Mohawk: Thursday 8/10 Analysis

Best Bet: JAN (2nd)

Spot Play: ALLERAGE STARGAZER (6th)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 10 / 4 / 3,4,5,6 / 4,6,7,8 / 2,4,7 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 4,6,7,8 / 2,4,7 / 4 / 1,3,5,10 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,3,5,10 / 6,9 / 1,4 / 2,7 = $32

MEET STATS: 254 - 762 / $1,454.90 BEST BETS: 32 - 75 / $115.60

SPOT PLAYS: 31 - 74 / $180.20

Race 1

(10) P L LAYLA drops back to Grassroots racing here and she has enough speed to overcome this post; top call. (2) STONBRIDGE RHYME broke at Clinton, but her race two back puts her in the mix here. (5) CARNEGIE HALL went a long mile but kept trying last time. She can take a piece of this. (7) FRICK benefitted from post position and some breakers last time. This is a tougher task.

Race 2

(4) JAN is the boss in this series and she should close it out at odds-on. (3) LADY GRANDE hasn’t been able to beat the choice yet, but she will likely get another crack racing out of the pocket again. (2) NURSE PIE Q likely completes a trifecta that pays lower than 8/1. (5) INTREPID LADY looks next best.

Race 3

(5) ALARM DETECTOR produced a monster final 1/4 in only his second start. He gets top billing here. (6) CANTABERNET went a long trip and was passed late only by the choice. He can build off that excellent debut; using. (3) HEY JOCK is another that should go forward off a solid debut effort; using. (4) SWEET TALKIN HALL will be closing late for a slice.

Race 4

(7) SPORTS NATION moved up last time in his best effort to date. I’ll give him the nod here over (6) CENTURY ENDEAVOR, who raced better in his second start and now faces a field that looks easier. (4) INTERNET HANOVER showed some late interest in his debut and now he moves inside. Toss him on multi-race tickets. (8) DURHAM TOWN is another that should improve further racing in this class who is in with a shot in a wide-open race.

Race 5

(4) TOXICITY tired late after pacing a 26 4/5 third 1/4 last time. A better trip gets it done for him here. (2) TWIN B COWBOY has raced against tougher in his past couple of starts. He can improve vs. these. (7) PENZANCE HANOVER has a great late kick and is another in with a chance if he can get put into the race early enough. (10) TIGERS WAY comes into this race off a sharp qualifier. He can share.

Race 6

(4) ALLERAGE STARGAZER drops and gets McNair for the first time. Expect a much more aggressive effort here. (7) CHRISTMAS CANDY is the main danger if she can stay flat. (6) BONNIE BREEZE is an exotics factor with her good early speed. (1) WHIP N NEIGH NEIGH raced okay in her debut; consider for exotics.

Race 7

(3) LEVIS DAY closed sharply late in his debut mile; all systems go here. (1) RUGBY HANOVER pressed a strong pace then tired late. He needs a better trip, but he’s a contender. (10) EVENING PLAY has shown good late speed in both starts, but this post obviously does him no favors here. (5) SHARP ACTION MONEY ships in off a solid debut effort; using.

Race 8

(9) MS MILLER exits a quick dash and she should handle this group. (6) KANT AFFORD IT appears to be the only threat to the choice here. (1) PRECEIUSE CC brings some good form from Quebec, but with a driver with 64 lifetime wins in 30 years and starting from the tricky #1 post, I will play against. (11) DALLIANCE SEELSTER can pass a few of these late and take a share.

Race 9

(1) CHEAP THRILLS was beaten by a good one last time and she should be tough here starting from the inside. (4) DIAMONDS DANCE can be much closer here if she is sent hard off the gate; using. (2) STONEBRIDGE HONEY looks good to take a smaller share here. (3) TABBAT MCREY is another that can hit one of the lower exotic rungs.

Race 10

(2) NASTY RUMOUR raced great to take a new life’s mark last week; call to repeat. (7) SNAPPY DRESSER is in solid form, is always closing and is the main danger. (6) IVESEETHEFUTURE steps up off a perfect-trip win; smaller share predicted. (5) ALEXA HANOVER rarely misses the ticket; using. (4) FRANSCHOEK can better this placing racing near the front. Use underneath in all slots.