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Saratoga

Saratoga: Daily Game Plan for Sunday, July 20

DRF Staff|Jul 19, 2014

Race 1

G R's Giant
50K yearling is out of a dam that was multiple stakes-placed at 2 on turf (139K, 1-4 dirt sprints); dam has 4 winners from 5 runners (1-2 with 2yos, 3-5 dirt sprinters); by G1 route winner (14% 2yo FTS); barn is 4-15 (27%, $6.16 ROI) over past 5 years with 2yos in statebred MSW dirt sprints at Spa, according to Formulator; 2 works match M B and Tee (debuts Fri.)
Navy Blue
19K RNA yearling sold for 52K as a yearling and went for 90K in March after breezing 1F in 10.2 seconds; 1/2 to 2yo SW sprinter Saltamontes (242K) by multiple G1 synthetic winner (3-8 2yo FTS); winning dam (184K, 5-33 dirt sprints) has 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-4 dirt sprinters); barn 6% ($0.21) past 5 years with 2nd-out 2yos in statebred MSW; big rider switch after showing brief speed in between foes.
Thank You
60K yearling is 1/2 to multiple turf stakes-placed Mrs Debbie M (68K, 1-4 at 2), stakes-winning router Omniscient (368K, 0-6 dirt sprints) and stakes-placed Miss Emelina (59K, 0-3 dirt sprints); by G2 route winner (14% 2yos) out of multiple stakes-placed sprinter (88K, 1-5 at 2) with 5 winners from 8 runners (2-4 with 2yos, 2-6 dirt sprinters); 7/2 work matches Blame It On Chris (45 dirt Beyer).
Desert Million
32K RNA short yearling sold for 100K as a yearling; 245K RNA in March after breezing 1F in 10.3 and was 95K RNA in May after breezing 2F in 22.0; by G2 sprint winner (1-6 with 2yo FTS) out of unplaced dam (3K, 0-4 at 2, 0-2 dirt sprints) with 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-1 dirt sprinters); barn 3-12 ($1.60) past 5 years 2yo FTS statebred MSW dirt sprint; 7/13 work matches Zo Zo (entered Friday).
Cosmo Storm
12K weanling sold for 40K as a yearling, and went for 120K in May after breezing 1F in 10.1; by multiple G3 turf winner (0-1 at 2, 0-2 in dirt sprints) that is 0-7 with 2yo FTS; dam was a sprint winner (67K) with 2 winners from 4 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 2-4 dirt sprinters); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2yo FTS.
Tax Package
170K yearling is the first starter out of a dam that was stakes-placed routing on synthetic at 2 (206K, unraced dirt sprints); by multiple G1 synthetic winner that is 17% with 2yo FTS; trainer is 6-54 (11%, $1.25 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yo FTS in MSW dirt sprints (4-21, $1.93 ROI at Spa).
Sandler
50K yearling goes out for barn that is 5-11 (45%, $3.54 ROI) over the past 5 years with 2yo FTS in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprints at Saratoga; sire was G1 synthetic route winner at 2 (13% with 2yo FTS); unplaced dam (2K) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 dirt sprinters); 7/5 work matches Escondido (57 Beyer in turf MSW on 7/11).
Thirst for Glory
First starter out of a turf-winning (29K, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 dirt sprints)half-sister to 2yo G1 winner Artemis Agrotera (417K, won debut, 1-1 dirt sprint), stakes-placed router Time Squared (100K, 0-1 at 2) and stakes-placed 2yo Submerge (64K, 1-4 dirt sprints); by multiple G1 winner (11% 2yo FTS); barn 2-10 ($3.04) past 5 years, 2yo FTS statebred MSW dirt sprint Saratoga. - Dan Illman

