Northfield: Wednesday 10/5 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
3,4,5 / 4 / 1,2,4,5,6 / 1,4 = $30
Best Bet: CARBON FOOTPRINT (3rd)
Spot Play: MOON IS ALLAGLOW (13th)
Race 1
(4) ST ELIAN'S FIRE trotting mare is fast enough to pull the upset with a good setup. (1) SURE THING twelve-year-old gets the best post and picks up a huge driver change. (2) NINO MARINO doesn't look the best on paper but jumps up with good efforts from time to time.
Race 2
(2) TONOLLI sophomore pacer has lots of room to improve in his second career start. The pacer finds a weak field full of question marks and will offer a nice price. (4) WESTERN DIAL is the only horse in the race with a win on his card. The pacer swooped the field from dead last two back before coming up empty last start; short price. (5) GUN'S WESTERN GIRL filly makes her career debut off an ok qualifier.
Race 3
(1) CARBON FOOTPRINT well bred trotter gets the best post off a nice effort at this level. (2) AISLING is capable against this field but needs a smooth trip. (3) SAY IT BEST has made the most money in the field on the year and has been facing tougher.
Race 4
(2) MISS EMILY D was an easy winner at this level last out. (1) TWINKY might be the only threat to the top choice despite being 1 for 34 on the year. (9) SUNRISE SUNSET didn't miss by much last week against similar.
Race 5
(3) SPARTAN CAN-DO three-year-old pacer went a very good mile last start from the far outside. (1) OH PLEASE lightly raced mare gets the best post off a decent win on the fair circuit. (2) BETTER THAN NEW gelding has yet to win in his career; use underneath.
Race 6
In one of the weakest fields on the card, (1) GOT WHAT IT TAKES gets the best post and shows being competitive at this level. (8) DANNYS MAN is one of the faster pacers in the field but needs to find a way into the race. (2) AT DAYBREAK pacer picks up a significant driver change but is 0 for the year; command a price.
Race 7
(1) DOUBTING TOM seven-year-old owns some back class and should be primed for a better effort third start back off a long layoff. (9) WASHINGTONIAN has yet to get it going this year but if the trotter stays flat he can threaten. (2) VICK VALOR is capable of better especially with the top driver hopping aboard.
Race 8
(3) BURSTING BLAZE drops down in class with a big driver change. (4) SIR HOWEIES Z TAM bumps up in class off a decent effort in the slop. The pacer should be able to compete with his best effort. (5) EXPLODENT has been facing much tougher but has some question marks shipping to the small track.
Race 9
(4) QUEENS LONELY EARL picks up the top driver against an inconsistent field. (5) DREAMING OF LORI has hit the board in six straight at this level but only owns one win on the year. (1) MOONTAN finished a solid second last out and now gets the rail.
Race 10
(5) TOBINS FORTUNE had some sneaky late pace last week and will offer a monster price. (2) TULFRA morning line favorite makes his second start in a new barn but is 0 for the year; use caution. (4) ROUNTUIT BLUEGRASS could be in line for a piece with a good setup.
Race 11
(4) REAL NICE GIRL pacing mare has been knocking on the door and looks to offer a fair price. (1) MIRACLE MATTY has been going some decent miles on the fair circuit and owns a solid win at this track. (5) MACHMETER morning line favorite picks up the top driver but looks to offer low value.
Race 12
(7) CHAMPION'S CLUB might have an excuse last start with the off track. The pacer should offer a much better price this week and owns a win against better on the year. (4) FIXTHEDEFICIT gelding has shown a big burst in his last two. The 5-year-old just needs to ration out his speed for a shot. (2) OUR MCLOVIN had no excuse last week burning cash against similar; command a price.
Race 13
(3) MOON IS ALL AGLOW three-year-old colt makes his career debut off a winning qualifier. The pacer finds a weak field full of question marks. (7) BAD MOONSHINE raced gamely last week from a tough post. If the 3-year-old gets another good spot out of the gate it probably puts him on the ticket. (4) OVERDRIVE gets sent out for a low percentage pilot; use underneath.
Race 14
(1) CYPRESS HILL ROSE just won a few days ago at this level from the toughest post; short price. (4) ICU CHARLIET mare needs to utilize her gate speed for a solid shot to hit the board. (2) RUMORS HAVIT should offer value underneath but needs some racing luck.
Race 15
(6) MOTOWN MOE four-year-old pacer picks back up the top driver in a field with few contenders; fires early. (2) CRAIG MICHAEL should be in a good spot to save some ground before shaking loose late. (1) NORTHERN RIVER morning line favorite has just been racing evenly in his last two; command a price.
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