Mohawk: Monday 9/18 Analysis
Best Bet: SHOWER PLAY (9th)
Spot Play: THE ROADIES (4th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1/3,5,6,7/4/1,4,5/1,2,6 = $7.20
EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,5/1,2,6/9,10/1,4,7 = $48
LATE PICK 4: 1,4,7/5/4/1,2,3,5 = $12
MEET STATS: 349 - 1013 / $1,917.60 BEST BETS: 46 - 99 / $159.00
SPOT PLAYS: 34 - 98 / $196.70
Race 1
(1) TOKAREV faces much easier here and Tetrick sticks. He should graduate despite facing some three-year-olds. (2) HAB FAITH looks next best, but she has already had 19 chances now with no luck. (5) MISSLAROSE rates a glance exiting a quick Grassroots race. (4) MR HOUDINI figures to take another small share here.
Race 2
(3) STUCK IN MY SPANKS exits Grand Circuit company here and there is nothing close to Ariana G in this field; top call. (5) INNER DRIVE comes off a good try in a Grassroots race and she should be prominent early here; using. (7) JILONA is another that has been racing well in Grassroots races and her good early speed puts her in the mix here. (6) HUDSONS YA YA is another who should get good position early that can stick around for a slice.
Race 3
(4) MANCHEGO has been nothing short of sensational so far and she will be hard to knock off here. (3) PHAETOSIVE was a solid elimination winner last week despite going a long trip from the worst post. She likely completes a very chalky exacta here. (9) REPENTANCE is worth a look at a price for Tris and Supers after a good effort to finish 3rd in her elimination. (7) TIFFANYS FLASH never misses the board and she will contend for a minor share here.
Race 4
(1) THE ROADIES didn't get an ideal trip last time, stuck in mid-pack on the inside most of the way. I'll give him another chance here. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER drops and picks up Roy. He will likely be the one to catch here. (4) BEACH HOUSE missed some time, but he picks up both Gingras and Lasix here so I'll toss him on multi-race wagers. (6) COOL ROCK likely comes late for another slice here.
Race 5
(2) BUGGER BRUISER drops and Drury will likely send him looking for the lead or the pocket here; slight nod. (1) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE keeps getting bet from outer posts and showing nothing. Perhaps moving inside will wake him up here. (6) IMSPORTY drops to the bottom in search of his first win of 2017, but he's not impossible in this spot. (4) ROCKABELLA is a good one to use underneath here.
Race 6
(9) ALERT HANOVER has really turned things around in his last two starts and I'll give him the call to repeat here, despite the class rise. (10) PERFETTO is likely the best one in here, but it's not easy to predict how this two-year-old will go here from post 10 facing elders and coming off a vet scratch due to sickness. (5) QUADRANGLE can be closer here with a better trip. (6) BLAMEITONTHEWHISKY was 7th here on Thursday night racing in a similar class. He can take a smaller share if he goes to post.
Race 7
(4) ALARM DETECTOR was very impressive last week handling the big favorite and he deserves top billing here. (7) YOU KNOW YOU DO couldn't stave off the choice, but he rates highly here and it wouldn't be a shock if he turned the tables. (1) CRUISING IN STYLE was compromised when his stablemate broke right in front of him at the 3/4 last week. He could trip out here and take a big share. (3) MAXUS was a bit lucky the way room opened in the lane last week, but he took advantage and is in with a shot to at least make the ticket here.
Race 8
(5) NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA has been expertly handled by trainer/driver Ryan and he is a good bet to take his third straight win here. (3) SWAN FOR DEE has been close to the choice in his past two and he rates next billing here. (4) CHEEKY MONKEY is improving and he could add some value to the Tri here. (7) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE drops into a claimer here which gives him a shot to last longer this time.
Race 9
(4) SHOWER PLAY lays over these and she should have no trouble taking her third straight win here. (6) ASKMYSECRETARY looks next best but notice she was well back of the choice two starts back. (3) DUCHESS DOLLY has hit the Tri in five straight and she should continue that streak here. (7) MACHNHOPE is another contender for the lower exotic rungs that can hit the ticket here racing from close range.
Race 10
(2) TRISUN overcame a mid-race shuffle to power home to a win last time in a sharp effort; call to repeat. (5) JACK RACKHAM was a couple of strides too late last week, but he fits well here and he will be heard from. (3) APHRO STAR re-qualified well enough to suggest he will be a player here. (1) LIVELY FREDDIE is worth a look adding Lasix. (10) THE BIG BEAST is in great from, but a minor award may be a ceiling starting from out there.
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