Race 2

Tizmas
Returns from the freshening for a tag in his local debut run after being given some time off a beaten chalk effort at Penn National; gelding ran well 2 back against cheaper in a one turn route downstate and his career best number did come 2 turning over the inner this winter; from the inside slot he's worth a look for a sharp outfit.
Mulheb
Ran down a cheaper bunch while sprinting downstate and now he'll stretch back out; maybe he's closer early in his initial 2 turn try, but though the barn boasts some decent numbers with its stretchouts, this guy will need to step things up to go with this bunch; have to side against the repeat.
Cease
First part of the coupling loves the taste of the local water and maybe the return to this venue helps perk him up; he hasn't been the same runner this year and it's been nearly 8 months since he's seen the winner's circle; hard to over look the class drop, but he's clearly not entering this on the right foot and he'll get another new pilot; consider.
Groomedforvictory
Barn's other half also has Lanerie named so only one will meet the starter; 9 year old drops in class as well and several of his last handful of races are good enough to take this heat; hasn't tried 2 turns in a while, but his efforts over the inner track this winter suggest that won't pose him much trouble; concern is his local slate as he's yet to win here, but his best would be enough; one to beat.
Most Happy Fella
Seven year old was entered MTO here yesterday and he'll drop in half in claiming price if he lines up in this spot; turf try last time wasn't much and he did lose his best shot at the start behind one of these 2 back at Belmont; expect to find him more involved from the bell and he does own a couple of local scores, but his quicker rivals look to draw inside of him today.
Stephen A
Four year old was given some time after beating conditioned claimers on the stretchout downstate a couple of months back; his lone 3 turn try was poor and though he looked to get back on track a bit last time he may be in a little bit tough against some of these; prefer to side against the co-highweight.
Matt and Jesse
Hasn't been a threat in some time while keeping a regular schedule on the track; he's started 11 times already this year so he's not as fresh as some of these, but he does like the local main track; still, it's tough to imagine he threatens for more than a minor award.
Le Deluge
Late runner switches surfaces for his return from the brief freshening for an outfit that moves them up going turf to dirt; sharp outfit at the helm rarely goes unnoticed at the windows and this guy does look to be a better animal on the green; expect he'll be left with a lot to do in the lane. - Steve Grabowski

Race 3

Mariel N Kathy
Stakes winning filly is light on recent winning form, but she looks like she can control the early tempo, and it doesn't hurt to see that her career best Beyer Speed Figure was earned racing over the Saratoga turf; Ortiz has won with 7 of 25 (28%) mounts for this barn in 2014.
Red Hot Tweet
Her form clearly improved when she was placed over turf six starts ago, but she is going to need to dial up the sharpest performance of her career if she's planning on seeing her number posted on top after this one is run; prefer to give the nod to others.
Gathering
She's G3 stakes placed racing overseas and she was a sharp winner in two of her first three starts in America; however, her form has kind of leveled off, and she has been beaten by today's rival Scampering in three of her last four starts; that said, she clearly merits contender status.
Premium (GB)
Half-sister to G1 winner Redwood (4-17, $2.3 million, including 1 of 3 North American turf starts for 668k) surprised a field in her first start in America, and even though she's in for a tougher test today, she can't be ignored with that race in tow.
Scampering
She's stakes placed racing over the main track here, something to consider if this race has to be taken off the turf, and this has to be considered an ideal spot for her to try secure her second turf victory; she might find herself sitting a very comfortable trip just off of the early speed of Mariel N Kathy.
Maximova
She ran very well over turf as a 3-year-old and not going to be too tough on her for the sub par performance in her first start as a 4-year-old as she might have simply been a bit too fresh for that race; she obviously needs her strongest performance to date to win this event, but not going to count out that possibility. - Brian Pochman

Race 4

Spot Play

SUPER SLAM (#6, 8-1) ships up from PRX after setting ok fractions before weakening; don’t think this 4yo gelding needs the lead and he should be prominent throughout. - Chuck Kuehhas

Vulnerable Favorite

GLICKMAN (#4, 3-1) ok effort in return off the two year layoff; but obviously has huge issues and feel a regression looms. - Chuck Kuehhas

