Northfield: Wednesday 5/9 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
Best Bet (12 - 17 / $43.40): ANDOVERTHEHILL (12th)
Spot Play: BIG TOWN JOE (6th)
Race 8 - $7,500 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
1,2,3,4,5 with 2,3, with 1 with 4,6,7 = $30
Race 1
(5) CHEER THE STORM had a lot of late trot last week closing from a tough spot. (4) GRACEFUL JARMBRO was the top driver's choice in an inconsistent field. (6) COWBOY BLUE has been competitive at this level.
Race 2
(6) ROSE RUN OSCAR takes a significant drop in class. (5) LIMA LEGEND might be able to hit the ticket at a price. (3) UNCLE DAN will offer low value and shows breaks; use caution.
Race 3
(6) TO RUSSIA will dominate if the 3-year-old filly stays trotting. (3) DONTFORGETTODREAMIT has room to improve third start back off the layoff. (2) NOW HELEN filly has flashed early gate speed which could put her close turning for home.
Race 4
(1) HOWBOUTA BIG GUY gets sent out first start in a new barn with the best post. (9) MADISONS MAX lightly raced 3-year-old is one of few in the race with upside. (2) KREACHER gets sent out for proven connections and picks up a top driver.
Race 5
(4) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR raced well first start out for new connections and should be in line for an easier trip this week. (1) FERRISWHEEL JUNKIE has been competitive against better on the year. (8) GLOBAL APPEAL needs a good setup to get involved late.
Race 6
(8) BIG TOWN JOE put in an excellent first effort off the bench. The 3-year-old would be the horse to beat had he drawn inside. (7) IRISH BEACH KIDD might be better from off the pace this week. (2) ST LADS SHAMAN gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but has shown a decent burst of speed when timed right.
Race 7
(1) J-S MAPLE JAC looks to offer the better price of the contenders and gets the best starting post. (4) ARBOR GAL'S QUEST gets sent out for proven connections against a weak bunch. (9) EAST LAKER gelding has room to improve in his third career start.
Race 8
In a wide open and evenly matched race, (2) YES YOUR MATTJESTY picks up a huge driver change and finally gets a good starting post with options. (1) GUISEPPE MOLLUSCA will offer a huge price and has pulled big upsets in the past. (4) SCARLET CAT drops down a notch but has been camera shy this year reaching the winner's circle just once.
Race 9
(2) CATCH THE BOUQUET has just been racing evenly but should find this spot much softer. (3) WALLTOCOUSINS impeccably bred 10-year-old owns tons of back class and faces much weaker. (8) ONE DIRECTION burned cash last week making a break. If the 6-year-old stays trotting he has a chance to beat this bunch.
Race 10
(1) CHANG DYNASTY has been racing gamely despite being picked off in two straight. (4) IMPRUDENT SPEED should be closer turning for home and has room to improve in his third start back off the long layoff. (9) BALL DON'T LIE has just been racing evenly but fits in with this bunch nicely.
Race 11
In one of the toughest races to handicap on the card, (7) P L HAYMAKER just needs to find a way into the race for a chance to pull the upset. (4) NORM AT WORK gelding gets sent out for proven connections third start back off the bench. (6) I'M GORGEOUS burned cash last week but is a threat with a similar effort.
Race 12
(2) ANDOVERTHEHILL has been razor sharp since the claim. (5) MONARCH BAUR trotted a really nice mile last week finishing a solid second. (3) J-S FOR JUSTICE five-year-old gelding is fast when he minds his manners; use underneath.
Race 13
(2) MATCHPLAY HANOVER just missed last week to a much tougher bunch; short price. (3) RED PINE is very inconsistent from week to week. A good effort puts him in the mix. (1) WARRIOR CALL has just been racing evenly; use underneath.
Race 14
In another wide open race, (9) TADY'S COUNT was solid in the qualifier and has a proven pedigree. (6) BUTTER TOFFEE gelding went from awesome to empty last week. Any kind of effort like the one two back probably puts him on the ticket. (5) TARTUFO LINDY has some ability but will need a better effort to beat this group; command a price.
Race 15
(3) I SCOOT QUICK raced really well against a better field last week. (5) HEARTLAND will offer a big price but needs an ideal setup. (6) PRETTYFACEUGLYWAYS has yet to win on the year but does find a really soft group.
Race 16
(7) BIG LAURA LYN has been knocking on the door and shows early gate speed. (1) DOORAH CHEERLEADER looks terrible on paper but is possibly the horse to beat with the best starting post. (4) BALLERINA ROSA mare comes into the race off a really long layoff, however the qualifier makes her a player against this field.
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