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Northfield: Tuesday 6/10 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

Jeremey Day|Jun 09, 2014
Northfield Logo (#2)

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Ticket:

5,6 / 1,6 / 1,2 / 1,3,5,9 = $32

Best Bet: CJ’S SUPER SECRET (12th)

Spot Play: EASTER BAY (6th)

Race 1

(3) CLAYTON MORRIS three-year-old makes his second career start off a decent first effort. The pacer finds a suspect bunch and should improve. (5) SOAKING UP THE SUN gelding has a lot of ability and a big closing burst; fires late. (1) GLIDED TOWARDS ME has some positives including the rail and second time out in a new barn.

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Race 2

(6) MR ABERDEEN gets a huge driver change in a weak field. (8) SMOKE'N STOMRS will offer a big price and could hit the ticket with some racing luck; use underneath. (1) NORTH PARCC should get a decent trip up close to the pace but has yet to show any pop late.

Race 3

In a tough race to handicap (9) TRIPLE G is winless on the year and comes off a few miscues which should boost the price. If the 7-year-old can stay trotting he's got a chance. (5) MOM'S LOOKER picks up the top driver in an inconsistent field; threat. (1) ROSE RUN NEMO stayed flat last out and benefits from the best post.

Race 4

(6) BET ON BLUE filly has some upside in a field full of question marks. The 3-year-old makes her second start and looks to have some ability. (8) UNLIMITED WINNER trotting-bred pacer showed a good burst of speed in the qualifier but needs a smooth trip. (9) ACTION AUBREE ROSA has proven connections and raced better last start.

Race 5

(2) FOLLOW A DREAM looks to make it three straight and will be very tough to catch; short price. (6) UNADORNED HANOVER has been making progress despite the miscue last out. The 3-year-old put in a big effort after taking up. (1) WHERE U WAS JAY bumps up in class off two straight victories but would need much more.

Race 6

(5) EASTER BAY adds lasix for the second time, gets a good driver change, and should offer a fair price. (6) FEATURE MATCHUP has flashed some ability and keeps the top driver. (2) HEARTACHE'S BLUES has some room to improve for a new barn and has been facing better.

Race 7

(3) CONTECH gets a huge driver change in a suspect field. The trotter has gone some fast miles in the past and could offer the better value. (1) TYRANY SEELSTER drops in class, gets the best post, and faces much weaker. (2) PERFECT HEART BEAT comes off two very dull efforts but does have four wins on the year; command a price.

Race 8

(6) JULIE'S DAVINCHIE three-year-old colt has been racing gamely in his last two. The pacer has to overcome the pilot but would have a chance forwardly placed. (5) COLOR PALETTE K filly is 0 for her career but has been competitive at this level. (3) OIL SLICKER picks up a significant driver change and could just be rounding into form off a two year layoff.

Race 9

(1) CIRO has just been racing evenly but does find a softer spot. (6) HARD TO ROCK THIS filly appears to be the best trotter in the race but will be further back than his last two. (9) MY JUSTICE mare couldn't parlay a perfect trip last start and won't get to use her gate speed with the second tier; use underneath.

Race 10

(2) CHAMP IAN went a huge three quarters of a mile for a horse that's only won one time in thirty-six plus starts. If the pacer can duplicate that effort it's probably good enough. (1) FLYING METRO is tough to gauge making his third start for new connections but benefits from the rail. (6) MAJOR AT HEART was terrible in his two starts at this track this year and looks to offer low value.

Race 11

In a wide open and tough race to handicap (5) LITTLE BIT SIDEWAYS should offer a huge price considering the pacer is 0 for sixteen on the year, however he has flashed a big burst of speed at times and finds a weak and inconsistent field. (9) BEACH CRISIS was a new horse last out second start for a new trainer and would hit the board with a similar effort. (3) SKEDADDLE HANOVER has also shown a big burst of speed but is handicapped by the driver; threat.

Race 12

(2) CJ'S SUPER SECRET takes a big drop in class and has been trotting much faster than most of the field. (4) BABY'S CHUMP CHANGE parlayed a perfect trip last out and has some tactical gate speed that the trotter could benefit from. (6) MISS RILEY mare is consistently inconsistent just like most of the trainer's horses but can go some good miles from time to time.

Race 13

(6) OH WHATA GUY needs an early battle up front for his best chance and could be the major danger late at a price. (1) SOUTHWIND MAIZE comes off a decent effort and should be closer turning for home against this group. (2) R MASTER SCOTT rarely wins and would need an ideal setup to hit the top spot; use underneath.

Race 14

(8) BROTHER BUD looked to be a winner before the break last start. The pacer popped out of the eight hole for his only win last year and finds a weak field to try and do it at a price. (6) MONTOYA HANOVER the driver rarely wins but his horses have been improving. (3) BOBBYS ON THE MOVE morning line favorite has just been racing evenly; command a price.

Race 15

(1) I RECKON SO does some of his best racing from on the lead and might get to do just that. (3) COAL BURNER was butchered last out by the driver pulling pocket on the co-favorite before fading out of it. Look for the driver to give the pacer a much smoother trip; big chance. (9) SHOCKBYELECTRIC doesn't win often but does have a big move if timed right.

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