Carolinian
Try to catch me with 7 straight starts racing 1st at the 1st call; seeks the correct level off a career-low Beyer speed figure; the good news is that he will race on a fast track today which was the surface for his last win; figures to have Ten Items Or Less and Glickman breathing down his neck from the start; lone-SAR runner-up finish was on a wet track.
Ten Items Or Less
Claimed off one of his best-Beyer performances of career; he's raced 1st at the 1st call in 4 in a row and only once since blinkers were applied he didnt make the front; with the fast-from-the-gate Carolinian going here the early fractions project to be super hot which helps the late runners; view as a pace presence for part.
Lieutenant Seany O
5-1-3-0 record since the owner-trainer change; main concerns are that he's not won at shorter than 7F yet during career and was defeated by more than 20 lengths in his only SAR dirt start last summer; drops to lowest ever seeking answers following his lightest Beyer since January; the May-MTH winner repeated in a DEL-50K stakes with an 88 Beyer; he beat the show finisher that day who scored next out in a MTH-optional claimer with a 78; contender .
Glickman
It was understandable to tire in his comeback race following more than 2 years away; projects to sit just off the inside speed then should be tough to hold off late; owns the numbers' edge on these posting a best-last-race Beyer speed figure while 2-back is a field-best number; only other SAR dirt start was not memorable which is the lone knock against the pick..
Denzel
Late runner will be rallying strongly into a hot pace today; never got going on a wet track in last posting his lowest Beyer of 2014; cuts back to his most-recent-win distance; defeated the 3-back show finisher who Beyered 82 in a next-out PRX-starter alw. win; gets the right closer's setup with 2 pure-speed runners breaking from posts 1 and 2 today while drops back into a claimer for the 1st time this year; the one to beat.
Super Slam
Beaten-PRX betting favorite when racing on the lead; tall task in front of him; he has to fend off Carolinian and Ten Items Or Less early then hold off the closers late; the 2-back winner repeated in a BEL-25K claimer with a 77 Beyer; he beat the 3-back show finisher who scored next out in a PRX alw. with an 80 speed figure.
In the Dark
1-for-12 first-off-the-claim trainer since 2013 does not help the cause; he was purchased off a troubled win while producing a career-best Beyer; lone-SAR dirt start was a last-place finish and career-low speed figure; the 2-back winner repeated in a BEL alw. with an 85 Beyer; the 3-back show finisher scored next out in a BEL-50K claimer with an 88.
Bos'n Alwyne
9-race losing skid for his 1st SAR start; last win picture was produced on a muddy oval; he received favorable-wet conditions in recent losses which does not help the confidence level for this; he will be closing into a hot pace but overall others appeal more. - Art Gropper

Race 5

Laurie's Rocket
Would be a surprise in here, not having raced on the turf and not being as speedy as others in the field; also in quite a drought after last winning in March of 2013; barn is 1 for its last 21 with first-time grass runners; sire gets 6% first-time grass winners; dam never tried turf, but one of her foals is a winner on it; pass.
Strong Impact
Jacobson gives the mount to Lanerie, who he began riding late at Belmont; Lanerie was the leading rider at CD's recently concluded meet; this one is a solid type, and perhaps can be excused for fading over yielding ground last out when going longer; contender.
Great Attack
Owner Ross seems to really like owning turf sprinters; he claimed this one, and has owned many quick grass horses over the years; disappointing effort at Penn National last time against some of the top turf horses in the Northeast; back class is the principal appeal.
Triple Cross
Doesn't seem to be in this class, and he looks like a better synthetic performer, anyway; all three of his wins have come on such tracks; is 20-1 on the line, and seems likely to go off every bit that price.
Go Blue Or Go Home
This is a rock solid turf/Poly performer; put him in a race going 6 1/2 furlongs or less and he is going to run a good race; chased Marchman the last time he raced on the turf and held tough until late; capable of getting a piece at a price.
Spring to the Sky
Has been a little erratic this year but broke through with a win last out in fast time and is proven on this course, having won a race here last year; has fallen short of Strong Impact on some notable occasions; but is blessed with speed and has Castellano, who seems to bring out the best in this one; edge. - Byron King

