Mohawk: Thursday 9/21 Analysis
Best Bet: PLAY IT AGAIN SAM (10th)
Spot Play: TIKI TAKA (3rd)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,4/2,3,4/4,6,9/4,5/1,7,8 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 4,5/1,7,8/6,9/3,4,5,8 = $48
LATE PICK 4: 3,4,5,8/3,5/1,4,5,7/5 = $32
MEET STATS: 356 - 1045 / $1,963.40 BEST BETS: 46 - 101 / $159.00
SPOT PLAYS: 35 - 101 / $213.00
Race 1
(2) CANALE HANOVER made an uncharacteristic break when pressing the pace in an elimination for the Wellwood Memorial. He fits well here and is sure to take lots of action. (4) MS MILLER went a big trip here in the slop to win with Roy driving two starts back. She is the main danger. (6) WISH I WAS THERE comes off an improved effort vs. a sharp winner. She's not out of this. (7) HENDERSON SEELSTER is in with a good shot to make the ticket if he can stay flat this time.
Race 2
(3) PRECISION HANOVER couldn't get by a stubborn leader last week, but that was a solid effort and she will graduate soon. (2) EASY THREE has had some issues, but she has also hinted at having some talent. She would be no surprise here. (4) WHOZYOMOMMA gets Roy back for a third drive and notice the improvement last time; using. (5) LYONS JENNIELEE wasn't far behind the choice last time and I may be selling her short picking her for 4th here.
Race 3
(6) TIKI TAKA wasn't fazed by missing a month and he produced a lifetime-best effort in his debut for Moreau; call to repeat. (9) FONDUE also comes off a career-best score and she may be the one to beat here. (4) PURE KEMP moves inside which gives him an upset chance here. (5) VEYRON should be good for another slice, but he's hard to like on top here.
Race 4
(4) SPORTS LEGEND interestingly debuts for Cullen here on a barn change; I'll bite. (5) WHEN YOU DANCE comes off a wicked winning effort. He is the one to knock off. (7) AVALON HANOVER will be coming late and he could pass them all if close enough at the 3/4. (3) PRETTY HANDSOME shoots for a fourth straight win here but his bubble may get burst vs. these.
Race 5
(1) SOUTHWIND MORROCAN - a $75K Lexington purchase - is a full-brother to 1:50 4/5 pacer Southwind Masimo and he looks ready to roll here; top call. (8) JACK OF CLUBS went a long mile last time but McNair returns and he could rebound here. (7) ARTISTIC CHOICE is interesting here, having produced two big efforts at smaller tracks; using. (10) IDOLIZE is well-meant but he will likely need a start-especially leaving from post 10.
Race 6
(6) NORTHERN STARLIGHT was severely roughed up early last time which may have caused her break. Leaving from a much better post here, I'll give her the nod. (9) KAMERAN HANOVER took a new life's mark last time and she is sure to be a strong challenger here, too. (7) THE ERM fits here, but she must stay trotting. (4) MAJESTIC KAT returns much quicker this time and she's in with a shot here, but she is more likely to take a slice than a win.
Race 7
(8) LETJIMMYTAKEOVER was no match for a very strong winner last time, but that was an improved effort and he rates highly here. (3) STREET BOY was used hard early last time and he only tired late. He should benefit from that race and he is in the mix here. (4) WEBMASTER HANOVER has improved sharply with Henry driving; using. (5) ARTIFACT HANOVER steps up off a sharp win and he is another option to consider in this contentious dash.
Race 8
(3) TYMAL REIGN is the best of this bunch if she is ready coming off a break and she should win if the intent is there. (5) STRITCH comes out of a very quick race. She should be closer vs. these. (2) BURLINGTON merits a look off two solid uncovered tries out of town. (6) BROADWAY MAIJA has a solid record and she should be good for a slice vs. these.
Race 9
(4) PLAY THE BELL doesn't have Kendall Seelster to contend with here, so she should get an easier trip; slight nod. (1) LADY GRANDE finished ahead of the choice last time and she is in great form, although she is still stuck on a single win. (5) NEON MOON has been solid racing in Grassroots company and she isn't out of this. (7) IM WITH HER is on a roll, but these are tougher; small share predicted for her.
Race 10
(5) PLAY IT AGAIN SAM impressively swept up late to win in his first start for Moreau and he is a good bet to repeat here. (8) CRAVEN THE BEACH adds Lasix off the claim and gets a positive driver switch. He's worthy of exacta consideration here. (1) SAVANNAH SPLENDOR will be a speed threat again here and he should stick around for a slice. (10) CHARMBO ORBIT is capable, but he keeps getting doomed by poor posts. Use him on the bottom. (6) OUTLAW GUNPOWDER is always in the mix late in miles with his good closing kick. He could better this prediction.
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