Mohawk: Friday 10/13 Analysis
Best Bet: TRACEUR HANOVER (4th)
Spot Play: WANDA BAYAMA (10th)
Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool
Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
PICK 5: 1,2,10/1,3,5/7,9/3/3,4,6 = $10.80
EARLY PICK 4: 3/3,4,6/1,3,7,8,9/2,4,9 = $45
LATE PICK 4: 2,4,9/3,4,9/1,3,5/1 = $27
MEET STATS: 386 - 1188 / $2,136.70 BEST BETS: 52 - 114 / $182.50
SPOT PLAYS: 36 - 114 / $219.10
Race 1
(10) MACH DEJA VU typically gets better results in conditioned classes and these are much easier than he faced last time in OSS Gold company; top call. (2) ROCK THIS WAY also faces much easier here and he is a Pick 5 must-use for me in this field. (1) BETTORS DREAM gets McNair for the first time here which has been a big angle all meet here and he is in a dogfight for the driving title; using. (5) XTERNAL can contend for a smaller share if he stays flat this time.
Race 2
(1) GIA DIAMOND steps up off a new life's mark and she has never been better; call to repeat. (3) SHE LIGHTS OUT is in solid form and should be prominent throughout here. (5) MS MAC N CHEESE finally took her second win of the year last time in a sharp effort. She is useable in Pick 5 tickets here. (7) LAY LADY LAY will likely be last early, but she can close for a slice.
Race 3
(9) ODDS ON AMETHYST has hit his best form again and he should be tough here despite getting the worst post. (7) IL SOGNO DREAM was driven out to a big win by Drury last time and he sticks here; using. (8) MAJOR ATHENS drops and he should contend vs. these. (4) CATCH THE DREAM will be closing late and he could capitalize if any early battling takes place.
Race 4
(3) TRACEUR HANOVER was used hard early last time in a quick mile and he hung in there decently, considering. He looks best here. (4) HES A SENSATION took his first win of the season last time, but he had been racing tough for several weeks prior to that victory and he is a contender here. (1) DREAMY FELLA is hard to leave out despite the class rise; using. (9) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL drops and he should make the Super ticket here.
Race 5
(6) JANGONE was too far back last time, but he did fly home late. He can take these with a more aggressive steer and note that Filion returns. (3) LEAN HANOVER raced tough on the rim last time to get up to win; using. (4) HILL OF A COLT is always around the money and he should be prominent racing on or near the lead here. (1) FREE WILLY HANOVER can close for a share here starting from the inside.
Race 6
(8) VOODOO CHARM hinted at a return to form last time and she should have plenty of early speed to chase here; price play. (9) ARTISTIC MADISON sizzled over Flamboro last week and she will be the one to knock off here, although she may face some early competition for the front. (7) LIGHTS GO OUT is another closer that could get a great setup here. (3) BERNADETTE steps up but she is sharp and competitive here.
Race 7
(2) MACH CODE drops again after being used up early last time. He is a big threat here racing on or near the lead. (4) ADORE HIM drops and he should be heard from late vs. these. (9) REVEREND HANOVER lasted much longer last time and it wouldn't be a big shock if he took these coast-to-coast. (6) PAPARAZZI HANOVER can stick around for a smaller share vs. these.
Race 8
(3) P L JERICO made two moves last time in a quick early pace, then faltered late. He gets a good post here to try to control things; top call. (9) ST JAMES GATE was in solid form prior to last week and he could bounce back here at a good price. (4) EXQUISITE GLIDE drops and gets McNair back. It makes sense to use him here. (8) SETANTA can close again for another slice.
Race 9
(1) WRANGLER MAGIC should be tough starting from the inside after showing speed in the Allerage last week at The Red Mile. (3) WITCH DALI raced tough first up last week, but she couldn't catch the winner, who stole an easy opening 1/2. She figures here. (5) SANDBETWEENURTOES was game in victory last week, but she is unlikely to get the same easy opening 1/2 here. She also doesn't need to be on the lead to win, so she is a factor regardless. (8) L A DELIGHT continues to race decently but she hasn't taken a win yet and from the worst post here, she likely finishes on the edges again.
Race 10
(1) WANDA BAYAMA faces easier here despite being in the same class. She has a solid chance to convert vs. these. (8) MAXIM SEELSTER steps up in solid form ad she can get a decent trip near the front here. (9) JORDIES HOPE was claimed by a barn that can move one up right away; using. (7) AINTSHEASWEETIE can close for a smaller share here. (2) THEEMPIRESSISTER N is worth a look for the exotics dropping one class level.
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