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Santa Anita: Closer Looks for October 26, 2013

DRF Staff|Oct 25, 2013

Race 2

Moving Seas
The drop is logical after 2 dull efforts; 4 for 11 dam was out of the money in only try at 2; this is her first to race; inside again and that didn't work well in last; could give backers a brief thrill, not sure she will be around at the end.
Debt Free Abby
Miss cuts back but she just has not shown much talent; needs a total reversal of fortune.
Katy's Cookin
Youngster got away with the slow splits last time and still gave up the ghost; both of dam's wins came as an older horse; all 4 siblings won, all ran at 2 to no avail; top kin Tempest Storm banked over $250K; the turf race could have helped the stamina; respect this barn.
Spring Dream
Never thrilled to see multiple beats at Pomona; backers can at least point to the fact that 2 siblings won at 2; Delgado got a chance to figure her out; could see her pressing the issue, not sure she will be around when smoke clears.
Tony's Choice
The races on the main SoCal circuit were awful and she took a step backward at Pomona; place horse in last did win in this very league next out and the 9th finisher took a maiden $12.5K TUP claimer; lone half bro was out of the money twice; apparently not much of a work horse; not seeing it.
Rushomatic
Tons best of the rest in the live debut, she may have just been intimdated by the rail in last; miss could be more relaxed and away of surroundings with the blinks off; stakes placed 1 for 13 dam won at 2, banked nearly $130K; 2 of 3 siblings won, both tried at 2 but failed as juveniles; got a feeling we have not seen the best of this one.
Parade Bound
Parading 0 for 11 with debuting juveniles; sire didn't run at 2, took a Grade 2 banked over $500K; 4 for 19 dam didn't go as a juvenile, banked over $120K; lone full sister won thrice as older horse; she does seem realistically placed as a $31K purchase.
Wedding Note
Grey Memo 1 for 17 with debuting juveniles; sire won thrice at 2, banked over $1.7 million in long career; dam won debut, took 4 of 24 after, won over $100K; lone half sis to race won once routing as older horse; miss does look fit enough.
Spirit of Ten
Ten Most Wanted 2 for 64 with debuting juveniles; sire was 2nd in only out at 2, took the Travers, banked over $1.7 million; dam was unraced; lone full sis to race lost 11 times; she will not have to be the second coming of Ruffian to make an impact here.
Pining Play
Took money the first time for a tag with the switch to Bejarano, but fans kind of wised up since; there is a full bro in the tree that won and was third in best result at 2; considering she is cutting back, she could find herself behind the 8 ball turning for home. By Brian Mulligan

Race 3

Rauschenberg
65-day absence since hanging on for the show money but ran very well up to 6F in latest; the runner-up finisher from last posted a 98 Beyer speed figure in his next-out SA-Grade 3 win; the 2-back runner-up posted a 94 Beyer in his next-out DMR-100K stakes score; is now 0-for-8 on SA green with just 1 exacta finish here but in March at today's distance was edged by the runner-up finisher who Beyered 95 in a next-out SA-optional claiming win.
Royal F J
Et Tu Walker handled him in his last turf start but his last win was right here at today's distance; owns his best Beyers and all 4 wins on grass so is eligible to produce a lot better form than he's shown in recent dirt and synhetic-dill efforts.
Starspangled Heat
February's stakes-placed race at today's distance on SA green is his career-best effort but expected more from last but broke last then did not offer a strong enough rally; needs a hot pace flow to close into but do not see a ton of gate speed signed on for this.
Endorsement
His 2010 SUN Derby G3 win is a field-best Beyer at 9F on dirt; just 2 sprint races during career are both losses finishing 2nd and 7th on the main track; latest sprint was December, 2011; way off best form in last trio but has shown speed at longer on the green in 2013; the 2-back runner-up finisher Beyered 85 in his next-out FNO-75K stakes win.
Et Tu Walker
Did not offer his typical gate speed in last coming off a 51-day layoff when making his 1st SA grass start ever defeated by El Mirage King and gives that one 1 pound extra for this; expecting improvement with that race under his belt; 2-back raced right on the lead and expect him to break sharply today in race void of much other gate speed.
El Mirage King
Defeated Et Tu Walker in last when middle moving from wide post 12 with a career-best Beyer attached; breaks furthest outside again but from just post 6 this time so can save additional ground; is winless since 2012 at today's distance on SA green and the drought is the biggest concern; was edged by the 2-back show runner who Beyered 81 in his next-out SA-50K-claiming win. By Art Gropper

