Keeneland Babies: 2-year-old picks and analysis for Oct. 24

RACE 3

1. MIDNIGHT ECLIPSE (Malibu Moon - Middleburg Mint, by No Armistice)

70K yearling, 65K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.2, 25K 2yo after 3F work 34; sire 198-1070
(19%) 2yos; this is first starter from sprint winner (28K, 2-13 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 SW sprinter Malibu Mint (723K, 5-18 sprint); barn 3-14 (21%, $1.92 ROI) past 5 years 2yos synthetic MCL sprint; strange race 10/4 as stalked 3-4w and dropped back badly FT; looked like she would be eased, but she ended up passing some stragglers late; expect more speed here; can't count out.

2. STROLLINGINTHERAIN (Stroll - Dancingintherain, by Future Storm)

Sire 13-42 (31%) 2yo FTS; sprint winner (107K, 0-3 at 2, 4-22 sprint) has 2 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 sprint SW Shadow Caster (477K, 3-11 at 2, 7-35 sprint); barn 1-9 (11%, $2.31 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic; 10/4 work matches Pentathlon (11th 30K MCL polytrack 37 Beyer 10/12 KEE); 10/10 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "went nicely in hand, in front of Cry To Kats Me (unraced)"; 10/17 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "good head up breeze with Brad's Ruby (47 Beyer), good effort for both"

3. PRIMMENSITY (Nayef - Diamond Dilemma, by Sinndar)

20K yearling by multiple Group 1 turf SW (3.5M, 2-2 at 2, 0-1 with North American 2yos); unraced dam has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple Grade/Group 2 turf SW Lisieux Rose (329K), Group 3 turf SP Utterly Heaven (62K); barn 3-26 (12%, $0.93 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos synthetic sprint (2-9 MCL); stalked pace inside and finished evenly after easing out turning for home; eligible to improve.

4. BROWN BAGGIN IT (Big Brown - Correoso, by Rahy)

15K RNA yearling; 1/2 SP Corey County (166K, 0-1 sprint) by 10-42 (24%) 2yo FTS sire; dam 2yo SP turf (63K, 1-5 at 2, 0-1 sprint) with 7 winners from 8 runners (3-6 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 5-8 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 sprint SW Big Jewel (517K, 3-9 at 2, 24-92 sprint), 2yo G3 sprint SP Treasure Man (125K, 2-10 at 2, won debut, 12-71 sprint), multiple sprint SW Miss Gibson County (545K, 5-7 at 2, won debut, 11-20 sprint), multiple sprint SW Charlies Paradise (260K, 5-6 at 2, won debut, 6-21 sprint); dam full G2 turf SP La Ronge (202K, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint); barn 2-10 (20%, $4.14 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic sprint (2-4 MCL)

5. ABBYS PROMISE (Red Giant - Lofty Promise, by Broken Vow)

Sire 3-12 (25%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from winning dam (22K, 0-2 at 2, 0-2 sprint); 2nd dam 2yo sprint SW Flying Galoshes (56K, 2-4 at 2, won debut, 4-15 sprint); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MCL sprint; 9/28 work matches Don't Tell Me No (7th FTS 50K MCL 36 Beyer 10/4 KEE); 10/18 Keeneland Clocker Report notes she was outworked by Trawee (unraced); races without hind shoes

6. MAJESTIC MELRESA (Majestic Warrior - Get Ready Bertie, by More Than Ready)

Sire 9-79 (11%) 2yo FTS; SW route dam (222K, 2-7 at 2, 0-4 sprint) has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-2 with 2yos, won debut, 0-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 route SW Whirlie Bertie (205K, 0-2 sprint); dam full G3 route SW Uptown Bertie (227K, 0-4 at 2); barn 2-14 (14%, $0.97 ROI) past 5 years

7. HOOKAH LADY (Smoke Glacken - Doc's Leading Lady, by Doc's Leader)

45K RNA yearling; sire 231-1275 (18%) 2yos; unplaced dam (2K, 0-1 sprint) has 0 winners from 3 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprinter Queen Ginni (43K, 3-13 at 2, 6-32 sprint), 2yo route SW Queen Mary's Boy (85K, 2-7 at 2, 2-22 sprint); dam full G3 turf SW Phi Beta Doc (442K, 1-12 at 2, 0-8 sprint); barn 9-34 (26%, $2.42) past 5 years turf/synthetic (0-3 with 2yos); did some heavy lifting early 9/25 and paid the price late; pace factor once more.

