Northfield: Wednesday 2/19 Analysis + Pick Four ticket
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
6 / 1,2,4,6,7 / 1,2,5,6,9 / 2 = $25
Best Bet: CANWECHEATUMNWHEN (5th)
Spot Play: D J SUPREME (2nd)
Race 1
(7) MISTER OLIVER just raced evenly last out but finds a really weak field and should offer the right price. (4) GIRLY LOCKS trotting mare comes off a layoff, but did trot a decent last quarter in the qualifier. (3) SMALLSREED gets a good starting post and with a little racing luck could get a piece.
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Race 2
(4) D J SUPREME made the most money in the field last year and needed his last start. (2) DAX HANOVER could take advantage of the post by firing to the top early on; threat. (5) VANISCAPE put in a much better effort last start and did pace some big miles from time to time last year.
Race 3
(4) JAY JAY REDSKY needs some early action up front for his best chance but should offer a fair price. (5) LUCKY CIRO benefits from the top driver but will probably be overbet based off his last few lines. (1) MOMA JEAN'S CROWN mare just missed last out and gets the best post; threat.
Race 4
In a very tough race to handicap on paper (5) INFINITE DESIRE just raced evenly last out but is one of few who have shown closing ability. (9) LOW AND RIGHT could be in line for a nice trip. (3) WARRAWEE LAD put in a good effort last out and has some room to improve.
Race 5
(3) CANWECHEATUMNWHEN makes his first start for a new trainer, picks up the top driver, and looks to be ready for a big effort. (5) SBM GEORGIAN STAR mare desperately needed her last start and should be much better. (6) SON OFA SPUR needs a fast pace to chase for his best chance; use underneath.
Race 6
(7) STATE OF THE UNION jumped up with a huge effort out of nowhere and would be tough with a repeat of that last effort. (6) RIDGE PARK could be hampered by a tough post with little gate speed, but if he can work out a trip would be threat to sweep past late. (3) BLUE SCOOTIN MATT finds a good spot to use his gate speed and could be in line for an ideal trip.
Race 7
(1) CONNIE KEEPER mare trotted a huge mile last start but has been off a month. The 4-year-old draws the best post and just needs to stay trotting for a victory; short price. (6) NEELY SPRING needed his last two starts and might be ready for an improved effort. (5) ELIAN EXPRESS gelding does have some early speed which could put him in a nice spot early.
Race 8
(6) BLESSING STONE went a monster effort parked the mile to just get beat, but will need to get around the same rival who parked him last out. (4) MOOVEIT does his best racing from up front but might not be good enough to hold off the top choice. (1) MAJOR MIKE draws the rail and should be in a nice spot turning for home.
Race 9
(6) HERE COMES BUBBA has good closing ability and was the top driver's choice. (1) COLBY D gelding owns good gate speed and combined with the rail could make him tough with soft fractions. (2) NEAR THE LIMIT also has gate speed in a suspect field.
Race 10
(6) JUMPIN JACK J seven-year-old has a bunch of positives going for him including a significant drop in class and the top driver. (2) CHIPS GALORE is an intriguing prospect making his second start back off a layoff coming off a big first effort. (5) LUV STRUCK was really good prior to a lackluster effort last out.
Race 11
(2) ROSE RUN LOGAN dominated last start off a layoff and should be even better; short price. (6) FORTUNE SAILOR really responded nicely to the driver change last out but would need more and the right setup to get past the top choice. (5) STRIKING LIGHTNING makes his first start off the claim and looks to be going in the right direction; use underneath.
Race 12
(1) CULLENATOR came up empty after a lifetime mark but does draw the best post in a suspect field. (2) GUNS BOUNTY HUNTER just raced evenly last race but finds a wide open race. (3) AE WESTERN INGOT races really inconsistently but does own a decent move if timed right.
Race 13
(5) TYREE watch the trainer closely because they could be ready for a breakout. (3) THE CLASSIC Z TAM has had some bad racing luck but should be closer with the improved post position. (4) WORRIES STAY SMALL should be considered a contender in an evenly matched race.
Race 14
(9) J M SHOWCAT picks up a huge driver change and just needs to stay trotting for a piece. (6) CHRISTMAS KNIGHT does jump up with a good one from time to time and should be a nice big price. (3) CJ'S VICTORY doesn't win often and needs a good trip.
Race 15
(5) MATT'S JACK made a break last race but has been facing much tougher; big chance. (2) GEM HEIST needed his last start and should show improvement second start back off a long layoff. (6) FLORIDABOY CLAYTON don't let his lines fool you, the gelding might need a few starts but does own ability.
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