Race 4

Curvy Kitten
Sire gets 11% first out winners from his offspring and the limited route winning dam's lone foal to race was SW and 272K earner Curvy Cat who won 6 times sprinting; worktab is steady and solid and the barn knows how to get them ready.
Demonica
Field's lone experienced runner holds a huge edge in that regard over a field full of newcomers; she's had her breaking issues which won't help from an inside draw, but she did recover from her early trouble to get up for third money in an improved effort first time on the local footing.
Chicago Angel
Sire gets just 4% winners with his first out runners and she's the first foal to race out of a dam who was winless from 2 starts; works are ok, but the low percentage outfit hasn't had much recent luck with its debut runners.
Papa's Dancing
Sire is 2 for 11 with his debut runners and the dam won 1 sprint from 28 total starts prior to dropping a 2 time sprint winner; barn has been on a poor run with its newcomers but was once quite dangerous with this type and though not particularly quick, the worktab is steady so she shouldn't be sghort.
Accommodation
Sire gets 9% winners from his newcomers and the dam won 1 of her 2 starts prior to dropping 4 winners from 5 foals to race; bullet drill earlier in the week suggests she's ready to roll and she'll attract Leparoux, but this barn has suffered through a long drought with its firsters.
Moscato Girl
Sire is 0 for 7 with his runners right out of the box and the unraced dam dropped 3 winners from 4 foals to race; works are improved of late and the barn is capable of firing with newcomers; nice to see Bejarano take the call.
Jogget
Sire is 1 for 12 with his firsters and the dam was a 3 time sprint winner who dropped 3 winners including G3 SW and 638K earner Paradise Dancer; he went for 30 times his sire's stud fee at auction in the spring so they saw something they liked, but her recent local surface drills aren't as good as how she was working on synthetic footing.
Global Hottie
Sire is 2 for 22 with his debut runners and the multiple SW dam won 5 sprints including her first out run and 5 of her 6 foals to race are winners; they paid a good amount for this gal at auction in the spring and she's been working quickly of late; if she takes strong tote support she likely comes out running.
Sixy Eddie
Sire is 0 for 10 with his newcomers and the dam was winless from 4 career starts prior to dropping 2 winners; outside drawn filly is working ok of late for her unveiling but don't know much about this barn and their ability to get them ready to roll first out. By Steve Grabowski

Race 5

Hidethegoodstuff
Quite an overlay in that comeback race when just missing but now the odds will plummet and she will have to deal with severe pace pressure if all runners go; must break from the rail for the first time, one of the more underrated aspects in the game, and will have no easy task.
Good Party
Cutback in distance may not work in her favor despite all the pure speed types in attendance; the workout regimen has shown steady progression, however; mixed signals for this returning lass.
Goldilocks Planet
Raced evenly in the last assignment and should move forward today with much more testing early fractions in store; spots experience over the course yet the most recent half-mile drill was fair; will have to run a personal best to be in the mix.
Lucky Student
One of the main speeds to consider, she broke maiden in solid fashion earlier this month; drops an important 4 pounds from that test but her ability to withstand a duel remains open to question; must try to clear Hidethegoodstuff in opening strides.
Freewayracer
Respectable comeback race from the outermost post 3 weeks ago; historically, this is just not her proper distance and she is likely to rally after the fact again; watch for this mare down the road on a stretchout bid.
Madoffwiththemoney
Versatile filly, once a pure front-runner, has learned to rate effectively and that weapon stamps her as one of the true contenders today; scored under this impost last month and draws a comfortable middle post now; should be within striking range without difficulty.
Tribal Chatter
Did not have a smooth beginning in that August getaway race but has progressed nicely since her last placing here in April; her latest half-mile workout was one of her best and she seems worth inclusion in your exotic wagering approach.
Warren's Blossom
She did not race in all of 2012 and it remains doubtful if she can recapture some of her very fine form from the previous years; turned in a uplifting workout only 13 days ago but it may not be enough to turn things around suddenly.
Rachels Belle
Jumps way up the ladder for reasons unknown and although a 5-time winner, she does not seem capable of handling this caliber; turned in a pair of atypical 7F workouts following the latest defeat; cannot endorse at this time. By Jim Kachulis

