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Northfield: Monday 6/23 Analysis + Pick Four ticket

Jeremey Day|Jun 23, 2014
Northfield Logo (#2)

Race 3 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:

1,3,4 / 3 / 4,9 / 5,9 = $12

Best Bet: HEZA RUBE (9th)

Spot Play: LIFE LONG HANOVER (3rd)

Race 1

(2) LASER LUCY mare will be tough to beat if she stays trotting. (7) HOWDY DEWEY well bred 4-year-old has just been racing evenly but finds a much softer bunch. (4) SOUTH JERSEY FLASH picks up a huge driver change and owns some back class.

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Race 2

(3) BLACK ACE HANOVER has good gate speed and takes a big drop in class. (2) PL EARL also owns some gate speed which could put him in line for a good trip up close to the pace. (1) COACH KEN gets the best post coming off a scratch and is probably best used underneath.

Race 3

(7) LIFE LONG HANOVER takes a big drop in class and should offer a fair price since the driver opted elsewhere. (5) FORTUNE SAILOR doesn't have much early gate speed which could put him up against it with a slow pace. (9) NEELY SPRING has been racing much better the last few months and could hit the bottom of the ticket at a price.

Race 4

(3) TICKLE MY FANTASY gets sent out for top connections and the horse has a good winning percentage. (1) AT DAYBREAK looks to be the main danger to the top choice and should be in a good spot turning for home. (5) DON'T SURGARCOAT IT has been pacing some decent miles just has lacked stamina late; command a price.

Race 5

(7) CONTESSA LEIGH hasn't been able to transition against older but the Ohio Champion gets big-time class relief and just needs a smooth trip to get on track. (5) ANNIE'S ROCKETMAN gelding is sharp right now and will be looking to go coast to coast. (1) HERE COMES BUBBA also takes a significant drop with the best post, however he is likely to offer low value with the top driver.

Race 6

(4) RAMEMBER picks up a top driver and appears to be pacing faster than most of the field. (3) IRON N STEEL is 0 for 19 on the year but has shown a decent burst of speed; use underneath. (1) STORMY GHOST has ability but is very inconsistent; command a price.

Race 7

(5) MACHIN MONEY is the question mark in the race coming off broken equipment. The pacer faces a much weaker field than he's been racing against. (4) MAJOR SPEED raced well last out closing up nicely but needs more. (9) CHAMP IAN finally scored last out impressively but has yet to show consistency; use underneath.

Race 8

In a race that could see some fireworks early (4) JUST CROWNED might be able to sit off the early pace and have a shot late. (1) CASH'EM IN gets sent out for a hot barn and was a recent winner at this level. (3) DUNGEON DRAGON parlayed a perfect trip last out and will be tough to pass with an early breather.

Race 9

(3) HEZA RUBE gets a huge driver change, takes a big drop in class, and has the most talent in the field. (5) TABULATOR has a big burst of speed if the trotter can mind his manners. (2) PEMBROKE SNAPSHOT makes his first start in a new barn but could need a start; use caution.

Race 10

(9) I FOUND MY BEACH went a monster mile last out coming first up against the favorite outgaming him to the wire; driver's choice. (4) GOODNITE GOODLUCK classy stallion gets a good starting post and should be in line for a trip up close to the pace. (7) FOREVER GOOD also could play a factor early but would need more to upset.

Race 11

(5) JULIANS CAESAR is racing gamely for the top barn in the country and finally gets away from some tough customers. (9) MYTHICAL HALL well bred gelding would be better off with his nose on the gate but still could win with a smooth trip. (7) KAHOKU gelding's driver was worried about protecting position last start rather than working out a trip. The trotter had been sharp prior but will be at the mercy of the pace and outer flow.

Race 12

(5) NO SHENANIGANS was roughed up last out for new connections. The pacer races back on lasix and makes his second start for a hot trainer. (1) BASILIO BLUE CHIP has been a new pacer since changing barns. The 10-year-old gets the best post, owns some tactical gate speed, and looks to be in line for an ideal trip. (2) DERINGER GUN usually offers a nice price and has been very competitive at this level.

Race 13

(6) TAKE A WALK was no threat in this class last start but the well bred pacer will offer a huge price and has popped some big miles from time to time. (4) GENUINE STAR N was much better last week racing forwardly placed and finds an inconsistent field. (3) FOLLOW THROUGH gets post relief and looks like a player with a smooth trip.

Race 14

(6) SOMECAM can head straight to the winners circle with a repeat of his last effort. (2) CHASE THE SUN is on a roll but does get sent out for new connections; use caution. (8) DUTCHTREAT HANOVER gets sent out for a red-hot trainer for the first time who is lethal in that scenario. Watch the trainer's previous starters to try and gauge this one.

Race 15

(4) PRIME TIME POPPA took no prisoners last out in the same class and will look to do it again. (9) RIGHT ON TIME owns a good brush when timed right; threat. (1) MOSH PIT well bred gelding gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but the pacer's best would be good enough.

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