Kentucky Derby: Who's hot, who's not for April 4, 2018

WHO’S HOT

It’s a case of something old, something new, as two former members of the Derby Watch top 20 – Gronkowski and Instilled Regard – are back on the list, joined by two newcomers, Hofburg and Restoring Hope. Gronkowski won the Burradon to put himself atop the points list for the seven-race European Road to the Derby series, which guarantees him a spot in the Kentucky Derby field. Hofburg was second in the Florida Derby, while both Instilled Regard and Restoring Hope make their final bids for a berth in the Derby field in races Saturday.

Mike Watchmaker, Daily Racing Form’s national handicapper, has Hofburg at 20-1 on his future line for the Derby, with Gronkowski, Instilled Regard, and Restoring Hope all at 30-1. Justify is now the second choice at 6-1 from last week’s 8-1, with Florida Derby winner Audible now 8-1 after being 12-1 a week ago. Mendelssohn is the co-third choice at 8-1 following his smashing win in the United Arab Emirates Derby; he was 20-1 last week. Watchmaker also dropped the price on Noble Indy, who is now 15-1 from last week’s 20-1.

WHO’S NOT

Catholic Boy, Gold Town, McKinzie, and Strike Power all were removed owing to either injury or poor performance. Promises Fulfilled, 20-1 last week, had his price doubled to 40-1 following his last-place finish in the Florida Derby. His Fountain of Youth win gives him sufficient points to make the Derby field.

:: DERBY WATCH: Top 20 list | Derby Watch: California horses have been kind of a big deal

ON THE BUBBLE

Blended Citizen, Marconi, and Vino Rosso are among the horses scheduled to run Saturday in the Blue Grass or Wood Memorial, which along with the Santa Anita Derby offer 100 points for first and 40 for second.

:: KEENELAND CLOCKER REPORT: Get workout grades and comments for the Blue Grass Stakes card

:: ROAD TO THE KENTUCKY DERBY: Prep races, point standings, replays, and analysis