8. CURB APPEAL (Corinthian - Fairy Princess, by Giant's Causeway)

25K yearling; sire 47-371 (13%) 2yos; route winner (17K) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SW Kumari Continent (263K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint), G3 SW Passion (216K, 1-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint); barn 2-12 (17%, $2.38 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/synthetic (0-3 second-out); exits key race (3rd-, 4th-finishers graduated with 68, 67 Beyers)

9. CANCUN BAY (Noble Causeway - Sun Bay, by Grindstone)

Sire 1-65 (2%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from route winner (47K, 0-1 at 2, 0-6 sprint); 2nd dam turf SP Judge's Secretary (99K, 0-4 at 2, 0-4 sprint); barn 0-6 past 5 years

10. SONNY SHORT STACK (City Zip - Hold All Calls, by Caller I.D.)

12K yearling; sire 197-1103 (18%) 2yos; dam placed sprinting at 2 (7K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) with 3 winners from 4 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 3-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW Extrovert (165K, 4-18 sprint), multiple turf SW Ever After (240K, 1-5 at 2, 0-1 sprint), SW Wedlock (190K, 2-4 at 2, 1-3 sprint); barn 0-15 past 5 years dirt/synthetic (0-1 with 2yos); pressed by odds-on winner 9/22, tired late; 3rd-finisher ran 2nd here for 30K with 43 Beyer; interesting.

11. U S ROCKETTE (U S Ranger - Hold 'Em Slew, by Hold That Tiger)

Sire multiple turf SW (481K, 3-3 at 2, 0-19 with 2yo FTS); 1st starter from sprint winner (19K, 0-2 at 2, 1-1 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 route SW Pool Land (529K, 1-2 sprint), G2 SP My Chickadee (246K, 1-4 sprint); barn 1-11 (9%, $3.45 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MCL sprint; 9/26 work went .03 slower than Texas Tex (5th 30K MCL polytrack 44 Beyer 10/12 KEE); 10/9 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "good gate effort, was expending less energy than Sirens Secret (32 Beyer 10/16) at the finish;"

12. RENEE (Da Stoops - Summer Rendezvous, by Forest Wildcat)

Sire 18-96 (19%) 2yos; 1st starter from sprint winner (31K, 2-13 sprint): dam 1/2 multiple SP Big Easy (216K, 2-4 at 2, 5-23 sprint), G2 SW Summer Applause (754K, 2-3 at 2, 1-2 sprint); barn 2-14 (14%, $2.82 ROI) past 5 years 2yos synthetic; involved in torrid duel 9/2 before tiring; winner ran 3rd here AN1X 71 Beyer 10/12; races without hind shoes.

SELECTIONS:

1. Sonny Short Stack

2. Primmensity

3. Hookah Lady

THE PLAY:

Sonny Short Stack to win and place at 4-1 odds or greater.

RACE 7

1. CHES' STEIN (Bernstein - Chamela, by Danehill)

15K short yearling; sire 34-272 (13%) 2yo FTS; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2) has 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with 2yos); dam 1/2 SW Hawait Al Barr (England), G2 turf SP Racing Blue (Germany); barn 0-5 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic; 10/8 work matches Seatopen Memo (4th 5K CN2 dirt 37 Beyer MNR 10/14)

2. PEACE OFFERING (Giant's Causeway - Light of Dubai, by Gone West)

160K yearling; sire 27-289 (9%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unplaced dam (1K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint); 2nd dam G2 sprint SW A.P. Assay (381K, 1-1 at 2, 5-10 sprint); barn 0-4 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MSW sprint; 9/23, 9/30 works match Red River Rising (38 dirt Beyer); Schu filling in for suspended Kellyn Gorder.

3. ROBERTO GATO (Zensational - Cat News, by Storm Cat)

100K weanling, 175K yearling, 240K RNA 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 200K RNA 2yo after 2F work 21.4; 1/2 G2 route SW 2yo Publication (582K, 2-4 at 2, 6-22 sprint) by multiple G1 sprint SW (669k, 0-1 at 2, 5-7 sprint, 7-50 with 2yos); dam won sprint in slop (28K, 1-2 sprint) with 6 winners from 7 runners (2-6 with 2yos, 6-7 with sprinters); 2nd dam G1 route SP Paper Money (104K, 0-1 at 2, 0-3 sprint); barn 1-33 (3%, $0.40 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/synthetic; faced G2 Futurity winner 8/10; faced G1 Champagne winner 8/21.

4. FOOLS ROAD (Bellamy Road - Barbfool, by Fool the Experts)

Sire 8-70 (11%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (6K, 0-3 at 2, 1-16 sprint) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP Select Storm (53K, 0-2 at 2, 1-28 sprint); dam full G3 SW G Malleah (440K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 16-47 sprint), multiple SP Bound to Fool (39K, 0-2 at 2, 2-6 sprint), multiple SW Hugafool (175K, 1-4 at 2, 5-13 sprint); this is trainer's 1st starter.

