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Churchill Downs

Peck: Churchill pick four play for Saturday, May 2

Kenny Peck|May 01, 2015

RACE 2

Fully aware of the strength of that maiden win by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR (#3) first time out, and though he ran well in his return try, it sure didn't seem as though he was wild about seven furlongs. I'm going to make LEWYS VAPORIZER (#8) an "A" along with YOCKEY'S WARRIOR, as the former impressed in that Hawthorn maiden score. The lone "B" play will be the entry of ROLL TIDE ROLL (#1) and TOUGH CUSTOMER (#1A). I think ROLL TIDE ROLL could fall into a nice stalking trip behind a contested pace, as he proved in his debut that he can rate, and TOUGH CUSTOMER has decent works for his return for Wayne Catalano, who does well off the layoff.

A's: 3, 8
B's: 1
C's: NONE

RACE 3

Going to use them all to some extent, as the obvious contenders are not horses I'd trust to carry the entire ticket. Keep in mind that I included also-eligibles in this play, and the final cost of the ticket will not be as high, as some of these will have to come out.

A's: 2, 9, 11, 13, 15
B's: 4, 8, 10, 12, 14
C's: 1, 3, 5, 6, 7

RACE 4

Really like CARVE (#3) in this spot. He was against the race flow in the Razorback and out of his element when on the lead in the Oaklawn Handicap, but he should revert back to stalking tactics here, with at least two confirmed speeds (Rocket Time and Bradester) in the field. CAT BURGLAR (#6), unseen since the Brooklyn back in June, is another who figures to be well spotted off the speeds. Also using MIDNIGHT CELLO (#10) on lesser tickets.

A's: 3, 6
B's: 10
C's: NONE

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RACE 5

Not convinced that THE TRUTH OR ELSE (#3) isn't as good as he looked in defeat in the Southwest three back. Perhaps American Pharoah just made him look bad in the Rebel and the Arkansas Derby, and he'll rebound here given a clean trip and honest fractions. LORD NELSON (#5) is easy to like off his recent form, and he's the main threat to run down COMPETITIVE EDGE (#6), who will try to steal it, though he could face pressure on the front end from horses like Gimme Da Lute and Hillbilly Royalty. That possibility and the expected short price make me comfortable tagging him as a "B" and trying to beat him to some extent.

A's: 3, 5
B's: 6
C's: NONE


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