Peck: How I'll play Monmouth for Sunday, May 14

Heavy rains on Saturday guaranteed the grass races would be moved to the main track on Sunday at Monmouth Park, and they in fact were. That was good news for trainer Jorge Navarro, who has Main Track Only entrant TOO CLEVER BY HALF perfectly spotted in the day's 8th race. The price will be light, but she does appear to be a lynchpin in this sprint.

The 9th race may be where a little value can be had, as MELLO GROOVE could be good enough to upset heavy favorite MANIPULATED. I'm using them both equally, but obviously rooting for the former, who will be five times the price of the latter.

In the finale, NOBLE DAVE is the play. He comes off consecutive races where was against the flow, trying to close in races where speeds held the edge. If he gets at least some pace help today he can upset likely favorite Giant Two Step, who makes his first start in over a year and now returns for a tag, which can certainly be viewed as a negative.

THE PLAY:

$5 Pick Three: 6 / 3, 8 / 4 ($10 Total)