5. MONEY FAN (Hard Spun - Handlewoman, by Elusive Quality)

170K yearling; 1/2 sprint SP Awesome Woman (16K, 1-2 sprint) by 9-106 (8%) 2yo FTS sire; multiple SP dam (127K, 3-8 sprint) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); 2nd dam multiple SP Bamboo Queen (103K, 1-3 at 2, 4-15 sprint); barn 3-41 (7%, $0.89 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MSW sprint; 10/16 work matches Signature Seven (4th FTS MSW polytrack 47 Beyer 10/20 KEE)

6. NATE'S DYNAMITE (Mineshaft - Funny Girl Rachel, by Distorted Humor)

Sire 62-449 (14%) 2yos; sprint winner (104K, 4-16 sprint) has 0 winners from 2 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G2 SP Remand (127K, 1-1 at 2, 1-6 sprint); barn 2-13 (15%, $3.84 ROI) past 5 years synthetic (0-1 with 2yos); prompted pace 3w, ended up in between horses and failed to threaten 10/5; pace factor can improve.

7. TRIBAL MESSAGE (Tribal Rule - Leave a Message, by Favorite Trick)

Sire 31-197 (16%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from 2yo sprint winner (57K, 2-3 at 2, 2-3 sprint); dam 1/2 G1 sprint SW Here Comes Ben (410K, 5-10 sprint); barn 1-10 (10%, $5.30 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic (0-8 in sprints); 9/7, 9/24, 10/2, 10/12 works match Match Up (9th FTS MSW polytrack 34 Beyer 10/18 KEE)

8. IONIC SILVER (Corinthian - Silver Reserve, by Silver Deputy)

72K RNA yearling; 1/2 multiple sprint SW Rule by Night (249K, 0-1 at 2, 5-14 sprint) by 12-134 (9%) 2yo FTS sire; unraced dam has 3 winners from 5 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 3-5 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SW 2yo sprinter Boone's Mill (400K, 2-5 at 2, won debut, 7-13 sprint), multiple SP Corporate Debut (94K, 2-8 at 2, 1-5 sprint); barn 1-25 (4%, $1.35 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; 10/3 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "was full of run, much better than Makin Mo Love (54 Beyer)"; 10/10 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "finished well, pulled away from Cha Cha Ridge (unraced) at the finish"; 10/17 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "is training forwardly, finished well to be in front of Athenian Beauty (34 Beyer)"

9. CLOVELLY (Pleasantly Perfect - Sirmione, by Cozzene)

22K yearling; 1/2 SP Little Sandy (71K, 2-4 sprint) by 14-83 (17%) 2yo FTS sire; SW dam (123K) has 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 turf SP Back Packer (49K, 0-1 sprint); barn 0-6 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MSW sprint; 10/13 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "was in hand against Wildlife Artist (unraced), and a little better"

10. SPEIGHTSHILL (Speightstown - Betty's Pet, by Dehere)

440K yearling; 1/2 route SW Vaulcluse (95K, 2-2 at 2) by 23-184 (13%) 2yo FTS sire; sprint winner (38K, 1-6 sprint) has 3 winners from 3 runners (1-2 with 2yos, won debut, 2-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 turf SP Brentsville (Ireland), G3 turf SP Young Senor (England); dam full 2yo G3 SW Millions (213K, 3-5 at 2, 1-5 sprint); barn 3-17 (18%, $1.07 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; 9/30 Keeneland Clocker Report notes he worked in company with Information Age (unraced) and Kendall's Boy (94 Beyer); 10/9 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "very sharp effort, head up with Lori's Darling and was slightly better at the wire, out in :59/1"; 10/16 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "good effort, tired a bit the last furlong, was the better of Curls for Girls (79 Beyer)"; interesting.

11. GREEN MASK (Mizzen Mast - Bonsai Beauty, by Forestry)

37K yearling, 150K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; sire 16-197 (8%) 2yo FTS; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 multiple SW Buff (646K, 2-4 at 2), turf SW Second Performance (109K, 0-1 at 2), G2 turf SW Masseuse (439K, 0-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 19-65 (29%, $1.45 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; 9/26 work matches Pablo Del Monte (1st AN1X polytrack 90 Beyer 10/13 KEE); 10/12 Keeneland Clocker Report notes "strong effort, broke 3-4 lengths back of Indigo Kitten (24 Beyer) and was 2 lengths clear at the finish"; can factor.

12. CLAYMAKER (Arch - Isobel Baillie, by Lomitas)

67K yearling; full multiple turf SW Alaura Michele (162K, 2-4 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 15-184 (8%) 2yo FTS sire; turf SP dam (41K, 0-2 2, 0-1 sprint) has 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with sprinters); female family multiple G1 turf SW Campanologist; barn 2-5 (40%, $8.68 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic; 9/13, 10/3 works match Four Lakes (3rd FTS polytrack 69 Beyer 10/12 KEE); can't count out.

SELECTIONS:

1. Speightshill

2. Green Mask

3. Claymaker

THE PLAY:

Speightshill to win at 2-1 odds or greater.