Race 6

Nineinthenine
The long layoff is the major drawback for this 8-year-old gelding, but he's done some nice work racing over turf in his career, and that includes a runner-up finish in his only start over the Saratoga turf; not going to be shocked if he gives a good account of himself today, but maybe he'll be worth looking out for the next time around.
Lay It Down
He looks like he fits right in at this 25k claiming level and the rider switch to Castellano is worth noting as he's won with 27 of 86 (31%) mounts for this barn in 2014; third-place finisher from latest won next out at GP on 7/11 going 1 1/16m vs. 12.5k claimers with an 80 Beyer.
Treasury Devil
He's displayed solid overall turf form since arriving in America, but he does appear to be heading in the wrong direction entering this race, and his connections are taking a drastic drop in class with him after claiming him for 62.5k just three starts back.
Gourmet Dinner
He's a G3 winner on dirt and he's stakes placed racing over turf, but he is seeking his first 1-2 finish over turf in his seventh turf attempt; he was claimed for 50k from his latest start and comes back with a 25k tag attached, but when considering the purse of this race, his connections probably want to be aggressive with him; Dutrow has won with 9 of 35 (26%) starters going out for him first after a claim the past five years.
Odeon
Like the idea of this gelding getting back over turf and he appears to have trained well in preparation for his return to action; Mia Poppy and Beeliner figure to provide enough early pace to assist his latest running style; winner from latest won next out at Aqu on 3/10 going 1 1/8m vs. N1X alw. rivals with an 85 Beyer.
Mia Poppy
You have to go back 15 starts to October 2012 to find his latest victory and he's going to need to step it up over what he's been doing lately in order to have a chance in this spot; can't ignore the impact his early speed can have on the way that this race shapes up, but going to look toward others.
Beeliner
His better races have been run over dirt, and from four turf starts, he hasn't produced a performance that is anywhere near strong enough to suggest that he can get the better of this bunch; going to look for him to be involved in the running early on, but others figure to have more to offer late.
Assured Victory
Not only have his better Beyer Speed Figures been earned racing over dirt, but he likes to be involved in the running through the opening stages, and if he tries to keep up with Mia Poppy and Beeliner early on, he'll have a tough time keeping something in reserve for the stretch run.
Dreaming of Danny
He's by a strong turf sire and like to see that he earned a career best Beyer Speed Figure in his latest outing while making only his second turf start since moving into this barn; he has a live look to him in this spot with Rosario aboard.
Sleepless Knight
Multiple graded stakes placed veteran ran well in his first start for this barn after a claim two starts ago, and after giving him a little bit of a freshening, this doesn't look like a bad spot for his return to action; runner up from latest won next out at Bel on 6/18 going 1 1/2m over turf vs. N1X alw. rivals with an 82 Beyer. - Brian Pochman

Race 7

Hidden Candy
Candy Ride about 13% with debuters in a 431-runner sample about 11% with first-time turfers in a 260-runner grid; sire didn't race at 2, was unbeaten in 6 outs, took Grade 1 Pacific Classic, won only turf out; dam out of the money twice; all 3 siblings won including double G3 winner, grass winner and over $200K earner Waterway Run; colt looks fit enough.
Eternal Bull
Maybe connections had this race in mind all the time as the shorter trip could be just what the good doctor ordered; 2 for 15 dam lost 3 times on turf; 4 of 5 siblings won; 2 cashed on grass and top kin Blonde Fog was G1 placed, earned nearly $125K; major player.
Callans Candy
See rail for sire stats; stakes winning 4 for 13 dam earned nearly $200K, won thrice at 2, was grass only; 3 of 5 siblings won; one cashed on grass and kin Bobby Sands earned over $300K in a long career; could need experience.
Ireland's Eye
Cowtown Cat 4 for 29 with first-time turfers; Grade 2 winning sire took 4 of 16, banked over $550K, never turfed; 1 for 15 dam did win on turf; both siblings won but both tried grass to no avail; pressed slow pace, wilted.
Gentrify
Not thrilled with the defeat for a tag in the opener; SW 2 for 13 dam earned over $90K, lost only turf out; 8 of 9 siblings won; 6 tried grass but failed to win on turf; several banked 6 figures; has been handled by a couple of today's foes.
Indian Rain Dance
Indian Ocean 7 for 82 with first-time turfers; sire didn't run at 2, took 2nd start at 3 with a 101 Beyer, won a G3, banked over $175K, was never on turf; dam was unraced; both siblings won; one banked over $200K, the one that tried grass was out of the money in lone turf out; needs a rebound run.
T Sizzle
Pure Prize about 10% with first-time turfers in a 248-runner grid; sire won at 2, took a G2, banked $425K, never touched grass; 3 for 33 dam lost 8 times on grass; both siblings won including Purely Hot, who took a G2, won twice on grass, banked over $425K; the blood sure is there.
Dr. Hal
Even after the solid second two back, fans didn't exactly embrace him at 8-1 and they were right on the money; never can dismiss this kind of speed.
Eighty Three
Harlan's Holiday about 14% with debuters in a 510-runner sample about 13% with first-time turfers in a 321-runner grid; sire won 4 times at 2, banked $3.6 million, never turfed; dam was unraced; all 4 siblings won; top kin Spring Formal was 4 for 11 on grass, banked nearly $80K; love work pattern for barn that is great with young stock. - Brian Mulligan

