Meadowlands: Analysis for Saturday 9/11

MEET STATS: 12-5-2-4 / $25.40 (+$1.40)
BEST BETS: 1-0-0-1 / $0.00 (-2.00)
SPOT PLAYS: 1-0-0-1 / $0.00 (-$2.00)
BEST BET: SOHO BURNING LOVE A (9th)
SPOT PLAY: NIMAH FRANCO N (3rd)
Race 1: Non-winners $17,500 in last 4/NW $12,500 L4 draw inside - Pick 5
(6) KENZIESKY HANOVER tends to find her "A" game when she drops in class. While she can hang at times versus top foes, this is a group she is supposed to defeat. (8) SCIROCCO ROB has been tackling the top class at Pocono, so this is a bit of a class drop for him as well. (4) SAY YOU DO is clearly sharp and has put in a number of good efforts here. (7) RICH AND MISERABLE has won two of his last three and is no stranger to the winner's circle here.
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Race 2: Non-winners $6,000 (NW L2 $6,600) in last 4 or $7,500 in last 5/TM 83.17 or less
(7) HEZA REAL DIAMOND held very well last week in a 1:49 4/5 mile against a runaway winner last week. Let's stick with him and hope to see early speed here. (5) DE LOS CIELOS DEO is way down in class and supposed to wake up in this spot; using. (1) DIG DANNY DIG moves into a decent barn and seems fast enough to play with these. (10) JUMPING JAKE went a big mile in this class last time but is now saddled with a difficult post.
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Race 3: Non-winners $6,000 (NW L3 $6,600) in last 4/TM 80.3 or less/Opt. $20,000 Clm. - Survivor 7
(4) NIMAH FRANCO N was perhaps a bit flat late last week, but it was her first start over the track and she might not have learned that sprinting speed yet. Let's stay here another week. (2) BE BEST moves to the inside of the gate and seems likely to find more early speed. (8) SWEET LUCY LOU was stacked up behind a slow pace and had no chance last time; chance if the pace is fast or if she is put in play.
Race 4: Non-winners $6,000 in last 4/TM 81.8 or less
(8) GLOBETROTTING has worked out his breaking trouble with hobbles added and now Burke sends her to the big track to try her luck. Perhaps that and a slower field will get her home. (5) ROCK PARTY drops down and should be heading to the front, likely working out a good trip behind the top pick. (6) INNISFALLEN has gone some good miles here in the past.
Race 5: Non-winners 2/3 races or $20,000/$30,000 life/Maidens draw inside
(6) METALLICA went a pretty solid mile in his Big M debut and the son of Shadow Play could be even better with that start under his belt. (1) AS ALWAYS adds Lasix off a solid effort; improves further? (5) PRAYFORTHEWICKED has the ability to win in this spot. Is he ready after missing five weeks?
Race 6: Open - $50K GTD Pick 4
(2) CRYSTAL FASHION couldn't overcome post eight and a tough trip at Pocono last time. The class which has made him a double millionaire should be on display tonight. (5) LOVEDBYTHEMASSES was taken off the pace through somewhat slow fractions last week and lost any chance. If he is put in play, the result could be much different. (4) NEXT LEVEL STUFF has missed five weeks but Campbell usually sends horses to the track ready.
Race 7: Non-winners $9,000 (NW L3 $10,000) in last 4
I'm not sure that (5) TYPHOON STRIDE N's lone qualifier is representative of his ability. His body of work in Australia says he fits nicely here and I'm going to roll the dice with one of the hottest barns in racing. (3) STONE HANOVER gets a bit of class relief and should get a more aggressive steer. (1) A BETTOR BEACH popped a monster mile last time. Can he possibly repeat that effort? (4) PRO BEACH improved in his second start for Burke and another step forward wouldn't be a surprise.
Race 8: Non-winners $9,000 (NJSO $9,900) in last 4 - Pick 6
(6) PATRIARCH HANOVER was an awful bet as the heavy chalk last time but raced ok. Four-year-old seems to slowly be rounding into form and at what should be a much better mutual, he's worth a shot. (4) HL REVADON could be firing to the top here and a repeat of last week's mile put him right there. (10) HOCKEY HANOVER has enough early speed to overcome the bad post if he's on his game. (9) CHIPLOSIVE is a capable horse that drops in class.
Race 9: Non-winners $17,500 (NW L3 $19,250) in last 4/TM 86.9 or less
(7) SOHO BURNING LOVE A has been beating up on slightly easier out of town and should be able to handle this field as well as the chalk. (8) WARRAWEE UBEAUT went insane fractions and paid the price last time at Yonkers. Perhaps that speed-tightening mile will have her ready to fire a big shot. (2) BETTORS HEART N won her last start in a similar class but faces tougher in this field.
Race 10: $100,000-$150,000 Claiming Handicap - $50K GTD Pick 4
Great to see a high-end claimer on the card, but boy is this a difficult race to handicap. (3) VETTEL N closed in 25 3/5 last time versus a much better field last week and took third. Whether on or off the pace, he has a big shot. (8) SEMI TOUGH goes for the largest tag in the field and has some back-class from his younger days. It's likely he's put in play here. (1) J M MANDAMIN has big early speed and should be in the number somewhere.
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Race 11: Non-winners $9,000 in last 4/Not 3rd or better L4 draw outside
(9) BETALADY is stuck outside again but drops way down in class. The big track suits her game and hopefully she can work out a reasonable trip. (6) JUXTA COWGIRL has early speed in a field that seems to lack a ton of that quality. (3) ALICORN finished just behind the top pick last week so it's hard to toss her out if you think #9 can win.
Race 12: TrackMaster Rating 96.6 or less - Handicap
(6) WES DELIGHT races somewhat sparingly but has been bringing good efforts to the track most of the time. This looks like a good spot for him to shine with Brennan taking over the lines. (2) ANA AFREET N chased home a sharper foe last week in a decent try, though I thought he wasn't at the top of his game. Maybe he'll move forward here. (4) LYONS STEEL comes off a sharp win.
Race 13: Non-winners $3,500 (NW L3 $3,850) in last 4
(5) I'M A BIG DEAL drops in class and picks up an aggressive driver. (4) SEEUINNASHVILLE A adds Lasix and drops out of the same race as the top pick. (6) FOREVERNALWAYS gets a venue change and drops out of claimers; improvement possible. (1) OURLITTLEGENERAL A was racing in a higher class when last here. Classy veteran is in a good class tonight.

