Northfield: Wednesday 2/8 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket

Best Bet: ONE TO DRAW TO (11th)
Spot Play: SWEET HONEY (3rd)
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick-4 Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
9 / 1,2,6 / 2,5,6 / 7 =$9
Race 1
(1) TIPONTAB gets the best post coming off a really easy win. (4) OVERCOMEBYVICTORY faded last week after setting the fractions but should be in the mix. (2) ELEVEN MADISON has been very competitive at this level; short price.
Race 2
(8) OAKLEY DOAKLEY has his work cut out for him from the outside, however the pacer looks to be improving each week. (2) ONE GUITAR is a sophomore pacer that has plenty of room to improve in his second career start. (6) BRIGHT STONE rarely wins but does have some decent speed off the gate.
Race 3
In a very tough race to gauge, (3) SWEET HONEY can beat this bunch at a price with some racing luck. (2) BANDS VERITY hit the board quite a bit on the fair circuit. The trotting mare is one of few in the race that doesn't show a break. (7) GRAPHITE probably hits the ticket if he stays trotting.
Race 4
(9) TONOLLI needs a very fast pace to close into but might be in a decent spot to pick up the pieces. (7) WESTERN DIAL is very inconsistent from week to week but does own wins at this level. (8) THESHARKSBACKNTOWN has hit the board in three straight.
Race 5
(4) STRIKE IT BIG comes off a very nice qualifier; threat. (1) MR APOLLO gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field. (3) ALADY FOR SURE rarely wins but did race well last start at this level.
Race 6
(5) HEARTLAND DESIRE has been a constant cash burner at this track. The 5-year-old is due for a good effort at a price. (1) HANGON MAN has shown big bursts of speed in his last two but has little to show for it. (2) CULLENS BLUE JEAN is a veteran pacer that might have lost a few steps and should've had more last week; command a price.
Race 7
(1) MARGARITA MAN gets the best post and a big driver change; fires early. (3) TYMAL PRESTO comes off an easy victory down in class. (9) TALLADEGA HANOVER just raced evenly last week but looks to be in a decent spot to save some ground before shaking loose late.
Race 8
(9) MAN HE CAN SKOOT burned cash against slightly tougher last week. The pacer gets a big post edge on his main competition. (8) GRANTLAND could be dangerous with a fairly easy early lead. (3) UBETTERUBETTERUBET bumps up a notch off a solid effort.
Race 9
(6) T RED is a veteran pacer that is very inconsistent from week to week but can pace circles around this group with his best effort. (2) ROYAL KEE WEE N has raced gamely in two straight, just tiring late in both. (1) POW CHICKA POW POW is definitely a threat with a good setup.
Race 10
(2) MONTANA SKIES is very consistent at this level. (5) JOJO'S JOURNEY just missed against similar last out from a very tough spot. (6) KICK A LOT dropped and popped last week winning easily. The trotter can repeat without anybody challenging the gelding early.
Race 11
(7) ONE TO DRAW TO is a talented 5-year-old that takes a huge drop in class against much softer. (1) DUSTO could be the only threat to the top choice. (9) GIUSEPPE MOLLUSCA owns a decent burst of speed when timed right; use underneath.
Race 12
(5) PARTY ALLSTAR looks to offer the best price of the contenders; threat. (7) SEDUCE A STRANGER takes a significant drop in class against a suspect bunch. (9) FORT COMMANDER has burned cash in three straight; command a price.
Race 13
(3) D GS SUAVEMENTE has been pacing slightly faster than most of the field. (2) ELOCUTIONIST keeps the top driver and just needs to ration out his speed; fires early. (1) LYNARD gets the best post in a weak and inconsistent field.
Race 14
(4) MIRACLE CANTAB will offer a good price and has room to improve after needing the start last week. (9) I GOT THIS is a four-year-old that should be much closer turning for home this week. (7) JAILHOUSE TUFF is just now back in racing shape after a long layoff.
Race 15
In one of the weakest fields on the card, (6) GENERAL SIMBA has been off a month but picks up the top driver against a suspect bunch. (5) TOMMY TWO SHOES has been competitive against better but has lacked pop in his last few. (2) MAC'S DEVIL went from empty to almost pulling a massive upset last week; use underneath.
Race 16
(4) MC WILLIAM will be used very aggressively down in class. (9) HIGHBEAM RUSTY should be primed for a better effort third start back off the layoff. (2) JUMP THE SHARK has just been racing evenly but also drops in class.
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