Saratoga: Spa Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Aug. 14

RACE 2
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $70,000

1. STALAGMITE (Frost Giant - Lucky Sucre, by Lord Carson)
75K 2yo after 1F work 10.3; sire 16-51 (31%) with 2yos, 6-27 (22%) with turfers; SP route dam (84K, 1-5 at 2) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with turfers); female family Kentucky Derby winner Cannonade; barn 0-2 with 2yos; faltered in debut behind General Jack (won Shakopee Juvenile on turf at CBY with 81 Beyer 8/3); expect good speed vs. statebred foes.

2. HARBOR KING (Rockport Harbor - Wander Queen, by Kingmambo)
37K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 20-172 (12%) 2yo FTS, 7-130 (5%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 turf) has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 multiple SP turf sprinter Life Lesson (153K, 0-2 at 2, 2-12 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 0-10 past 5 years FTS.

3. HARD RUMOR (Hard Spun - Quiet Rumour, by Alleged)
85K yearling; 1/2 SW Beebe Lake (195K, 0-1 at 2, 3-15 turf), multiple SP Elusive Rumour (125K, 0-1 at 2, 2-8 turf, 1st-turf winner) by 7-92 (8%) 2yo FTS, 9-91 (10%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 7 winners from 10 runners (3-9 with 2yos, 6-7 with turfers, 3 first-turf winners); dam 1/2 G1 2yo SW Only Queens (87K, 2-8 at 2); dam full to 2yo G3 turf SW Contested Bid (146K, 2-4 at 2, 2-10 turf); barn 0-14 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW turf sprint; nice pedigree.

4. PEPI'S FIND (Lemon Drop Kid - Deputy Dear, by Deputy Minister)
80K yearling; 1/2 2yo SP Bond Arbitrage (77K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 0-2 turf) by 26-236 (11%) 2yo FTS, 48-410 (12%) 1st-turf sire; unraced dam has 8 winners from 9 runners (4-5 with 2yos, 2 FTS winners, 1-8 with turfers); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Without Feathers (499K, 6-10 at 2, won debut, 3-7 turf), multiple 2yo SP sprinter Damerelle Dancer (31K, 1-10 at 2), 2yo SP sprinter Dam Shot (121K, 2-6 at 2, won debut, 0-2 turf), multiple SW router Copper Mount (251K, 0-2 at 2), multiple SW Currency Arbitrage (343K, 2-5 at 2, 5-31 turf, 1st-turf winner); barn 6-46 (13%, $1.79 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS (0-7 turf).

5. JUNGER (Freud - Devilish Max, by Gold Token)
Sire 88-609 (14%) 2yos, 29-216 (13%) 1st-turf; unplaced dam (0-4 at 2) has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers; female family multiple SW Christina Czarina (293K, 2-5 at 2, 0-3 turf); barn 1-3 (33%, $4.06 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/turf SMSW sprints Spa; broke poorly in slop 5 days ago; too early to give up on just yet.

6. METROPOLITAN STORM (Freud - Chanced, by American Chance)
Sire 88-609 (14%) 2yos, 29-216 (13%) 1st-turf; 1st starter from winning dam (203K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 turf); 3rd dam multiple SW Kitty Tatch (233K, 8-23 turf); barn 4-116 (3%, $0.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yos; sire gets some good turfers.

7. AINTEASYBEINGGREEN (Bring the Heat - High On Freud, by Freud)
Sire 44-190 (23%) 2yos, 35-183 (19%) turf; 1st starter from unplaced dam (0-1 at 2); female family 2yo SP Rebecca's Gal (198K, 1-5 at 2, 0-6 turf); barn 7-15 (47%, $4.25 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW turf sprint; tired in open heat that produced next-out 69 Beyer graduate Marvin's Miracle; logical.

8. CAROLINIAN (Yes It's True - Storm Dancer, by Always a Classic)
75K yearling; 1/2 SW Smuggler's Hold (114K, 2-3 at 2, 0-5 turf) by 201-1361 (15%) 2yo, 19-325 (6%) 1st-turf sire; turf SP dam (61K, 1-15 turf) has 3 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 1-3 with turfers); dam 1/2 turf SW Field Cat (309K, 2-7 at 2, 5-20 turf, 1st-turf winner), SW Estevan (412K, 2-5 at 2, 2-20 turf); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2yos dirt/turf MSW sprint; winners of both dirt races at Belmont were entered in the Saratoga Special; shouldn't be too far away early.

9. PUSH UPS (Frost Giant - Malibu Morn, by Malibu Moon)
Sire 3-16 (19%) 2yo FTS, 0-16 with 1st-turfers; unraced dam has 3 winners from 5 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 0-2 with turfers); female family multiple SW Jazzy One (249K, 1-2 at 2, 0-1 turf); barn 1-10 (10%, $2.56 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS; solid bloodlines

10. HOWABOUTWE (Da Stoops - Corredor's Wind, by El Corredor)
30K RNA 2yo after 2F work 22.2; 1/2 G2 2yo sprint SP Manchurian High (112K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 15-85 (18%) 2yo sire; unraced dam has 2 winners from 3 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 0-3 with sprinters); 2nd dam SW Ka Lae (231K, 1-9 sprint); barn 4-47 (9%, $1.37 ROI) past 5 years 2yos on dirt.

