Mohawk: Monday 10/16 Analysis
Best Bet: ARTOFFICIAL FLAVOR (7th)
Spot Play: CRYSTAL GUMDROP (6th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 2,3,7/1,6,7/6/8,9,10/4,5,8 = $16.20
EARLY PICK 4: 8,9,10/4,5,8/1,3,8/5 = $27
LATE PICK 4: 5/4,5,7/1,5,6/6,7,10 = $27
MEET STATS: 387 - 1198 / $2,145.10 BEST BETS: 52 - 115 / $182.50
SPOT PLAYS: 36 - 115 / $219.10
Race 1
(3) APHRO STAR chased some wild fractions last time racing first up and he paid for it late. He can get a better trip here and rebound. (2) FOUR CARD MAJOR used the choice's cover to vault past for an easy win in the stretch. He's a top contender here, too, but he may be overbet this time. (7) ITS A BIG SECRET is hard to toss with a 1:50 4/5 win staring at us in this class two starts back. (5) OFORPETESAKE can close for another smaller share.
Race 2
(7) NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA has good gate speed and he gets one of the best drivers in this amateur event; top call. (6) TAURUS DU PARC won in this class in late August and he too can fly off the gate; using. (1) DEUCE DEUCE DEUCE has excelled in this class of late, but I'm not sure this post is best with an inexperienced driver listed. (8) AIR GLIDER can close for a piece if he stays flat.
Race 3
(6) CUE HALL drops and he can go all the way on the lead here if the amateur driver points him to the front off the gate. (9) LADY CATERINA also drops and is another with good early speed. She could be a good price; using. (2) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL was a perfect-trip winner here last week. She can take a slice here. (4) LETS LEAVEM has turned into a Racing Under Saddle monster, but he can share here vs. these.
Race 4
(8) BRINGHOME THEBLUE dropped and popped in this class last week. He fits well here; call to repeat. (10) BUGATTI is in solid form for the top trainer and he should be a factor here - even leaving from out there. (9) LISVINNIE was a decent 2nd to the choice last week and he fits well in this class; using. (3) JOLTED hasn't won this year, but check out the 15 slices and the three 4th-place finishes in his last five starts.
Race 5
(4) ESCUELA showed some life late in the mile last week and she could be coming around to her best form again; slight nod. (8) HLDONTGHTTOYURDRMS ships in with solid form and he has won on this circuit many times before. Toss him on multi-race tickets. (5) DOMITIAN HALL steps up off a very good race in which he was out most of the way; using. (7) PRESQUILLE can close for a small slice here.
Race 6
(8) CRYSTAL GUMDROP faces easier here and she should get put into this race earlier; top call. (1) CARSON HILL adds Lasix coming in off a good qualifier. He can threaten here. (3) UPVOTE HANOVER should get an aggressive steer from Henry here, as he could still be in contention for the dash title. (4) PARKHILL NONSTOP raced much better last time; consider at a price.
Race 7
(5) ARTOFFICIAL FLAVOR was an impressive winner in his Mohawk debut; call to repeat. (2) JAYDENS PLACE couldn't quite reach the choice late, but that was a good effort and he is a contender here. (9) TIGERS WAY always looks good on paper, but he has turned into a bit if a money burner; small share predicted. (3) AMERICAN SPORTSMAN should be rallying in the stretch for a share.
Race 8
(7) IDOLE DUHARAS ships in, gets McNair and faces a weak group. He can take these. (5) AMBLE OVER HANOVER improved last time and he fits here. Toss him on late Pick 4 tickets. (4) LIGHT FOOT ROAD raced well vs. a tough winner last time. He's in with a shot here. (8) FOREGO THE CIGAR is an in-and-outer that can produce a big mile on occasion; consider for exotics.
Race 9
(1) GOTAMEETING chased some wicked fractions in his first start in the new barn and he didn't tire badly. I'll give him another chance. (5) JACK RACKHAM should be tough in this class. He just missed last time he dropped to this level. (6) ROCKIN RONNIE finished just ahead of the choice last time, but he had a better trip; small share predicted. (2) NOTETOSELF HANOVER can slide onto the Super ticket off an inside following trip.
Race 10
(6) SOUTHWIND MASIMO drops off a solid effort in a quick mile last time. He should be tough here. (7) FIRST CAR also faces easier and he is a threat to take this on the front end. (10) JIMMY BE GOOD could improve sharply for Cullen, who claimed him for himself last week. (9) UF BETTORS HANOVER can close for a smaller share. (4) SPIDER MAN HANOVER has seen better days, but he could break through with a much better performance racing in this lowest conditioned class.
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