Race 6

Being There
He trailed for some time before putting in a bid in the later stages in his debut last out and such a style suggests he might make good use of the added ground he picks up on the move to a mile and an eighth; also gets in light under apprentice Orozco; can move forward.
Lethal Story
Filly facing boys is a full sister to Lethal Heat, a Grade 2 winner of $655K; has a nice foundation of races for the move to a mile and an eighth; also seems to have found a home on turf as she ran the best race of her career last out in her grass debut; dam was a multiple stakes winner of $300K.
Maxx the Kid
He closed from next-to-last to split the field last out in his two-turn debut, and given the bid he would seem well-served by the added ground he picks up in this spot; do, however, believe he can be closer to the pace than he found himself last time, and suspect that will be the case, anyways, on the move from a mile to a mile an eighth; leading contender.
Yes Yes Yes
He was fourth two back in the $100K Oak Tree Juvenile Turf; the first three finishers from the race have since been pre-entered in the Breeders' Cup Juvenile Turf, with the winner also pre-entered in the BC Juvenile; as for this one, he exits a quick mile race and for this trip will add blinkers, which is a high percentage move for Eurton; 'believe' he's a win candidate for Always Believe Inc.
Oh Brother Go
He makes his turf debut for a stallion who is getting 7 percent winners from his first-time turfers from a limited sample; dam has produced two turf winners and another runner who is stakes-placed on the grass; as for two turns, there are reasons to think he will appreciate the added real estate.
Oso Smart
He has a nice foundation for the move to a mile and an eighth, coming off three straight two-turn starts; distance would also seem to suit as sire was a true mile and a quarter horse; dam was a stakes winner nd she has produced a Grade 3 winner in A La Reine ($266K); gets back on turf in meaningful surface switch; win candidate.
Neverwherecauseway
He can be closer to the pace than some of these and that would seem to serve him well; like that he showed improved speed in his last start, when he stalked a hot pace before finishing off the board; draws an improved post over his most recent start; one of several who can share.
Storm the Channel
He split the field in his debut last out, when he closed from well back for sixth in a maiden allowance that went in good time; like several of these, he seems like one who will make good use of the added ground on offer; at least his pedigree suggests as much; leading contender.
Life's Journey
He's making his turf debut for a stallion who is getting 8 percent winners from his first-time turfers and who is responsible for BC Mile winner Kip Deville; this one's dam, meanwhile, has produced a turf winner; surface switch could be meaningful for this one based on pedigree; suspect he fires an improved race. By Mary Rampellini

Race 7

Jennyway U Want It
Firster boasts a solid recent local drill for her unveiling from a draw that can be tough for a newcomer; sire gets 11% winners from his debut runners and the dam won 4 times (3 sprints) and banked 107K prior to dropping this gal; barn hasn't had a lot of recent luck with this type, but they are profitable with them.
Kantina Kowgirl
Moves back in with maidens after fading against stakes foes first time on the dirt at Fairplex; filly did show some ability on synthetic footing prior to her last and she is kin to a handful of main track winners including G2 SP, 337K earner Roi Charmant so maybe she deserves another crack on the local main track.
Christianas Mirage
Debuted in a key Del Mar maiden heat and didn't have much to offer after the poor start; she should be better with the initial experience behind her and her dam was a SW turfer and 332K earner so there may be some ability here, but the recent dirt drills aren't much.
Magic Spot
Sire is 2 for 11 with his debut runners and she's the first foal to race out of a dam who won twice; works are ok of late but this barn hasn't had a lot of luck with its recent newcomers.
Madame Heat
Offered little on other surfaces and now she'll give the local dirt a try; she's kin to 4 main track winners including Cal Cup Classic winner and 347K earner Mr. Chairman so maybe she improves over this footing while dropping in to face statebreds, but she'll need to in order to step at this level.
Prayer Be Mine
Sire gets 9% first out winners from his offspring and the dam was 0 for 1 prior to dropping winners from all 5 foals to race; barn gets them ready to roll and a top pilot takes the call; long recent synthetic drills suggest she can run some.
Chilada
Sire gets 11% debut winners and she's the first foal to race out of an unraced dam; works are steady solid of late and the barn does a decent job right out of the box so she's worth a look if she takes some money.
Miss Loujean
She's got early foot and she showed it last time when coughing up a clear midstretch lead at Del Mar and finishing behind one of the gals who shows up in this spot as well; maybe the time off served her well, but the barn hasn't done so well of late with its returnees; expecting she'll again be prominent from the bell.
Another Victoria
She's got plenty of early foot and now this beaten chalk will cut back a half panel after getting caught dueling in her first local start; synthetic debut run at Del Mar was pretty sharp and maybe her race over the track gives her and edge over her speedy foe who draws to her inside in here; one to run down.
Euroclydon
Newcomers draws outside which could help keep her out of trouble; solid pilot gets aboard a filly who boasts a steady recent worktab but the barn's been on a poor run right out of the box; sire is only 4 for 59 with his firsters, but the unraced dam's lone foal to race won her debut with a 67 Beyer a couple of years back. By Steve Grabowski

