Meadowlands: Analysis for Saturday 11/14/26

FALL MEET STATS: 124-43-16-28 / $221.70 (-$26.30)

BEST BETS: 8-3-2-2 / $10.60 (-$5.40)

SPOT PLAYS: 9-2-0-2 / $8.20 (-$9.80)

BEST BET: TWIN B JOE FRESH (6th)

SPOT PLAY: ERVIN HANOVER (7th)

Race 1: Trackmaster 77.5 or less/Opt. $12,500 Clm. - Pick 5

(4) AROLNDAHAYBLUECHIP was set up nicely in the outer flow through a good 54 4/5 half but then lost any chance when the third quarter was walked in 29 1/5, the slowest such fraction of the card for that quarter. Three-year-old is capable if much more than we saw last time and hopefully the pace will give him the chance this week. (2) ROCKIN THE ACES is certainly the sharpest in the field and a horse that won his last start in this class. Dunn joining the team means you will have to swallow a short price. (3) SERGEANT WALT could fire out and secure a good trip in a field that seems to lack a ton of early speed players. (5) BARBOSSA HANOVER gets a key driver change to Bartlett that could return immediate dividends. (1) FIZZING N had some pace at the end of the mile last time, which has been his way of late; along for a share.

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Race 2: Trackmaster 83.5 (NW L2 85.5) or less

(3) ONEFORTHEROAD GB rolled down the road impressively last time and can certainly handle the slight class bump here. (2) SPUNKY HANOVER and (5) STOP THE SHOOTIN’ are both making their second starts back after layoffs and either is capable of stepping up with a victory. (9) EUPHORIA N is a capable horse picking up Dexter Dunn. That alone makes him worth consideration if the odds aren’t affected too much.

Race 3: NW $15,000 in last 5 or races-$125K life/TM 89.5or less

(2) CAPTAIN CRUSADER has been closing well at Philly in his last two and that just isn’t a recipe for success. His last start here was a solid second versus a solid field. (5) SONOFANUTCRACKER hasn’t quite done the stakes damage that perhaps his connections were hoping for but he’s proven he can be a solid player in overnight company with a mix of early speed and staying power. (1) VOUKEFALAS is a classy guy that might have another bullet left in the holster if given the right trip. (6) WATER SPORTS TEEN has been taking advantage of easier spots. Sharp horse needs even more tonight.

Race 4: $150K FanDuel Mare Trot Championship - $50K Est. Pick 4

(4) WARRAWEE MICHELLE has been racing great since early September and you have to love that she makes her own trips with early speed. Gingras joining the team tonight shows that the connections are all in for the win here. (3) TACTICAL MONI has won two straight including the Breeders Crown. Knowing that she’ll be the chalk and that both of her wins came on a smaller track has me wanting to fade her, though she does deserve plenty of respect. (1) R DUTCHESS isn’t a horse you are typically running to the windows to bet but she’s one that can win at any time given the right setup. (2) BOURBONISTA S has gone her best miles over this track and if you can get a big price on her I wouldn’t stop you from taking a stab.

Race 5: $300K FanDuel Open Trot Championship – Survivor 7

All eyes will be on Super Chapter and On To Norway here as they battle for divisional honors. I’m still going to take a stab with last year’s top dog (7) LEXUS KODY coming off a much-improved effort where he displayed early speed and had something left at the end of the mile. If he’s back in form, the top two will have their hands full. Let’s lean slightly to (4) SUPER CHAPTER over (2) ON TO NORWAY in the second spot as he’s the more likely of the two to be handled aggressively, and even if that doesn’t happen, the result could be following the latter’s first-over move. On To Norway deserves props for a huge Breeders Crown win and if he does something similar here Horse of the Year may be in play. (3) LOGAN PARK is very fast early and in great form. He’s going to have a big say in who wins this race.

Race 6: $150K FanDuel Mare Pace Championship – Pick 6

(3) TWIN B JOE FRESH is back to her old self and simply toying with the competition. There is no case to be made for her losing, so just sit back and enjoy would may be the last race of her $3.5 million career. (5) ALWAYS B NAUGHTY has been very unlucky to draw outside posts in her last two stakes assignments. There is no reason she can’t finish second here at a healthy price; Zeron drives! (1) TALK CURDY TO ME was a decent third in the Breeders Crown and comes off a confidence building win at Mohawk; logical exacta player at a short combination price. (6) LOUIES GIRL N has been right there in a number of these stakes events but I’m never quite confident in her and don’t expect to get the right price.

Race 7: $300K FanDuel Open Pace Championship

(6) ERVIN HANOVER had a rough go of it in Ohio last month and I heard rumors that he was dealing with some sickness. If those issues are cleared up now, and the three weeks off with a strong qualifier mixed in say they are, there could be opportunity here at a sweet price. It is worth adding that this hasn’t been his best track, though he did win here earlier in the year. (5) WOMEN LAYER is perhaps the flavor of the minute in this crazy division where no one can go on a lengthy run. His Breeders Crown effort was solid and the win at Rosecroft on Sunday in the Potomac even better. (3) PRINCE HAL HANOVER tried to come uncovered into a 26 3/5 third quarter and that turned out as expected, though he did hold off the stragglers gamely for third. He’s certainly due for a good trip and a big win. (1) OAKWOOD ARDAN IR couldn’t be feeling any better spending much of October beating up on Midwest Open types. A case can be made for him if the price drifts up to 6-1 or so.

