Northfield: Monday 10/13 Analysis + Pick Four Ticket
Race 8 - $10,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Jeremey’s $1 Pick Four Play:
1,4 / 7 / 1,6,7 / 1,3,6,9 = $24
Best Bet: KIRTY DREAM (9TH)
Spot Play: TOP OF THE MARK (10TH)
Race 1
(2) COLETECH has a good post in a soft field and also keeps the top driver. (9) ABBEYCREST comes off a break but could hit the ticket with a smooth trip. (3) TEXAS RIDGE was overmatched at this level last out but has shown the ability to trot a good mile.
Race 2
In a very tough race to handicap, (9) RIGHT ON TIME should offer a good price even taking a significant drop in class. (1) BET ON ART also drops in class and will be much closer turning for home. (4) MODERN WARFARE has just been racing evenly but fits well in this level; command a price.
Race 3
(3) PARTYATYOURPLACE needs to bounce back off two tough trips, but gets a much better starting post. (5) SEMPTEMBER HALL is probably the horse to beat against much weaker, but has just been racing evenly in his last two. (4) I‘M LOADED has been off almost a month and shows a bunch of breaks, but her recent qualifier was improved; use underneath.
Race 4
(3) WESTERN FELLA has burned cash quite often this year, but owns a big burst of speed when timed right. (6) LIVELIKEURDYING hails from connections that are always capable; threat. (9) FIERCE DESIRE finally draws a better starting post and has made the most money in the field on the year.
Race 5
(3) MAGICAL VICTORY is capable of trotting a big mile down in class. (9) IMJUSPINETANKU benefits from the top driver who will need to work out a smooth trip. (4) VIEWLANDER doesn’t win often and is best used underneath in an inconsistent field.
Race 6
(5) LEGAL BRIEF was bet down as a heavy favorite last out and came up empty, however the pacer takes an even bigger drop in class. (1) ABBYS LUCK dropped and popped last out but does face tougher; threat. (4) DANCE WITH DAN gets an upgrade in the bike and should offer a fair price in a wide open race if the top choice falters.
Race 7
(4) CHARLIE B went a lifetime best two starts ago before coming up completely empty against a tough bunch last out. (1) KIASMA faces slightly softer and gets the best post. (5) NEWSPEAK comes into the race off a victory down in class, but would need more to hit the top spot.
Race 8
(1) GRANDE SEELSTER gets the best post in an evenly matched race for a hot trainer. (4) CASH CAB drops in class and has made the most money in the field on the year; tough to keep off the ticket with a good drive. (6) ALFREDSSON could have an outside shot in the right scenario for streaky connections.
Race 9
(7) KIRTY DREAM was a top driver’s choice, which is significant. The trotter’s best chance is moving forward at the start. (8) MYTHICAL HALL is the fastest trotter off the gate in the field by far, but the driver did opt to the top choice. (2) WIND SURFER has been no match for the top two choices; use underneath.
Race 10
(6) TOP OF THE MARK needs to avoid an early speed duel but has been sharp despite tiring late off a very tough trip last out. (1) TRUE TO MACH has some excuses and has beaten this field earlier in the year. (7) HALL OF MEMORIES could hit the ticket at a price, picking up the pieces late in the right scenario.
Race 11
(3) ROSS RIDGE HANDSOME will be used very aggressively against a much softer bunch. (9) T RED picks back up the top driver and is versatile. (1) HE‘S A BEACHBOY is capable with a good trip, but has yet to beat this caliber on the year.
Race 12
(3) VICTORY CANDY MAN has a good chance with an early breather. (9) CABO has been very competitive against this group; threat. (4) MUSTODIAN is having a great year and should be closer turning for home.
Race 13
(5) ALIGNED HANOVER just missed last out making up a ton of ground late. The pacer could use some fast fractions to close into for his best chance. (2) ON EAGLES WINGS owns only one win on the year; command a price. (1) ART’S BOY gets the best post in an evenly matched race.
Race 14
(8) POUNNE DE LUXE is a winning machine for red hot connections. (2) ALLAMERICAN MAJOR could be in line for a better trip than his last few; threat. (4) WESTERN RANGE gets sent out for an inconsistent trainer but is capable of pacing a big mile any week.
Race 15
(1) HERSMAN gets the best post and was the top driver‘s choice. (2) DUTCHTREAT also was the driver‘s choice and looks to be in line for a great trip up close. (3) HERE’S HOOTER has been a new pacer for a red hot trainer.