Race 8

Heir Kitty
Multiple graded stakes placed filly has been a consistent performer and this really doesn't look like a bad spot for her to try to go after her first graded stakes win; third place finisher from latest returned to win next out here on 10/13 going 1m vs. 62k OPC's with a 93 Beyer.
Caraquista
She earned a career best Beyer Speed Figure in her latest outing but this filly has yet to run a race that is strong enough to suggest if that she can get the job done in this spot; perhaps she can prove to be an early pace player, but she looks like more of an outsider.
Miss Empire
She carries multiple stakes winning credentials with her, but her best race doesn't appear to be strong enough to put pressure on the top contenders, and she looks like the weaker of the two Miller-trained fillies in here.
Wittgenstein (IRE)
In a race where the winner seems likely to earn a Beyer Speed Figure in the upper 80's or low 90's, this filly sports a career best figure of 78; like the idea of getting her back over turf, but this looks like a tough assignment for her.
Oscar Party
She showed us that she had some ability racing over turf as a 2-year-old and like to see the way that she's taken her game to another level in her four starts at age three; she's a neck shy of being a G3 winner and feel that she merits top contender status against these.
Include the Aussie
Although it was under favorable circumstances, this late running filly was a sharp winner just two races ago, and she finished right behind today's rival Heir Kitty in her latest outing; that said, it is worth noting the presence of Stevens aboard the other Proctor-trained filly in here.
Flashy Ways
She beat one of today's key rivals in Wishing Gate when recording an impressive stakes victory in her second career start, and feel that she's an interesting player in this spot with blinkers going back on; not going to be at all surprised if this relatively lightly raced 3-year-old shows up with her best performance to date.
Charlie Em (GB)
She was sharp in taking down the top prize in a G3 in her first start in America, and although she hasn't been quite as sharp in a string of starts since then, perhaps the time off prior to this did her some good; winner from latest returned to win next out here on 9/28 going 1 1/16m in a G1 with a 106 Beyer.
Need You Now (IRE)
It would have been nice to have seen her show more through the stretch when finishing behind today's rival Wishing Gate in her latest start, but have to respect the effort she showed up with just two races ago, and she is being reunited with Leparoux; Julian has won with 18 of 75 (24%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Wishing Gate
Grade 2 winner sports form that makes her tough to look past in this spot and she's out of a multiple graded stakes winning dam who won 7 of 24 turf starts for 603k; Stevens has won with 16 of 64 (25%) mounts for this barn in 2013; must respect.
Journey On
Since failing to run to her backing in her career debut, she's been very sharp in recording three consecutive victories, and that includes a couple of starts over turf in her two most recent races; however, this is clearly her toughest test to date; she's a full to stakes winner Bella Viaggia (4-8, 261k, including 2 of 4 turf starts for 145k); Pedroza has won with 11 of 26 (42%) mounts for this barn in 2013.
Ighraa (IRE)
She needs to see a scratch from the main body of this race in order to draw in, and when considering what she had been doing in France prior to arriving in America, it's probably a good idea to look for her to improve over what she showed us in her USA racing debut.
Becky Lou
She chased a couple of today's rivals to the finish in her latest outing but this filly will probably appreciate getting back over turf for this; winner from latest returned to win next out here on 9/28 going 1 1/16m in a G1 with a 106 Beyer; if she draws in, it's probably a good idea to respect her chances based on what she showed us in her first three starts in America. By Brian Pochman

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