Race 8: $383,830 Valley Victory 2yoC&G Trot - $75K Est. Pick 4

(1) COMMAND CENTER has dealt with some issues lately including a shoeing experiment that didn’t work in his last qualifier. Let’s remember that this royally bred son of Gimpanzee has plenty of raw speed and ability. He could also offer a decent mutuel given the recent breaks. (3) BENTLEY BLUE CHIP and (4) GUSTAV finished first and second in the Kindergarten a couple of weeks ago and both look very relevant on the win end if the top one doesn’t fire his best shot. (6) SEVEN PLEDGES had me in his corner last time but didn’t deliver. I wouldn’t be surprised if he raced well.

Race 9: $386,830 Goldsmith Maid 2yoF Trot

(4) KOUNTRY PLUNGE didn’t have an equal in New York as she rolled a perfect seven straight victories to start her career. Rather than try the Breeders Crown she was instead saved for this spot. If anyone can have a horse ready after missing five weeks, it’s Svanstedt. Here’s hoping we get 5-2 or higher against a very good field. (7) NEVIS PEAK will be on all of my multi-race tickets after a coming out party of sorts in the Breeders Crown where she went a monster mile in defeat. Her natural ability is off the charts. (2) BIRR CASTLE is going to take plenty of support after her Breeders Crown win, and what’s not to like? She’s 9-for-9 in-the-money in 2026. (1) CLIMATIC HANOVER still seems to be trying to find her best form but the talent is there. (11) ATHENA’S GIRL is another with ability and one that will likely be overlooked in the wagering.

Race 10: $300K Three Diamonds 2yoFT - $50K Est. Pick 4

(1) JK LADY LIBERTY had a very bad night in the Breeders Crown, out every step and not exactly handling the turns great. Trainer Nancy Takter reports that she came out of the race sick and that would certainly explain how badly she stopped. Since that race she put in a very nice qualifier and I’m inclined to stick with her. (2) JK ALWAYSBPOSITIVE returned from four weeks on the sidelines and gave her all with a 26 4/5 third quarter while uncovered followed by a 27 4/5 final panel at Philly. That was a nice effort and she can build off that mile. (8) HOLY has missed five weeks but also turned in a good tightening qualifier. She has the early speed to be involved and her best effort would make her a win player. (3) CLEVELAND DARBY has been just ok since trying Grand Circuit company; using underneath only.

Race 11: $300K Governor’s Cup 2yoC&G Pace

(4) HADES posted a god-like win last week at The Meadowlands when driver Tim Tetrick got tired of fighting with him and launched a three-wide move to dominate inferior foes. This is a true test for him but one that he seems capable of handling if he behaves. (6) EASTIE BOY has won the Metro and the Matron. He’s heading to the front and certainly the one to beat. (1) TOTALLY TYLER turned in some good miles north of the border. Dunn joins the team after steering him to a game qualifying victory. (8) SEINE just missed in the Kindergarten. If he fires out as expected and lands in a good spot, maybe he can win this race.

Race 12: Non-winners $7,500 in last 5/TM 85.25 or less

(7) LASER SPEED drops in his third start since August and could be ready for more now. He had plenty left at the end of the mile last time. (6) ON ACCIDENT is another one of the many dropping out of the same race as the top pick. He had missed 70 days prior to that start and certainly should show more, likely in the shape of early speed. (3) CAMARA MOMENT has been very consistent of late. (8) BETTORS DONTTELL broke and won from post 10 two starts back and was never a factor last time while finishing ok. Gingras rejoins the team tonight.

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Race 13: Trackmaster 80.5 (NW L2 82.5) or less

(5) CAPTAIN MARVEL has two wins this year and both came at this TM80 level; with a catch driver in the bike; wake-up coming? (4) GAZOO won in this class a few starts back and this field is loaded with early speed that could set up his late rally. (3) BET ON MAC has been racing well and should only be helped by Tetrick joining the team. (6) OLLIE’S Z TAM will be firing hard off the gate and should last for a decent exotics spot, at least.

Race 14: Trackmaster 71 (NW L2 73) or less

(2) DRAGON STING just missed in this class last time and faces competition that is most comfortable at a lower level. (4) DISCO DANCER is also off a second in this condition. The driver change to Bartlett could put him over the top but likely at a shorter price. (6) LYLEGROUND moves inside and could make some early noise at least. (1) MIDNIGHT THUNDER also has early speed, along with Beckwith in the bike; using underneath. (5) BOURBONS COURAGE is another getting a new driver; makes a difference?