Mohawk: Thursday 4/9 Analysis
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
EARLY $1 PICK 4 TICKET:
2,3,10/2,4/5,9/3,7,9 = $36
LATE $1 PICK 4 TICKET: 3,7,9/4,5,6/6,9/8,9 = $36
MEET STATS: 0 - 0 / $0.00
Best Bet: E L LOVE (3rd)
Spot Play: TWIN B SWEETHEART (6th)
Race 1
(4) BUBBA VIC is by a Hambletonian winner out of a mare that won early. His last 1/4 of 26 3/5 in his lone qualifier signals he's ready; top call in the Mohawk curtain raiser. (1) GUSCREST was beaten late by a couple of decent ones in his last two then took a couple of weeks off. He should contend from the inside. (9) DANCE FOR ME SASHA showed good late speed in her qualifier and can threaten if not dropped too far back early.
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Race 2
(10) LOVELY ERIN was super impressive closing from last in her debut on a wet track to nail a big favorite right on the money. She certainly looks promising and this field is no tougher; 10-hole is the biggest worry. (7) BLACK QUEEN raced so well first out that it was surprising she was sluggish when asked to pace last out. It's too early to give up on her; contender. (5) FRANNEY LOVE DAT raced much better last week but still remains winless in 14. A minor award is likely.
Race 3
(7) E L LOVE trotted two impressive miles at London in the winter then was laid up. She showed much better speed in her qualifier at Mohawk a week ago and looks best here. (5) MS KRISTINS BABY is out of a dam that has thrown two foals so far and both were winners. This one has shown good late speed in her qualifiers. (6) AMITYVILLE LINDY kept good company last year but had gait issues. Bax may have here figured out; beware.
Race 4
(3) A LOT OF SENSE has closed big gaps in the last two from outer posts and is obviously sharp. Maybe red-hot pilot McNair gets out closer and moves earlier; top call to kick off the pick 4. (10) DEBBIES MACH looks like one of very few with early foot here and may try to go right down the road even from out there; using. (2) BYE BYE MICHELLE was a good third to the choice last out and may be approaching last year's form which saw her win 5 of 15.
Race 5
(4) WIZARD OF OSNEY got buried in traffic but once clear closed stoutly, just missing. He's a bit win-shy but projects to get a good trip behind (2) RAISING RICHARD here. That one was a powerful winner last out and certainly merits inclusion on early pick 4 tickets. (6) SHOPSMAGICWAND went a seriously long trip last week and understandably tired in the lane. She should get a better trip and result here.
Race 6
(9) TWIN B SWEETHEART hasn't lived up to the promise of her debut race but this field is pretty weak and Jamieson likely provides an aggressive steer; top call. (5) WAR FILLY dropped out of the HPI series and closed well over a wet track for 3rd behind two good ones. She's the one to beat. (6) WISHES FOR YOU faced a monster last time in the Blossom series. These are much easier and she can share.
Race 7
(7) BLUSH AND CRUSH has been very consistent in the Nixon stable the past month and her good early speed is a nice asset; top call here. (9) BULLET followed up on his win two back with a good first-up mile. He is much-improved and a big threat here. (3) TYMAL COLLOSUS races better near the front and could blast out of there and make things interesting for the top two early.
Race 8
(6) CANADIAN EDITION got a much better trip as expected last week and converted at a nice price. There is more early speed in here, but he doesn't need the lead to win either; call to repeat. (4) BEACH HERO jogged in fast time at London now goes into Moreau's barn. For as far as he goes. (5) GREYSTONE MOE could get a sweet trip on cover chasing big fractions here. Keep him on your pick 4 tickets.
Race 9
(9) CANADIAN WRITER is out of a dam that has produced 3 winners in only 3 that have raced and all have gone in 1:55 or faster. This son of Sportswriter may be good to go first time out here. (6) ONWAYTOSANTAFE drew off impressively in his qualifier and should be the one to beat here. (4) BIG MAGICK had good late speed in his qualifier and will likely take some action. His dam is not a noted producer; mixed signals.
Race 10
(8) JETTINS DRAGON qualified okay vs. some very tough company now makes his 2015 debut priced to win for trainer Johnson. He likely gets get claimed either way. (9) LOST IN PANSLATION was claimed by Bowins for himself who will be looking for some immediate R.O.I. (5) ROCKNROLL BAND was claimed by a high % conditioner and should go better here. (10) P L CAMMANDER is obviously one of the better ones but the 10-hole could be tough to overcome here with a few quick leavers signed on. (6) BUGGER MAX qualified in quick time at London after a couple of months off. He could better this placing.
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