Mohawk: Saturday 4/29 Analysis
Best Bet: OUR SKY MAJOR N (7th)
Spot Play: BURNING SHORE (10th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 4,5,7/7,8/1,2,3/4,5/2,6,9 = $21.60
EARLY PICK 4: 4,5/2,6,9/2,6,8,10/2 = $24
LATE PICK 4: 2/2,4,7,8/3,7,8/2,4,6,8 = $48
MEET STATS: 23 - 80 / $115.00 BEST BETS: 2 - 8 / $8.30
SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 8 / $20.00
Race 1
(4) JINS SHARK beat up on easier last week, but he has beaten much better than these in the past. I'll stick with him on his way back up the ladder. (5) ER ZACH ATTACK was perfectly driven to win last week, but, he also got the most perfect trip. He's a contender, but trip could be quite different here. (7) FIRST CAR shoots for 6 straight wins here, and while he isn't out of this, some of these are much tougher than the company he has been beating regularly. (3) CHAMPAGNE PHIL can rally for a share racing from close range.
Race 2
(8) STONEBRIDGE PEACE was a solid 4th vs, better on Monday night. Expect Hensley to send her hard here back with non-winners of four lifetime rivals. (7) THEE DESPERADO had sharp speed both early and late last week, which is a favorite angle of mine when looking for repeat winners. (4) AMOREUSE HANOVER should be near the front most of the way here and stick around for a share. (3) HETTIES COMMANDER is a bomb that is worth a look for the exotics here now that he has two clean lines in a row on his card.
Race 3
(1) PRETTY HOT left no doubt last time after blasting from the outermost post in and old-fashioned bottoming out of the field. Cullen will look to put them all in a hole early here, too; call to repeat. (3) GOLDIES BAD GIRL was a sharp winner off the claim and she could get a sweet trip here in the choice's pocket; using. (2) WHISTYS PARADISE couldn't advance on the choice last time, but she could get a better trip here if there is some flow and she finds a live helmet to follow. (9) LOVE TO ROLL - third to the choice last week - can close for another small share here.
Race 4
(4) NIRVANA SEELSTER gets to take another class drop here after getting nailed late in the mile last week by two that would likely win this; no excuses here. (5) CONTINUAL HANOVER got very good for a stretch of several weeks here last year. He finished on even terms with the choice last week; I think you have to use him here. (3) MCKINNEY can be closer early from this post which gives him a chance to share. (2) SINGLE WHITE SOCK - another with an improved post - is another to consider for the bottom of Tris and Supers here.
Race 5
(9) SHADOW PLACE drops to a level where he could dominate if he makes front quickly at the start. (2) SPINFINITI closed well last time, but the classy winner was long gone. He is a good alternative if you don't love the choice. (6) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE adds Lasix while dropping in class. Check out his final 1/4 in his qualifier. (3) CHIEF TALKALOT can close late for a piece here.
Race 6
(6) MIGHTY NICKY should get a solid pace to chase here; top call. (2) CARMENS FLUKE was impressive in dominating lesser last time. He's worth a look here, but these are tougher. (10) PONDAS LEXUS found this class tough last week, but he can take a share here. (8) WORK THAT MAGIC keeps McNair and he could better this placing with a good trip.
Race 7
(2) OUR SKY MAJOR N was an impressive, easy winner last week, and while these are tougher, he could be up to it. (1) ERLE DALE N is in very sharp form and he should be in the thick of things throughout here. (4) NICKLE BAG drops, but he may be overbet here. I'll try to beat him. (8) DINNER AT THE MET took advantage of a massive speed duel last week and he may be overbet here, too.
Race 8
(8) EVENIN OF PLEASURE has a solid return race. It shouldn't take him long to get back to top form. (2) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE was moving well at the end of his latest, but the winner was untouchable. He's in solid form and is worth a look. (7) DAYLIGHT RUSH should get a great spot on or near the front at the start here. Toss him on Pick 4 tickets. (4) TRACEUR HANOVER has raced well for Roy and is another to consider for the late Pick 4 here.
Race 9
(3) PRESCOTTS HOPE looked like a facsimile of his old self last time racing hoppled. He could fire off an even bigger mile here despite stepping up. (7) COOL ROCK was wildly overbet last week, but the trip also went totally against his style. There was zero chance he could catch the top two. He has a better shot in here. (8) WAZZUP WAZZUP would be no surprise on the barn change here coming off a sharp qualifier; using. (2) VELOCITY DRIVEN should show much more with the class drop here.
Race 10
(4) BURNING SHORE made a big wide move on the final turn last week, unfortunately at the same time the leaders were starting to accelerate themselves. He can get a better trip here and he may be sitting on a win at a square price. (6) MACHAL JORDAN missed a check last week which allows him to drop in class again. Expect him to get sent here. (8) LISVINNIE was the easiest of winners last week and he's hard to leave out off that mile. (2) A COOL CARD faces easier here despite being in the same class. He is another that can win this contentious finale. (3) MITT JAGGER rarely missed the board. Keep him in mind when making vertical bets.
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