Northfield: Wednesday 8/19 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
3,8,9 / 5,6 / 1,5 / 1,4,6 = $36
Best Bet: SAM’S PROFILE (12th)
Spot Play: DOUBLE O JESSE (3rd)
Race 1
(9) UN POCO DE LOCO has put in two solid efforts in a row showing a nice burst in his last two; driver's choice. (3) ENRICHMENT was a game winner last out and now picks up the top driver. (1) STURDY'S BABY gets the best post in a weak field; use underneath.
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Race 2
(7) LET LOOSE HANOVER doesn't look the best on paper but benefits from a huge driver change. The 3-year-old will need to be close turning for home. (1) DOLORD owns a win at this level and gets a huge post edge on his main rivals. (9) PARKTOWNISCOOTIWIN bumps up in class and will need more to hit the top spot.
Race 3
(9) DOUBLE O JESSE might be primed for a better effort third start back off a long layoff. (1) ERICSKARRI does benefit from the rail and the top driver but has been very dull; command a price. (7) ROCKIN H CHEERY O will offer a big price and also should be better second start off the layoff.
Race 4
(1) IWILLDOWHATIDO takes a huge drop down to the bottom level. The pacer gets the best post and the top driver. (5) TIJUANA PARTY hasn't been competitive for two months, however the pacer finds a really weak and inconsistent field. (4) PARTYATBARTSPLACE gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but is capable of a good effort; use underneath.
Race 5
(4) ROJAN'S LAST SHOT if the well bred gelding minds his manners he's probably a winner. (5) STIRLING BOUDICA also made a miscue last start but owns a decent burst of speed off the gate. (2) EL CERRITO PLACE trotting mare is 0 for her career but has been knocking on the door.
Race 6
(1) HIGH STAKES BANKER has trouble staying trotting at times but is faster than most of the field when right. (3) BOSCO'S ANGEL has been close against better; threat. (5) SON OFA SPUR owns only one win on the year; use underneath.
Race 7
(5) STRONG VICTORY had some sneaky late pace last week with little room to maneuver. (3) TE'S CONMYSOCKSOFF gets sent out for a trainer capable of producing some big price turnarounds every once in a while. (1) CAUGHT ME SPEEDING gets sent out for a low percentage pilot; use caution.
Race 8
(9) KATIE AND J came up empty last week but gets another try at the bottom level and could offer a big price. (3) BONNIE'S BEACH should be able to compete in an easier spot picking up a huge driver change. (8) THUNDER CHASER will need a lot of racing luck with a driver who rarely wins.
Race 9
(5) MOONLIT SHARK might be able to get an excellent spot up close; fires early. (6) DESPERATE CROWDS picks up the top driver in a field full of question marks. (4) KAYLEIGH'S FUTURE is capable of pacing a big mile but gets a big downgrade in the bike; use underneath.
Race 10
(5) Y MACH ME was an easy winner last time at this level. (1) HOT CYCLE has been racing gamely and benefits from the best post. (3) NOMINAL HANOVER is 0 for the year but has been competitive at this level; use underneath.
Race 11
(6) E R SISTER just needs a competent drive down in class from a low percentage pilot. (1) UMYGEORGIA HANOVER pacing mare gets the best post and top driver, however his miles at Lexington could be deceiving; use caution. (4) STAR STUDDED GUN mare couldn't win at the bottom level last out and now bumps back up in class; command a price.
Race 12
(4) SAM'S PROFILE could have gone much faster last start earning a victory and finds an even weaker field. (2) REGAL GLIDE made a miscue last start but raced tremendous the start prior; threat. (6) SOMEDAY LU well bred mare has just been racing evenly but faces softer.
Race 13
In a really tough race to gauge, (9) FLIRTIN owns a win against much better on the year and finds a field full of question marks. (7) ROCA REI has some positives including first start in a new barn and picks up the top driver. (2) COSMETICIAN owns only one win on the year; use underneath.
Race 14
In a field that's a combined 2 for 149 on the year, (2) MISS ARIEL should have a shot racing up close on the lead or in the pocket. (5) NOT AGAIN WOMAN mare is one of two horses in the race with a victory at the track on the year. (1) A MILLION THANKS has yet to hit the board in seven starts and gets sent out for a driver who rarely wins; use caution.
Race 15
(3) CHARLIE B picks up a huge driver change and will be looking to take no prisoners; fires early. (2) MATT'S JACK should be in line for a nice ground saving trip; use underneath. (1) DIFFERENCE MAKER is also in a perfect starting post but likely needs more to hit the top spot.
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