/22 work matches Momma's Mark

2. FLYING K C (Tale of the Cat - River Nore, by Archers Bay)
37K yearling RNA by 256-1411 (18%) 2yo, 55-539 (10%) 1st-turf sire; dam SW sprinter (188K, 1-2 at two, 0-2 turf) with 2 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 2-2 with turfers); 3rd dam multiple SW Fat Emma (225K, 0-3 turf); barn 1-12 (8%, $4.01 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; chased runaway in debut and can improve.

3. LIL' ZILLA (Noonmark - Jouled Rhythms, by Silver Deputy)
40K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; 1/2 multiple SP Blue Angel (170K, 1-3 at 2, 5-26 turf) by G3 sprint SW (354K, 1-2 at 2, 0-3 with 2yo FTS); dam won sprint (29K, 0-1 at 2) with 4 winners from 6 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 1-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Steal a Heart (569K, 6-13 turf); barn 1-5 (20%, $0.78 ROI) past 5 years 2yos FTS SMSW turf sprint Spa; 6/13 work went .04 slower than Lady Yellow Tail (70 turf Beyer); interesting.

4. ASPREE (Freud - Time Place, by Unbridled's Song)
7.5K yearling; sire 88-609 (14%) 2yo, 29-216 (13%) 1st-turf; unraced dam has 2 winners from 5 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers; 2nd dam is G2 Thirst for Peace (2-3 at 2, 0-7 turf); barn 1-2 (50%, $23.60 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yo dirt/turf; 8/3 work matches Fox Rox (4th SMSW dirt 43 Beyer 8/9); 8/9 work matches uncoupled mate Alwaysinstilettos; jock's 1st call; expect solid speed effort.

5. MAY SHARES (Stonesider - I Drink Alone, by Intidab)
20K weanling, 125K 2yos after 1F work 10.2; sire 0-28 with 2yo FTS, 0-24 1st-turf; dam won sprint (19K) with 1 winner from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 SW Pavo (304K, 2-5 at 2, 0-2 turf); barn 1-5 (20%, $0.78 ROI) past 5 years 2yos FTS SMSW turf sprint Spa; 7/11 work went .05 faster than Ale (4th OCL/SALW turf 78 Beyer 7/21); won't ignore.

6. TALK TO ME (A. P. Warrior - Deer Berry, by Deerhound)
1/2 multiple SP Wild Berry (254K, 2-6 at 2, 2-18 turf), SP router Berrytime (53K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 turf) and SP router Berry Bound (160K) by 22-176 (13%) 2yo, 1-44 (2%) 1st-turf sire; dam a winner (100K, 1-2 at 2, 4-10 turf, 1st-turf winner) 5 winners from 6 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 2-4 with turfers, 1 first-turf winner); 3rd dam multiple SW Cherry Berry (115K); barn 1-1 (100%, $129.40 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; finished ahead of some of these on dirt.

7. HANGINGWITHSONNY (First Samurai - Hangingbyamoment, by Thunder Gulch)
3/4 sis SW turf router Hangingbyathread (307K, 8-36 turf) by 40-293 (14%) 2yo, 10-88 (11%) 1st-turf; dam won on turf at 2 (39K, 1-5 at 2, 1-7 on turf, 1st-turf winner) and has 4 winners from 5 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 3-4 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SW Senate Appointee (543K, 6-9 at 2, 0-1 turf), G3 SP Midwest King (261K, 0-1 at 2, 0-6 turf), SW Mercedes Miss (121K, 1-2 at 2, 0-4 turf); barn 1-8 (13%, $16.16 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf; 8/7 work matches Chang's Secret (7th SMSW turf 8/12)

8. HOT SQUEEZE (Latent Heat - Snickeez, by Mr. Greeley)
23K weanling, 70K yearling; 1/2 SP Sandi's Ready (122K, 0-6 at 2, 3-24 turf), multiple G3 SP Domonation (181K, 1-4 at 2, 0-4 turf) by 9-63 (14%) 2yo FTS, 6-58 (10%) 1st-turf sire; winning dam (100K, 1-5 at 2, 0-5 turf) has 3 winners from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple SP Sandy's Way (239K, 0-3 at 2, 0-4 turf), multiple SW Out of my Way (517K, 0-1 turf); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; solid pedigree.

9. AESTHETIQUE (Bernstein - Tiffany Twisted, by Thunder Gulch)
125K yearling; sire 32-258 (12%) 2yo FTS, 41-314 (13%) 1st-turf; winning dam (78K, 0-2 at 2, 1-10 turf) has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); dam 1/2 multiple 2yo G3 turf SW Incurable Optimist (271K, 4-6 at 2, 4-4 turf), 2yo G2 SP router Feisty Step (50K, 1-3 at 2), 2yo G3 SP turf Cervinio (France); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS; 6/21, 6/29, 8/2 works match Knacque (2nd FTS MSW dirt 71 Beyer 8/11); 7/7 work went .01 slower than Knacque; 7/17 work went .03 faster than Knacque; jock's 2nd call.

10. FREUD'S SUNSET (Freud - Thanza Million, by Millions)
Sire 23-189 (12%) 2yo FTS, 29-216 (13%) 1st-turf; dam won sprint at 2 (1-3 at 2) with 3 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos); female family multiple SP Battle Creek (144K, 0-2 at 2); barn 4-56 (7%, $0.83 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-3 turf)

11. SASSY SALSA (Henny Hughes - Mandy's Purse, by Street Cry)
62K yearling; sire 18-130 (14%) 2yo FTS, 11-95 (12%) 1st-turf; dam first-turf winner (25K, 1-2 turf) with 1 winner from 1 runner (1st-turf winner); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP Irtahal (England), multiple SW Karis Makaw (159K, 0-1 at 2), multiple SW Nationhood (181K, 0-1 turf); barn 0-2 past 5 years 2yo FTS.

12. STAR GRAZING (Sky Mesa - Unbridled Star, by Unbridled)
1/2 multiple SP Stolen Star (210K, 1-2 at 2, 0-5 sprint), multiple SW Friend Or Foe (349K, 3-3 sprint) by 32-204 (16%) 2yo FTS; multiple SP dam (91K, 0-1 at 2, 1-6 sprint) has 4 winners from 5 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW Silver Haze (294K, 2-7 at 2, 1-4 sprint), SW Silence Dogood (124K, 1-3 at 2, 0-2 sprint); barn 1-4 (25%, $5.65 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS SMSW dirt sprint Spa.

13. DON'T BLAME HER (Arch - Who Fu, by Fusaichi Pegasus)
9K yearling; sire 15-178 (8%) 2yo FTS; placed dam (43K, 0-5 sprint) has 2 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Pas by Pas (86K, 2-2 at 2, 3-4 sprint), SW Bay Barrister (102K, 3-11 sprint), SW sprinter Go to the Ink (201K, 4-8 sprint); this is barn's 1st debut runner; jock's 1st call

14. ALWAYSINSTILETTOS (Bandini - Always Belong, by Belong to Me)
1/2 2yo SP Always for You (43K, 0-6 at 2, 1-6 sprint) by 13-102 (13%) 2yo FTS; multiple SP dam (95K, 1-1 at 2, 1-10 sprint) has 5 winners from 5 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 4-5 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP sprinter Raiders Bid (75K, 6-50 sprint), multiple 2yo SW sprinter Shesastonecoldfox (216K, 4-5 at 2, won debut, 4-9 sprint), 2yo SW sprinter Boston Raider (127K, 2-5 at 2, 7-56 sprint); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. Lil Zilla
2. May Shares
3. Aspree

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Lil Zilla to WIN and PLACE at 6-1 odds or greater.