Northfield: Wednesday 12/7 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four play:
2,3,4,5 / 1 / 1,2,3 / 2 = $12
Best Bet: HOLYHOLYGUACAMOLIE (3rd)
Spot Play: KARMA KWEEN (7th)
Race 1
(7) MYSTERY RINGER will offer excellent value and just needs a smooth trip for a chance. (1) BLUTUX benefits from the rail but only has one win on the year. (9) LIGHTENING WAR should be closer turning for home this week.
Race 2
(6) MORGANGETSHERWAY has been off a month but was impressive in his last start. (1) DUNE ON TIME filly benefits from the best post and top driver. (2) AUNT BETTY well bred filly has some question marks but does show some good efforts against slightly better.
Race 3
(3) HOLYHOLYGUACAMOLIE drew off last week at this level; short price. (4) ECHO'S ANNIE had no chance last week from the far outside. The 3-year-old might be one of few threats to the top choice. (9) WICKED WINDY gets sent out for a provisional pilot but looks to own some ability.
Race 4
(5) SEA DANSER finished a solid second against a similar field last start. (6) MCPLAY GIRL picks up the top driver first time out for a new barn. (9) SAGEBRUSH SUE freshman pacer faces older but should offer value and has flashed ability.
Race 5
(1) BUCKEYE BOB three-year-old will look to make it three straight at this level. (7) ADIOS AMIGOS was an easy winner last out for a new barn, however the pacer will have a much tougher task from the outside this week. (8) TIMESAWASTEING lightly raced pacer has a ton of upside but is also up against it with the post.
Race 6
(2) ACTING CAPTAIN is very inconsistent from week to week but a good effort puts him in the mix. (5) LOCK THREE was heavily bet down last week from a tough post at this level. (6) SILVERHILL DELIGHT well bred gelding has just been racing evenly but takes a huge drop in class with a top driver.
Race 7
(4) KARMA KWEEN has been facing slightly tougher and gets a positive driver change. (5) ALMOST MIDNIGHT just missed last week at this level but owns only one win on the year; command a price. (6) WEDNESDAYS WHIM might be able to pick up the pieces with a good setup.
Race 8
In a wide open race, (3) OK FERRARI is one of few in the race that's been competitive at this level. (5) COACH KEN just missed against similar two back. (4) SOUTHWIND JOKER has just been racing evenly but is a threat to hit the ticket with a good setup.
Race 9
(1) ROYAL ASSASSIN gets the best post and is one of few threats in the race. (3) MCCUTCHEN had no excuse last week burning cash; use caution. (4) FIXTHEDEFICIT has room to improve first start in a new barn.
Race 10
(3) ONEEYEDMOMMA filly might have needed the start last week and has the ability to trot a good mile. (1) CERTAIN POTENTIAL will draw all the attention with the best post and top driver; short price. (2) VICTORY CANDY MAN might be the fastest off the gate but has struggled late in recent miles.
Race 11
(2) DRAG N SAND nice looking filly makes her second start back off a layoff and should be much sharper. (9) ELOQUENT VELOCITY might be in a position to pick up a late piece. (1) ARTS-ROCKSTAR gets the best post with the top driver but is best used underneath bumping up in class.
Race 12
(5) ULTIMATE WINNER five-year-old trotter has a high win percentage and is just now back in racing shape after a layoff. (2) KICK A LOT picks up a huge driver change facing weaker, however the trotter doesn't look to be on his game as of late; use caution. (9) FLEXCEPTIONAL has room to improve first start for a new barn.
Race 13
(1) KINGS BEACH impeccably bred pacer is the horse to beat off a decent effort at this level. (3) SOUTHWIND RAMBO is capable of getting his picture taken with a good setup. (2) JOJO IN THE SKY looks best used on the bottom of your tickets.
Race 14
In a really weak and inconsistent field, (2) KEENE ALLURE picks up the top driver with an excellent starting post. (7) MONTANA REI takes a huge drop in class for a capable trainer. (3) IM BABYS BIG GIRL has just been racing evenly but does own a win at this level; threat.
Race 15
(2) LOGAN COUNTY RALPH owns a win against better on the year and gets a big morning line. (1) CUTTY SHARK needs a competent drive from a low percentage pilot; command a price. (9) P L ADDER could be in a perfect spot to save some ground before shaking loose late.
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