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Meadowlands

Meadowlands: Analysis for Friday 11/19

Derick Giwner|Nov 17, 2021
Meadowlands logo (new)

MEET STATS: 151-62-27-20 / $254.60 (-$47.40)

BEST BETS: 12-9-0-1 / $25.40 (+1.40)

SPOT PLAYS: 12-2-2-4 / $7.40 (-$16.60)

BEST BET: INNISFALLEN (2nd)

SPOT PLAY: BEYOND WORDS N (6th)

Race 1: GSY Amateur - Pick 5

(2) BRUCE'S MAGIC has been a bit of a tease while closing late for smaller checks. He lands on the inside of the gate this week and should have every opportunity to work out a live trip. (4) FERDINAND A took care of business on the engine last time and could be in that same position again. (3) KINGOFTHEJUNGLE should be heading to the front and may just wind up sitting a cozy pocket behind #4. (10) ROCKABILLY CHARM has some winning miles that really stick out against this field, but post 10 means some luck will be needed. (1) PIRATES ALLEY gets a big post improvement tonight.

[DRF HARNESS: Get Harness Eye PPs for this card]

Race 2: Non-winners $4,000 or $6,001 in last 5

(6) INNISFALLEN was written into a race where he should be the clear favorite. Five-year-old got on the right track in a hurry versus amateur foes and now returns here in another comfortable spot. (1) CROSSFIT MOUSE took a shot and tired last time. Dunn in the bike this week makes him an interesting play. (5) MARVELOUSTRIX isn't a sexy horse but she is capable of closing late for an exotic spot.

Race 3: GSY Amateur - Survivor 7

(5) WINNERESS has raced much better in his two recent starts on five-eighths tracks than on the smaller half-milers. I'd love to see Verruso try for the early lead. (1) CYCLONE MAXIMUS has a capable driver and a horse with decent early speed. Gelding could be gunning off the gate. (2) SWANCREDIT rolled past the field like a freight train last week. He has a big shot again, but the price will be 80% lower.

Race 4: Non-winners $4,000 (NW L3 $4,400) in last 5/TM 82 (NW L2 82.57) or less

(7) FOUR-STAR FLASH is a 3-year-old with some ability that never got on a roll. He was short after missing five weeks in his first start for this barn and then got stuck in post 7 at Yonkers. There could be opportunity here to hit this guy at a price with Yannick choosing off. (6) HEZA REAL DIAMOND hasn't been razor-sharp in some time, but at this level he is very dangerous and a must-use. (2) BANK SEA comes off a sharp mile and wouldn't be a huge surprise.

Race 5: GSY Amateur

(4) FERNADO wasn't bad last time when part of the pace and finishing fourth. I don't see a ton of early speed in this field and he could be cutting it. (8) WATCHMENEIGHNEIGH took plenty of air and held his ground ok last weekend. With a better trip he can make some noise. (2) MASTER CONRAD & (3) GALACTIC GALLEON N are both capable of saving ground and picking up plenty of pieces.

Race 6: Winners 2-4 (NW L3 5) races life or $10,000 (NW L3 $11,000) in last 5 - $50K GTD Pick 4

(5) BEYOND WORDS N is back on the big track and that should help this gal out. She was only fourth in her qualifier but finished behind all Open company. This is a winning spot. (4) OFF THE RECORD flashed speed and tired in her first start after three weeks off. She can do better here. (1) MORNING HAS BROKEN was a sharp winner last time and should keep her form.

Race 7: Winners 5-7 (NW L3 or 3yo 8) races or $80,000 life

(5) BEAUTIFULCOLIBRI IT was clearly short in her U.S. debut as lots of money went down the drain. There is some ability here, so assuming we get up into the 5-2 range, I would take a shot. (7) REDWHITE N GOO is on a serious roll and seems like a legitimate favorite on paper. (2) DEE’S RED DELICIOUS gets major class and post relief. Don't be shocked if he steps up. (4) MELANIA goes for three straight; player.

Race 8: Non-winners $7,000 (NW L3 $7,800) in last 5/NW $4,000 in last 5 or $10,000 life - Pick 6

(3) VH PRINCESS BREA has been decent from off the pace lately versus perhaps slightly tougher foes. I can see an aggressive steer coming this week. (4) SWEET TALKER comes off a decent effort as well and is perfectly spotted this week in the middle of the gate. (2) BNB gets a barn change and is worth a look.

Race 9: Non-winners $14,000 in last 5

(7) RICH AND MISERABLE is clearly the best horse in this race if he minds his manners. The question is what type of price you'll have to accept to play him. (6) MAX stays in the same class but catches a weaker field for the most part. (5) STORMONT VENTNOR should be very competitive if he elects to trot the entire mile.

Race 10: Non-winners $20,000 (NW L3 $23,500) in last 5 or 9 (NW L3 or 3YO 10) races - $50K GTD Pick 4

(4) SHE'S NUN BETTOR N has been holding her own versus better lately and could be put on the lead in this spot. (5) KARMA SEELSTER was racing in the top class at Mohawk and doing well before switching barns and showing up here; using. (3) JODY has won two straight since heading south and joining the Burke barn.

Race 11: Non-winners $2,500 (NW L3 $3,000) in last 5/TM 76 or less/Opt. $10,000 Clm.

This race is a complete crapshoot. (1) ESTHER’S DELIGHT kept up well enough in her first start for this barn following a two-month break in action. A small step forward puts her in the picture at a price. (2) WIGGLE DELIGHT continues to drop in search of some form. It won't get much easier than this spot. (5) P L NOTORIOUS has early speed and lands Dexter Dunn in the bike. (8) LOOKATMYART was used hard on the engine and tired as expected. She has a big shot but is still just 1-for-21 this year.

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Race 12: Non-winners $20,000 (NW L2 $22,000) in last 5

Almost any horse in this race could win if things go well for them, but (7) JL CRUZE is the clear horse to beat. Now 10, he gets some nice class relief this week and should be in charge on the engine. (6) DUNBAR HALL beat a couple of these last time impressively. (4) GHOSTINTHESHELL S seems to have found herself in Pennsylvania. It will be interesting to see if Ake goes to the front and gets stubborn.

Race 13: TrackMaster Rating 74.5 (NW L3 76.1) or less/Opt. $7,500 Clm.

(7) MARVALOUS ONE wasn't bad last week and really isn't as dull as his recent form looks on paper. Huge driver change here can make a difference. (4) ROCKIN INDY keeps rolling along for a stable that is clicking at nearly 50% at the meet. (10) LET'SFLYTOGETHER N was driven like he couldn't lose last week despite being a 2-year-old. Art Major colt did seem a bit headstrong, so perhaps that played a role. Can Callahan work out a trip from the bad post? (5) ROCKIN RAMBARAN has been racing well and wouldn't be a surprise here.

Race 14: Non-winners $2,500 (NW L3 $2,750) in last 5/TM 79 (NW L3 79.5) or less

(6) MUSTANG BEACH takes a sizable drop in class but more importantly switches to the big track. This seems like the right time to jump on his bandwagon. (5) CHICKEN NUGGET seems to be working his way into shape. (3) SOHO CHELSEA A visits the basement condition and adds a catch-driver. He'll likely be over-bet but clearly has a shot. (10) WHAT'S YOUR BEEF perked up on the class drop last time but post 10 hurts tonight.

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