Race 8

Live Longshot

ULTIMATE EMPIRE (#8, 6-1): Finished first in both of his 1 1/8-mile races at Saratoga a year ago, and indeed he is the only member of today’s field to have won at the distance. The removal of blinkers hints at a return to rating tactics after setting the pace twice recently. --Dave Litfin

Cousin Michael
Draws the fence for his return to the statebred ranks after getting beaten as the chalk against claimers downstate; first part of the coupling has hit the exacta in 5 of his 6 tries this year and his 2 turn score 2 back in Jersey earned a number that fits well in here; thinking they'll have him to beat if he's the one to represent the entry today.
Go Get the Basil
Four year old hasn't been able to break through this condition though he has been close a couple of times; they tried him on the lawn without much luck in his return from the break and he's again had some time to prepare for this; maybe the 2 turn trip helps get him going, but he's been off the board in each of his 3 local tries.
Indy Tune
Barn's other half also has Lanerie named so only one will go; sprinter stretches out to try 2 turns in this spot after running out of ground behind an easy winner while making his first start off the claim but this shrew outfit; maybe he finds himself closer to the top early, but don't think he'll be around in the lane.
Saturday Appeal
Jumped up with a huge winning number in the downstate slop last month and now he'll step up to the next level; gelding has early foot so figure he'll again be involved from the bell but there is other lick in here and that won't make it easy for him to stretchout to this 2 turn trip; given his local slate we'll be siding against the repeat.
Goodtolook
Showed good speed before blowing the clear midstretch lead at 6 panels last time and now he'll try to stretch his lick to 9; gelding is clearly not the runner who freaked in the Gulfstream mud this winter and though he gets a switch to a top pilot, doesn't figure to overcome the pace challenges he'll face in here; have to side with others.
Fiona's Hero
Looked good beating open runners on the Jersey shore a few weeks back and now he'll get back in at the statebred level at which he wasn't much of a threat at Aqueduct; barn does a solid job with its runners second back from the break and maybe this guy's last helped get him on the right track; with speed to track he's worth a look.
Sir Leslie
Ran well to just miss downstate last out which was his second straight runner up finish at the level; he's been in career best form of late and he did advance through the N1X condition at a 2 turn trip over the inner track this winter so the configuration shouldn't hurt him; with plenty of pace signed on her looks to be the danger.
Beautyinthepulpit
Drops out of the open ranks to tackle statebreds here; 6 year old does own a local score from earlier in his career and he's been up here for a while in preparation for this; while his last did leave something to be desired, he should get pace in this spot and that could help perk him up to get involved for a share at a nice price.
Ultimate Empire
Outside drawn colt removes the hood while giving this level another shot; he'll switch to the circuit's top pilot and maybe he's able to get him to settle some in field that contains a good amount of early lick; his wins here last simmer came from off the pace so he's certainly capable of employing tactics that would fit the heat's pace scenario well; don't overlook. - Steve Grabowski

