Northfield: Wednesday 3/29 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
Best Bet: DE LIONESS (3rd)
Spot Play: JAILHOUSE TUFF (7th)
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
4,5 / 3,4,9 / 2,5,7 / 5 = $18
Race 1
(7) GRAPHITE looks tough to beat facing a really weak bunch. (3) HUPOMONE could be one of few threats in the race but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot. (9) WOODSIDE WANNA BEE will offer a big price and has already hit the board at this level.
Race 2
(1) HIGH AND TIGHT doesn't win often but gets the best post at the bottom level. (2) CELESTIAL DREAMS has been competitive against better on the year; threat. (5) WANDERER shows some decent efforts before the layoff.
Race 3
(5) DE LIONESS well bred filly put in an excellent qualifier. (7) MAKIN TROUBLE K lightly raced filly still has some upside in a field full of question marks. (1) MYBIGBROWNEYEDGIRL should be sharper third start back off a long layoff.
Race 4
(4) TRUMP IT won with a huge performance last week for top connections. The 3-year-old gelding will go for his second bigly win in a row. (5) FAST ROLL filly raced well last start just missing against similar. (1) BUSTER BROWNIE does own an impressive win at this level but has been disjointedness since.
Race 5
(9) LATE BID TOM had no excuse last week getting picked off late. The gelding is better than what he's showing. (5) SPIES AN LIES jumps up with good efforts from time to time at big prices. (8) EL LOBO HALL needs a good setup but could also hit the ticket at a big price.
Race 6
(4) CAMS VALENTINO three-year-old colt just missed last week from a tough spot. (3) MCMOOSE raced well in the qualifier last week and picks up the top driver. (1) ROBIN'S STOCK four-year-old gelding gets the best post making his third start back off the layoff.
Race 7
(4) JAILHOUSE TUFF will look to make it three straight wins. (5) OREGON RIDGE raced well last start against slightly better. (7) MIGHTY GARLAND set a lifetime mark last week winning at a big price. The 5-year-old was the top driver's choice and any repeat of that effort puts him close.
Race 8
(4) SOLAR SURPRISE seven-year-old was an open caliber horse a few years ago. The pacer finds a soft spot to gain some confidence. (5) CHEYENNE MOISHE just got beat last week after a very fast first half. (9) WELLSAIDNDONE was close against similar last start; command a price.
Race 9
(9) WIND SURFER raced well against weaker last out and should offer a decent price bumping up a notch. (3) CASH ON DELIVERY just raced evenly last week but has been competitive against better on the year. (4) MARATHON MAN shows a dominating win at this level before the break and scratch; threat.
Race 10
(2) MCCUTCHEN will look to drop and pop against weaker. (5) GREAT ARTIST owns tons of back class when ready. The pacer has been off a few months but looked solid in the qualifier. (7) AIRGUITAR ROCKSTAR picks up a big driver change against a suspect bunch.
Race 11
(5) TRUE TO MACH former Northfield horse of the year will be tough to beat if close turning for home. (4) UNTOLD LEGEND finished a solid second last out to a decent opponent. (9) ST LADS ZOOM ZOOM is one of the faster pacers in the race.
Race 12
(5) MUSCOLO just missed last week for a hot barn. (3) CRAZOLO is just now back in racing shape and should show improvement. (9) CROWNED WITH GLORY has breaking issues but is fast enough if he minds his manners.
Race 13
(5) ARTISTIC DIRECTOR gets sent out for capable connections against a suspect bunch. (1) CONNOR HANOVER picks back up the top driver with the best post. (8) FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT gets a terrible post but can get a piece with a fast pace to close into.
Race 14
(2) GALACTIC STAR might be able to get a good early spot off the gate; threat. (6) JIMMY RIP is very inconsistent from week to week but is capable. (4) MANTACULATER has just been racing evenly; command a price.
Race 15
(9) MAJOR STONE twelve-year-old stallion faces much weaker and already owns multiple wins on the year. (3) SAGEBRUSH SID has hit the board twice at this level in his last four. (1) MAMBO ITALIANO keeps the top driver with the best post.
Race 16
(5) WIT AND WISDOM takes a huge drop in class; short price. (2) MODERN WARFARE has just been racing evenly; use underneath. (1) MOVECLOSERAGAIN gets the best post dropping in class.
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