SELECTIONS (TURF ONLY):
1. Carolinian
2. Hard Rumor
3. Junger

THE PLAY (TURF ONLY):
Carolinian - Hard Rumor EXACTA
Carolinian - Junger EXACTA

RACE 5
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $80,000

1. TRAUTMAN (Distorted Humor - Lorena Wood, by Woodman)
65K RNA yearling, 190K 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 57-336 (17%) with 2yos FTS; dam turf sprint winner at 2 in France (8K, 0-1 dirt sprint) with 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP Vilayet (France), turf SW Legend of Russia (167K, 0-1 at 2, 3-18 turf), turf SP Kivi (France); dam full turf SP Compton Dragon (England); barn 1-30 (3%, $1.18 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; nice pedigree with lots of turf.

1A. J. QUIRK (Unbridled's Song - You're Beautiful, by Storm Cat)
150K yearling, 110K RNA 2yo after breezing 1F in 10.0; sire 150-876 (17%) 2yos; dam won on turf at 2 in Ireland (18K, 1-3 at 2) and has 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 router Tiznow (6.4M, 0-1 sprint), multiple G2 SW Budroyale (2.8M, 1-2 at 2, 5-9 sprint), SW router Tizbud (230K, 0-1 sprint), 2yo G2 sprint SW Tizdubai (116K, 2-2 at 2, 2-2 sprint); dam full SP router C'Mon Tiger (137K, 0-3 sprint); barn 2-8 (25%, $1.27 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint Spa; gave good account in debut; respect.

2. CYNICAL STORM (Sky Mesa - Alina, by Came Home)
37K RNA weanling, 70K yearling; sire 32-204 (16%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from multiple SW dam (234K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 2-4 sprint); female family multipole G2 SW sprinter American Royale (254K, 3-3 at 2, 6-8 sprint); barn 34-95 (36%, $2.77 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa;; 7/29 work matches Enquete (1st FTS MSW 61 Beyer 8/4); can't ignore.

3. MALLORY STREET (Street Sense - Mayfield, by Exploit)
140K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 SP sprinter Angels in Arms (90K, 0-2 at 2, 2-8 sprint) by 10-71 (14%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (56K, 2-3 sprint) with 4 winners from 5 runners (1-4 with 2yos, debut winner, 4-5 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW sprinter Daimon (222K, 9-24 sprint), multiple SP Jack Wilson (68K, 0-2 at 2, 4-11 sprint), G2 SW Penny's Reshoot (249K, 2-2 at 2, 3-6 sprint), multiple SW sprinter Twin Propeller (195K, 2-2 at 2, 8-14 sprint), SP Ahpo Here (265K, 3-8 sprint), SW Hope Rises (170K, 2-4 sprint); barn 2-5 (40%, $6.50 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; sharp works.

4. DELIGHTFUL LIZ (Limehouse - Song and Delight, by Songandaprayer)
75K 2yo after 1F work in 10.0; sire 18-114 (16%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (37K, 3-11 sprint) with 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 route SW Delightful Kiss (1.0M, 1-5 at 2, 0-2 sprint), G3 SW polytrack sprinter Delightful Mary (588K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 3-3 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%) 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa (won Saturday); interesting.

5. RED MIRACLE (Forestry - Golden Kitty, by Carson City)
10K yearling; 1/2 2yo SW Flashy Ways (107K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 1-1 sprint) by 37-282 (13%) 2yo FTS sire; dam placed sprinting (0-3 sprint) with 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, FTS winner, 2-2 sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Dakota Digger (166K, 0-2 at 2, 1-8 sprint); barn 1-35 (3%, $2.85 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa; 7/13 work matches Big Air (DNF FTS MSW 8/3); 7/21 work went .01 slower than Inspired Exchange (77 Beyer); 7/28, 8/6 works match Roberto Gato (7th FTS MSW 8/10)

6. FRIENDS PRO (Friends Lake - Mama's Pro, by Proper Reality)
1/2 SW sprinter Pro Prado (397K, 2-3 at 2) by 86-526 (16%) 2yo sire; multiple SW dam (435K, 2-4 at 2, 6-27 sprints) has 5 winners from 9 runners (1-5 2yos, 3-9 sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP sprinter Mama Cielo (50K, 2-4 at 2, 2-16 sprint); barn 1-13 (8%, $0.55 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos MSW dirt sprint; showed speed for a tag; not out of it.

7. NAUGHTYNAUGHTYGIRL (Bernardini - Win With a Wink, by Dixieland Band)
1/2 multiple SP sprinter Vicarious Won (138K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 4-11 sprint) by 12-99 (12%) 2yo FTS sire; dam 2yo SW sprinter (126K, 3-4 at 2, won debut, 3-5 sprint) with 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 2yos, FTS winner, 1-1 sprint); dam full multiple SW sprinter Jena Jena (272K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 6-11 sprint); dam 1/2 2yo SW sprinter Up Like Thunder (113K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 2-7 sprint); barn 0-40 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW dirt sprint Spa.

SELECTIONS:
1. Delightful Liz
2. J. Quirk
3. Trautman
4. Cynical Storm

THE PLAY:
Delightful Liz to WIN at 5-2 odds or greater