Santa Anita: DRF Plus handicapping report for April 13, 2014
Race 1 Formulator PPs |
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Race 2 Formulator PPs |
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Race 3 Formulator PPs |
Spot PlayQUEEN OF THE HILL (#6, 4-1) has run well on the main track at Santa Anita, and her numbers are roughly equivalent to those of favored Second Time, with the latter showing a limited worktab since being claimed too months ago. – Byron King Closer Looks >> |
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Race 5 Formulator PPs |
Vulnerable FavoriteGOVENOR CHARLIE (#6, 6-5) will be heavily bet on the drop from graded stakes company, but comes off a highly disappointing performance when fifth in the Razorback Handicap at Oaklawn; could win but the price simply seems too short on a horse that failed to show up last time, even if he is returning to his home track – Byron King
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Race 6 Formulator PPs |
Spot PlayOLIVER’S TALE (#1, 7-2) misfired in his comeback, but has worked fast since then for trainer Mark Tsagalakis. The inside post does him no favors in a turf sprint, but he has enough speed to establish position. Tsagalakis trainees often outrun their odds. - Brad Free Closer Looks >> |
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Race 8 Formulator PPs |
Sam Simeon Stakes by Kenny PeckSWEET SWAP (#5) is versatile enough to lead or rate, he's consistent, and he's proven under the conditions, traits that many times lead to success in turf sprints. And he's made a career of running in these downhill sprints, in fact coming off a victory under these circumstances in his most recent try, albeit against lesser. That was his third victory in his last four starts, but his first career stakes win. His Beyers, however, suggest he's plenty good enough to win the Grade 3, $1000,000 San Simeon, and his ability to stay close gives him an advantage over the stone closers. This race came up surprisingly short on speed, and it seems those runnners with some early zip will have the edge. CHIPS ALL IN (#1) is another who figures to benefit from the expected race flow, and his inside draw is an added bonus. He's been at his best when he's come from just off the pace but given the way this race shapes up he should be expected to be more involved early on. LAKERVILLE (#8), exiting the Grade 1 Kilroe, has to be respected on the strength of his Beyers, and he's the most likely winner if these is somehow a quick, contested pace up front. But if the tempo is controlled he could be at a disadvantage, as he's clearly looking to close, and he may not get enough pace. I'll play SWEET SWAP to win, and use him in exactas with CHIPS ALL IN. For multi-race wagers I'll use both virtually equally. Spot PlaySWEET SWAP (#5, 5-2) likes the hill, gets a favorable pace scenario, and will have the jump over the favorite. Trainer John Sadler is due to bust out of a springtime funk. - Brad Free
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Race 9 Formulator PPs |
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