The Meadows: Analysis for Saturday 9/5/26

Meet Stats: 7/16 $28.60 (-$3.40); Best Bets: 1/1 ($4.00); Spot Plays: 0/1 ($0.00)

Best Bet: Race 10-(5) BALLROOM AFFAIR

Spot Play: Race 11-(8) CAPTAIN MICAH

Early Pick 4: 35/256/1236/6 $12 for 50c

Second Pick 4: 124/6/123/256 $13.50 for 50c

$3 Pick 3 (Race 6) 6/123/56 $18

$3 Pick 3 (Race 9) 1/5/8 $3

Late Pick 4: 5/8/58/69 $2 for 50c

RACE 1 - CD 3-7YO WINNERS OF 3 BUT NOT MORE THAN 5 EXT PM`S OR $50,000 LIFE (1 CLAIM WIN EXCLUDED)

(5) HOME RUN KING has been stellar recently with four straight wins including at this level 8/22. If you liked him, he hasn’t been favored once, and won’t be again with (3) NICKELBACK shipping from Scioto for the red hot Beachy. He won here earlier this year and has been going fast miles. (1) DRY RIDGE ERIE is also sharp with two straight wins but now steps up in class. (4) GANSBAAI ships from Canada also off a win for a barn that has plenty of shares.

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RACE 2 - CD ALL AGES NW $9600 L4 STS AE: Horses with a TM rating of 86 or less as of 9/2/2026.

(5) SANDBETWEENMYTOES is closing in on a million $, still has his kick in fast miles. I think he will be closer early in this spot and punch late. (6) TIP TOP CAT draws better this week after being out a long way 8/22. A better trip puts him on the wire here. (2) SOMETIME SOMEWHERE won here on Adios day then has been too far back in recent starts. (8) MANTADOR draws wide again so will likely produce another wide rally for a share.

RACE 3 - CD ALL AGES NW $5200 L4 STS AE: Horses with a TM rating of 74 or less as of 9/2/2026.

(1) D A LOVE BOAT stepped up 8/28 off a win and was a solid 4th. If he produces another fast final quarter he beats these. (6) DRAGON CITY gets a track and driver switch looking to move forward away from the gate. (2) JOY IN MUDVILLE has been in amazingly quick miles at lower levels, comes off a break in stride 8/28. (3) ONTOP RAINMAN ships from NY where he’s been long odds vs. Open foes. He can close up for a share.

RACE 4 - 2 YO FILLY PACE-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL

(6) BOARDWALK BABE has four straight quick wins at short odds, looks too fast for these. (4) ELLYEA has been chasing the choice but finishing well in every start. She adds value to the exacta. (2) ODDS ON WONDERFUL has shown talent for Virgil and comes off a nice win over this surface. (3) LYONS CARIEMONTANA drew poorly at Mohawk but won her Elimination at huge odds. Driver switch could affect style.

RACE 5 - 2YO FILLY TROT-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL

(1) BALARA BAY just upset these last week for Norman. Her kick plays well in this Final especially from an inside post. (4) ANDERSSON HANOVER gets off the rail after getting picked off by the choice in last. I expect her to move early here but take pressure. (2) SEVENOOPS HANOVER broke before the start 8/27 after two sharp wins. If flat she has a big shot to win. (3) T’WOULDMAKEMESING has three straight wins at three different racetracks. Another one of the contenders in a wide open Final.

RACE 6 - 2YO C&G PACE-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL - $3 Pick 3 starts

(6) HUNGRY MARCO has been stellar since dropping to this level 8/14. I think he can go even faster when pushed. (7) SCORECARD HOUNDDOG comes off a 1:51 3/5 mile on 8/21 here. Moves outside now so needs that same speed early. (2) SASSINATOR is racing well and could end up off the pace here as he’s not as quick early as the others. Tons of speed to chase so could get a setup. (3) CELTIC WAVE is proven from off the pace and is a must use on multi leg wagers at a price.

RACE 7 - 2YO C&G TROT-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL

(1) STRAPPED has handled these in two Stallion series starts while favored. I think he sits the pocket behind (2) HOOK N REEL here and those two battle to the wire. (3) SCARPA has also been sharp and gets back to the 5/8 track. She tired in latest but can bounce back. (6) LIONS TALE comes from the Melander barn who is always dangerous, gets a new pilot needing more late.

RACE 8 - 3YO FILLY PACE-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL

(6) TALL DARK TEQUILA has been facing better foes in overnights recently and should thrive off this drop. (5) SANDYBOOTS YANKEE missed some time this summer but returned with a nice win 8/28. She could improve off that and threaten the favorite. (2) IMAGINE HEAVEN is another from the potent Oakes barn looking to continue her winning ways. Will need to get faster to threaten top two. (8) REAL FAST is more competitive at this level coming off a tough trip.

RACE 9 - 3YO FILLY TROT-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL $3 Pick 3 starts

(1) I TAKE THE CAKE comes off a blowout overnight win at Yonkers after an easy win here 8/15. She’s a single in multis as she’s gotten good at the right time. (6) AVIANNA HANOVER just won from the eight hole here 8/28 from off the pace. She has a look at a price to pick up those chasing Cake here. (7) BERRY GOOD NEWS has won two of her last three, one of those at the NW5 level. Her class could carry her here. (4) INTISAAR MIL draws inside after an overnight race looking for a share.

RACE 10 - 3YO C&G PACE-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL" Pick 4 starts

(5) BALLROOM AFFAIR tried the Milstein a few weeks ago but it was too tough. The two wins surrounding that effort make him very tough to look past here. (4) BLUE INDIGO is consistent for Burke with four wins this year. I think needs a trip but will be close early. (8) GOOD FRIDAY could grab a spot early with Matt K driving here after sharp win 8/28. Using in verticals. (2) WINNERCIRCLESEEKER ships up from KY coming out of fast miles. He will look to grab a share late and hope the race falls apart to get more.

RACE 11 - 3YO C&G TROT-PA STALLION SERIES FINAL

(8) CAPTAIN MICAH has two straight wins at the level and gets Kakaley now to blast off from this draw. (5) TYMAL KRYPTONITE has raced well all season with six wins including a few at the PA Fairs. His 28 1/5 Final quarter two back puts him in the mix. (3) EMMETT HANOVER is right there at this level and has a post edge now. (1) NOSE JAMMER has 11 shares this season and a 12th is possible with an inside trip.

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RACE 12 - CD CLM 3YO&UP NW 12 EXT PM'S. CLAIMING $35,000 W/A

(5) DOWNTHEJERSEYSHORE and (8) WATCH MY WARRIOR hooked up at this level on 8/22 and the former got the better trip and the win but the latter kicked 26 4/5 to just miss late. These two should battle again here but the five has the early speed and post edge to help him win again. (2) NOTORIOUS HANOVER was better 8/22 at long odds. He’s had a nice year up and down the class ladder and can fill out exotics. (7) ELSA D is more a share type at this level for top connections.

RACE 13 - CLAIM HANDICAP $10,000-$15,000 W/A

(9) HAWAIIAN CHIP has four straight wins climbing the claiming ladder - the last two from wide draws. He’s the one to beat in the finale. (6) MR DUNNINGS has been chasing that one his last four starts and is getting checks behind him. He should get away well from this post and try him again late. (2) MAJOR KEY is a share type that draws inside looking for a trip. (1) JR STRIKE THREE steps up off the claim and adds Wrenn. (5) MIKI’s BIG GUY can fill out the High 5 with the right trip at big odds.