Race 9

Neat Package
She was Also Eligible in a similar spot going a mile on Saturday with Velasquez named to ride, and perhaps her connections will opt for this after having drawn the rail post; she'll need her sharpest performance to date to win this, but she owns a win over the Saratoga turf, and she projects to sit a comfortable ground saving trip just off of the early leaders.
Abbey Street
She's by a top turf sire and this miss is a 1/2 to G1 winner Wicked Strong (2-8, 884k over turf); don't care to see that she has just a single win next to her name after 17 starts, but she fits right in with these and she appears to be in good form entering this race.
Sabouli
She's run weill in all three of her starts this year, and if she can get an honest early pace to close into, she's capable of making some noise through the lane; she has to be approached with caution when seeing the number of runner-up finishes she's settled for along the way, but she isn't out of the question.
Indian Starlight
She was beaten by today's rival Abbey Street in her latest outing, but that was a solid run for her first start back from a layoff, and not only can her best effort place her squarely in the mix, but she's run well in both of her starts over the Saratoga turf.
Silky (IRE)
After winner her career debut, her previous connections saw fit to test her against G3 competition at second asking, and that might be reason to believe that we haven't seen the best of her in her two starts since arriving in America; she was beaten by a couple of today's rivals in her latest start, but note that she was sent to post as the favorite in that race.
Kitten's Queen
Like the idea of this filly being ready to take a step forward while making her second start as a 4-year-old and her second start for Maker; she gets a rider switch to Castellano and he's won with 27 of 86 (31%) mounts for this outfit in 2014.
Glorious Chant
She has a nice turf pedigree, and if she runs the way she did two starts back at Belmont Park, she can have a say in the outcome; however, that level of performance hasn't been the norm for her, and she has been beaten by a number of today's rivals in recent starts.
Adriatic Dream
Stakes placed miss has been known to leave herself with too much ground to cover late in her races, and she was beaten by a number of today's rivals in a sub par performance in her most recent start; maybe a minor award is within reach, but looking toward others for the top spot.
Princess Mara
In a race featuring mostly limited winners, this mare has nine wins next to her name, and she's gotten the job done in three of eight turf starts; there is a chance that she's going to be allowed to set a sensible early pace, and that would help her in her bid to take this field every step of the way.
Cloture
She's one of two in here meeting up with winners for the first time, and of those two, Crown Queen is the more appealing; she has developed a nice level of consistency to her game, but she'll have to show more in order to beat this field.
Crown Queen
Lightly raced filly cost $1.6 million as a yearling and she took a nice step forward in breaking her maiden in her most recent start; she's out of a multiple graded stakes winning dam who won 11 of 30 starts for 740k, including 11 of 29 turf starts for 728k, and this miss is a 1/2 to multiple G1 winner Royal Delta (12-22, $4.8 million, no turf starts).
Fizzy Pink (GB)
The next time she runs a bad race will be the first time, and like Crown Queen, this lightly raced miss is eligible to have plenty more to show us; add in a top turf barn, and there's a lot to be positive about in this direction.
Tap Twenty One
She needs to see a scratch from the main body of this race in order to draw in, and not only has this miss been on top of her game in recent starts, but it was nice to see the effort she showed up with while making just her second start over turf in her latest outing.
Got Lucky
Despite facing older rivals for the first time, this multiple graded stakes placed filly will find herself in an ideal spot for her return to action if this race has to be moved to the main track; she was last seen facing Untapable in the KY. Oaks, and it looks like she's been training well lately. - Brian Pochman

Race 10

Coaching Club American Oaks by Byron King

STOPCHARGINGMARIA has been somewhat of a disappointment this year, going unplaced in her first two starts and then just narrowly winning the Black Eyed Susan, which doesn’t draw the cream of the division coming two weeks after the Kentucky Oaks. Still, this miss is proven at 1 1/8 miles, and has been based for months at Saratoga, a track over which she excelled as a 2-year-old last summer; slight edge given the affinity she has shown for Saratoga.

UNBRIDLED FOREVER is twice Grade 1 placed this year, and before that she chased Untapable in a Grade 2 at Fair grounds, and obviously the latter is the top 3-year-old filly around. In terms of company kept at age 3, she is the class. Less enthusiastically, she doesn't have a work over the track and probably goes off shorter than her 9-5 morning line.

TAKETHEODDS is a promising filly who has steadily developed, winning an allowance in her most-recent start at Churchill. She came under an earlier drive than expected and was forced to rally wide, but kept on chugging and ran down the leader. Although untested beyond a one-turn mile, she is bred to stretch out.

Stopchargingmaria
Somewhat of a disappointment this year, going unplaced in her first two starts and then being all out to win a slow Black Eyed Susan; still, she's proven at 1 1/8 miles, and has been based at Saratoga for quite some time - perhaps giving her a home-track edge; she also ran a pair of excellent races here last summer; ready to take a step forward against a weak G1 field; slight edge given the affinity she has shown for Saratoga.
Unbridled Forever
Is twice Grade 1 placed this year, and before that she chased Untapable in a Grade 2, and obviously the latter is the top 3-year-old filly around; so in terms of company kept, she's the goods; less enthusiastically, she doesn't have a work over the track and probably goes off shorter than her 9-5 morning line.
Miss Besilu
Sold for $2.6 million at auction and has made 86K; obviously has a lot of residual value as a broodmare and her connections seem to be taking a shot in here, hoping she get pick up a piece and get a G1 placing in a race that is more like a G2 or G3 on paper.
Courageous Julie
Won easily in a first level allowance last time out, running her usual Beyer in the upper 70s; that doesn't seem fast enough to get things done; like the filly to her inside, she looks like her connections would be thrilled if she could merely get a piece of this.
America
Astute placement to put her in the 5-horse Mother Goose, and she responded by getting a third in a G1, something that makes her much more valuable as a broodmare; not all that fast from a speed figure perspective; like that she has been based here for a while, even before her last start at Belmont.
Taketheodds
This is a promising filly; all four of her starts have been very good, and she particularly impressed in her latest; she had to come under an earlier drive than in her preceding race and was forced to rally wide, but kept on chugging and ran down the leader; bred to stretch out, though yet to go beyond a one-turn mile. - Byron King

