Mohawk: Friday 5/12 Analysis
Best Bet: SAYITALL BB (6th)
Spot Play: CASE DISMISSED (5th)
Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 4,8,9,10/1,2,7/5,8/1,3,5/3,4 = $28.80
EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,5/3,4/2/1,3,4,10 = $24
LATE PICK 4: 1,3,4,10/6,9/2,4/3,4,5 = $48
MEET STATS: 57 - 161 / $363.80 BEST BETS: 6 - 16 / $33.30
SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 16 / $36.20
Race 1
(9) MEGO MOSS raced out of the pocket last time, found room late, but was passed by the winner. He is better when controlling things on the front end and he is likely to be pointed there racing off the Moreau claim; top call. (8) TYMAL WIZARD raced well in his first start in this class when claimed. He is a big threat here racing near the front. (4) SWEET ROYALTY was flying late two back then he blew up at the start when he took action off that line two back. He could rebound here and pass them all with so much speed lined up on the far outside. (10) THE POWER OF MANY took advantage of a slowing late pace to roll by the choice last time. A smaller share seems likely here starting from the worst post.
Race 2
(7) FOREVER LIZA has the best closing kick in this field and she appears ready to roll based on her two qualifiers; slight nod. (1) HEELS ON THE BEACH is an obvious threat moving into the top trainer's barn; using. (2) LAY LADY LAY couldn't get past a sharp winner who came right back to win again. She is another obvious contender is this contentious dash. (8) MATTJESTIC TEMPO has been solid racing for Galucci since being claimed. She can take a smaller share here facing some tough ones.
Race 3
(8) STAN THE MAN likes Mohawk and he qualified well over a good track preparing for this drop in class. He has a good chance of wiring these. (5) READY ANY TIME is the other obvious class-dropper that should be included on Pick 5 bets here. (7) LINDYS TRU GRIT is inconsistent, but, he is the most likely to vault past late if the two choices hook up in a mid-race duel. (3) HETTIES COMMANDER raced okay last time, making a brief move on the backside then finishing evenly. He can hit the ticket at a price here.
Race 4
(3) LIGHTS GO OUT is still winless in 2017, but she has been close vs. better recently and she should break through soon; maybe tonight? (5) AINSLEYNEOLLE should be raced closer to the front here which gives her a decent chance, likely at a good price. (1) D GS PESQUERO is another that should be more forwardly placed early as she is leaving from a much better post; using. (6) MISCHIEVOUSGIRLS dug in vs. easier to get the job done last week. A smaller share is likely here facing better.
Race 5
(4) CASE DISMISSED looked loaded with pace for most of the mile last week and once she was shown racetrack, she had no problem chasing down a loose leader; call to repeat. (3) CALL ME MAYBE left hard but she had no chance of making front so she dropped in, then chose to stay in. She could be much more aggressive here and notice she beat the choice two starts back. (2) HOWMACFEISTY is usually a good one to use underneath when racing in this class. (9) MISSTWINKLINSJONES took them a long way last time before giving way to the choice. Post is not in her favor here.
Race 6
(2) SAYITALL BB takes a big drop for a hot barn. She should be tough in here. (3) OUR HOT MAJORETTE has missed some time, but she gets a barn change here and adds Lasix, which makes her interesting in this spot. (8) CASIMIR PARDON ME goes for a high % barn here and even though she has been beating easier at Flamboro, she could crack the exotics here. (4) WHISTYS PARADISE gets a barn change which could wake her up in this spot, although I don't see her threatening the choice.
Race 7
(10) JAKE LOEWEN was first up into some solid splits last time when making his first start in this class. If he can work a trip out from out there, he should be a major player here, likely at a square price. (4) CHARMBO ORBIT has been solid in two starts for a new barn and the move into the lowest conditioned class here doesn't appear to be too tough; using. (1) SHOCK N ROCK will likely trip out here starting from the inside and he can take this with a bit of racing luck. (3) LETS WAIT AND SEE moves inside after getting a horrendous trip from post 10 last time. Don't dismiss his chances here.
Race 8
(6) ALWAYS REESE took a lot of money at the windows last week, then raced poorly. Back to a 7-day rotation and likely racing on a fast track here I will give her another chance. (9) SHEZAREALDEAL is another that took lots of action last time and failed. Getting hung the mile didn't help. She can rebound here. (3) ZEALOUS SEELSTER could trip out close to the lead for a share here at a big price. (2) SHADYS M THREE would be a threat if she could reproduce her mile from two back.
Race 9
(4) GLAMOUR SEELSTER made a big move to win going away in her seasonal debut. Stepping up the price should be better here, but she could be up to it based on how easily she won last time. (2) REQUEST FOR PAROLE drops from the top class and she obviously rates highly as does (3) WAASMULA. Those class-droppers will help the price on the choice, however. (7) EXHILARATED figures to take a smaller share this time moving back up in class off a loss.
Race 10
(5) THE JOY LUCK CLUB has been impressive beating lesser regularly at London. She gets a bit of an acid test here, but I'll give her the nod. (3) AMERICAN SARA - winner of four of her last five - is the one to beat and a Pick 4 must-use. (4) JUST BLITZED could get a great trip here and sneak past late for Roy. Don't leave her out. (2) DAWN SHOOTER impressively beat weaker, but this task is much tougher and she figures to take a smaller share. (8) JUMP JIVE AND JAM raced well vs. the choice last time. She can make the ticket here.
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