Northfield: Wednesday 4/29 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
8 / 1,2,4,5,6,7,8 / 1,2,5 / 5 = $21
Best Bet: ML GAMBLER (7th)
Spot Play: DAY TO DAY (14th)
Race 1
(2) BALLYKEEL MIKE gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but raced gamely last out going a tough trip against the same bunch. (3) GET PACKIN has no excuse in two straight but could be a threat with easy early fractions. (1) RAILEE KWIK gets the best post but is best used underneath.
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Race 2
In a field that has a combined one win in ninety-one starts (4) HERE COMES WHITEY looks to be the sharpest in the field showing a decent burst of speed from a tough post last week. (2) MCARDLE DIRECT made the most money in the field last year and just missed at this level. (1) CASIMIR LUCKYNUTZ should be much closer turning for home in a weak field.
Race 3
(7) SAM'S PROFILE gelding needed his first start off a four-year layoff and has room to move forward in a field full of question marks. (6) GUTH well bred trotter looks to offer low value but has been trotting faster than most of the field. (3) DUNK three-year-old filly looks terrible on paper but is a threat to hit the ticket if she minds her manners.
Race 4
(2) STRONG VICTORY pacing filly adds second-time lasix and will offer a big price against a suspect bunch. (4) VERY WELL PRETTY well bred 3-year-old has been facing much tougher and has room to improve. (6) TOWN CROSSING mare gets sent out second start for top connections; threat.
Race 5
(1) NORTHERN CONE just needs to stay trotting to make it two wins in a row. (5) KB'S BIG GAINER filly could be sitting on a good effort off a layoff and picks up the top driver. (3) TREASURE VOLO looks to be slowly progressing but would need much more; use underneath.
Race 6
In a wide open and tough race to gauge (6) LIL MISS DYNAMITE gets sent out for a low percentage pilot but will offer a monster price and could show improvement second start in a new barn. (7) CONTINUANCE could be in the mix with some racing luck. (4) BEAUTY'S BANDIT sophomore pacer makes his first start of the year against a really weak field.
Race 7
(5) ML GAMBLER takes a significant drop in class and will be used aggressively. (7) UNCLE UGLY four-year-old got an acclimating start over the track underneath his belt and could be one of few threats to the top choice. (1) LARRY CLARK looks to be in line for a ground-saving trip up close; command a price.
Race 8
(8) MASTER PINE drops to the bottom level and just needs to find a way into the race for a big shot. (5) BRADYMEISTER is one of few threats to the top choice and could be forwardly placed. (1) LEGACY CHIP gets a good post but is best used underneath.
Race 9
(2) WHOSBEST raced well at this level last out and now gets a much better post. (4) CAVEAT CREEK could need a start coming off a layoff but put in a decent qualifier. (7) CC'S DESIRE has the most upside in the field but also makes his first start of the year.
Race 10
(1) STRAIGHT DANCER was the top driver's choice and will be used aggressively from the rail. (2) DANCE WITH DAN should be sitting in a nice spot up close; threat. (5) STRANGE HANOVER has not won in long time but is one of few who's been competitive at this level.
Race 11
(5) BOOYAH TJ gelding has really turned it around in his last three. (4) GOVERNMENT OFFICAL flashed some early ability and has been close against similar. (1) MR FIX IT ELWOOD three-year-old won half his starts as a 2-year-old and looks to be primed for a better effort third start back off the layoff.
Race 12
(2) EXACTORMAN drops back down a level and finds a weak and inconsistent field. (3) JP ORAZIO gets post relief but comes into the race off a break; command a price. (5) ROUNDING THIRD picks up a good driver change but has just been racing evenly.
Race 13
(9) WINDSONG DESTROYER dominated last out and could have more to offer at a better price. (7) SANTA'S SPECIAL looks like the horse to beat facing significantly weaker but will need to work out a trip from a tough post. (5) LEE A BRYANT races better forwardly placed and gets a post edge on his main rivals.
Race 14
(2) DAY TO DAY adds lasix and takes a big drop in class. (1) NINO MARINO was much easier to steer last out but will offer low value and needs more up in class. (5) ANNIE'S MASTER will offer a big price and owns a good burst of speed when timed right.
Race 15
(4) YOULL THINK OF ME will look to drop and pop; short price. (3) MEXICAN COAST owns some back class and was much better last start. (1) AUTO PILOT rarely wins but picks up a good driver change with the best post.
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