Keeneland Babies for Friday

Welcome to Keeneland Babies! This meet should be a challenge for the 2-year-olds as many will race over Polytrack for the first time. I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile contest at the meet, and hopefully will improve on the profits made with "Spa Babies." Good luck!

Statistical analysis will return for Saturday's races.

Friday, October 13, 2006

Race 5
1 1/16 Miles (Polytrack)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $50,000

Analysis:
The turf-to-Polytrack move has produced several winners at the meet, and WAY SASSY fits the angle perfectly after a pair of grass races in New York. She raced evenly behind next-out Salem County winner Pay Wright on September 13, and adds blinkers for barn that is having an excellent meet. Expect improved speed and focus from this Biancone baby today. HIGH HEELS finished ahead of next-out maiden graduate Get Ready Bertie in Ellis Park stakes, and boasts improving Beyer Speed Figures. Back with maidens, she may attempt to steal this on the front end. ORANGE CRUSH shows the two sprints-to-a-route move for excellent barn. She took on Frizette (Grade 1) entrant Allude last time out, and has stamina on the bottom of her pedigree. PRIVATE AFTANOON showed improved speed going a one-turn route at Arlington, and may revert to stalking tactics under Bridgmohan. She's working well for Blasi, and have a hunch that she'll like Polytrack. BEES made midrace move in Laurel route, and came up a bit short. May have been in need of one, and should be tougher with that effort under her belt.

The Bet: Way Sassy to Win (5-2 odds or more)

Race 7
7 Furlongs (Polytrack)
Allowance
2-year-olds (N2L)
Purse $52,000

Analysis:
IRISH ACE earned solid Beyer Speed Figure in debut at Saratoga, then was thrown to the wolves in the Grade 1 Hopeful. Drops in class for Nick Zito, and has the early speed to be prominent from the opening bell. TYTUS rallied nicely from off the pace to win debut for underrated barn. He has been working beautifully for this spot, and may sit a great trip stalking the speeds while in the clear. JOE GOT EVEN broke maiden over Polytrack in first start off the layoff, and the track has been playing to his late-running style. Barn has sent out some live runners at the meet, and you have to respect the rider switch to Bejarano. The Blasi barn has been heating up, and TRICKY MON should be respected dropping out of the Prairie Meadows Juvenile. He has high speed, and may attempt to clear these from the far outside post.

The Bet: Irish Ace - Tytus exacta, Irish Ace - Joe Got Even exacta