Race 11

Live Longshot

TSONGA (#10, 12-1) debuts in a turf route for trainer Wesley Ward, and while the barn is known for scoring with sprinters first time out this situation (debuting on turf in a maiden claimer) is a profitable one for Ward fans (20% winners, $2.86 ROI). -Kenny Peck

Downgoesfrazier
Clearly his form improves when up for sale and he has a right to be closer up today on the stretch out; he has a lot of work to do to match top kin Bold Decision, who took a stakes and won nearly $200K; overdue.
Electric Currency
Like the way he was getting to the winner in last; backers can point to top sibling Tazered that won on grass and earned almost $200K; rates long look in an absolute scramble.
Wake Up and Go
Most of the Florida form was off but recent stuff very positive; at least there is a multiple grass winner in the family named Stormy Relations, who won almost $180K; gelding seems to be coming around quickly now.
Sugar Gold
Okay, he shows for a tag, but he has yet to raise a gallop; a couple of siblings tried grass to no avail; even on the drop, this is a tough ticket to sell.
Born in Brooklyn
Blinks and the drop helped some and he was inching toward the winner in last; the blood is decent as kin Dreaming of Cara won on grass once and earned nearly $250K; at least he has a local drill under the girth; has some things to prove.
Island Therapy
Not thrilled with the multiple beats vs. softer; he was caught wide in last and considering that, the grass debut was not all that bad; rates upset glance.
Cody's Notes
Read the Footnotes 6 for 80 with first-time turfers; sire took debut at 2, won multiple Graded stakes, banked $450K, was never on grass; dam was 0 for 12; several multiple race winners in the family; 4 tried grass to no avail, one earned nearly $190K; he could have hated the rail to kick it off.
Dulha
This is a tough sell after two dismal tries; 5 for 33 dam won 4 times on grass; 5 siblings attempted grass but all failed on turf; needs a total reversal of fortune.
Rontos New York
His tactical speed will give him first run on the deep closers; several winners in the tree but none were special; he has been much better since given real estate to negotiate; look out.
Tsonga
Stonesider 6 for 76 with debuters, 0 for 42 with first-time turfers; sire won only start in his juvenile dirt sprint debut in a MSW at Belmont with a 81 Beyer cashing by a head; dam out of the money thrice; lone half bro to race Driven by Solar took 10 of 35, earned nearly $400K, won on grass once; owned by trainer, could need one.
Hushhushmushmush
Realistically placed as he cost $40K; several sibs tried grass but failed on turf; top kin Gold and Roses won multiple stakes and almost $900K; gelding has the 2 races to draw from now; should be right there when the smoke clears.
Hard Rumor
Off one of his better races but he has flopped as chalk repeatedly now; there are several 6-figure earners in the tree including 10-time turf winner High Cry; Rosario has had good success for this barn.
Dream Theory
Blinkers and Rocco new today; there is at least a triple turf winner in the family; he did catch fast splits in last; must hurry.
My Papa D
Apparently not much of a work horse and the first two races leave much to be desired; stakes winning 4 for 26 dam earned nearly $250K, never turfed; 2 of 4 sibs won; one cashed on grass and kin Prince of Peace took a couple of stakes, earned over $200K; not seeing it.
Ride of Your Life
He pressed the issue but spit out the bit quickly; several winners in the family, none were special; could at least muddle the pace if he gets a chance to suit up.
Royal Posse
Grinder was 5th in last return effort; there is a stakes placed runner in the tree that earned almost $180K; note no published drills this month. - Brian Mulligan

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