Keeneland Babies: 2-year-old picks and analysis for Oct. 17

RACE 5

1. Divameg

(Exchange Rate - Diva's Seastar, by Broken Vow) 115K yearling; sire 38-261 (15%) 2yo FTS; dam SP turf (53K, 0-1 at 2, 0-2 sprint) with 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with 2yos, 1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple SW R. Baggio (314K, 1-3 at 2, 2-14 sprint), SW Handyman Bill (136K, 1-3 sprint), multiple G3 SW Elusive Diva (484K, 2-6 sprint), turf SP No Lullaby (119K, 0-2 sprint); barn 4-19 (21%, $1.59 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MSW sprint; 8/8 work matches Brass Set (4th 10K MCL dirt 40 Beyer CD 9/13); 8/14 work matches Miss Arrangement (1st FTS MSW polytrack 74 Beyer KEE 10/12); interesting.

2. One Hot Romance

(Rock Hard Ten - Phantom Romance, by Ghostzapper) 35K weanling, 27K yearling; sire 40-332 (12%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; 2nd dam sprint SW Country Romance (157K, 4-9 sprint); barn 1-8 (13%, $3.35 ROI) past 5 years turf/synthetic (all older runners); not much in the debut against Zip On, who set a quick pace in the G3 Jessamine on 10/9 before fading to 6th (64 Beyer).

3. Fact File

(Dixie Union - Mesmeric, by A.P. Indy) Sire 37-316 (12%) 2yo FTS; unraced dam has 1 winner from 1 runner (1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G1 turf SW Chester House ($1.9M, 1-2 at 2, won debut), G1 SW Honest Lady (894K, 1-1 at 2, 5-10 sprint), G2 turf SW Decarchy (703K, 1-1 at 2), G1 turf SW Chiselling (410K), multiple G1 route SW Empire Maker ($1.9M, 1-2 at 2, won debut); barn 0-13 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic; 8/5, 8/26 works match Apache Park (9th FTS MSW turf 36 Beyer KD 9/14); 9/9 work matches Turtle River (6th FTS MSW turf 53 Beyer KD 9/18); 10/14 work matches Dobra Historia (58 Polytrack Beyer)

4. Jerry Love

(Not For Love - Jerry Bomb, by Explosive Bid) 70K weanling; full multiple G3 SW Akronism (516K, 2-5 at 2, 8-18 sprints); 1/2 SP 2yo Jerry's Fever (86K, 1-5 at 2, 3-19 sprint) by 162-985 (16%) 2yo sire; dam won turf (40K, 0-2 at 2) with 6 winners from 9 runners (3-5 with 2yos, 4-9 sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Sh Bang (203K, 1-4 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 2-13 (15%, $1.83 ROI) past 5 years 2yos synthetic MSW sprint; broke inward, but settled into solid midpack spot, came with 4w sweep, but was outfinished by odds-on closer; contender.

5. Pretty Syrie

(Street Boss - Gatherindy, by A.P. Indy) 110K 2yo after 1F work 10.1; 1/2 multiple sprint SP Indian Camp (151K, 1-5 at 2, 6-27 sprint) by 15-67 (22%) 2yo FTS sire; unplaced dam (0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) has 6 winners from 6 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 4-6 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple turf SP Gather the Day (245K, 7-10 sprint), 2yo G2 SW Greater Good (546K, 3-5 at 2, 2-6 sprint), multiple G1 SW Pure Clan ($1.9M, 4-4 at 2); barn 7-46 (15%, $1.89 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint.

6. Rimini Rose

(Istan - Rimini Road - Dynaformer) Full G1 route SP Atigun (499K, 1-5 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 1-28 (4%) 2yo FTS sire; dam placed route (7K) with 3 winners from 4 runners (2-3 with 2yos, 1-4 with sprinters); 2nd dam G3 route SW Evangelical (253K, 0-2 at 2, 0-6 sprint); barn 7-46 (15%, $1.89 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; 9/20 work matches Lady Doris (1st FTS MSW dirt 60 Beyer DEL 9/30).

7. Perfect La Comete

(Perfect Soul - La Comete, by Holy Bull) 1/2 multiple G2 sprint SW Munnings (742K, 1-4 at 2, 4-10 sprint), multiple sprint SW Munnings Sister (248K, 1-3 at 2, 6-13 sprint) by 22-270 (8%) 2yo sire; unraced dam has 3 winners from 7 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 3-7 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SW Lasting Approval (510K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint), SP Taiki Zillion (Japan, 1.1M), turf SP Warrior Song (167K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint), G1 SW Icon Project (660K); barn 1-10 (10%, $0.41 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/synthetic; top 4 finishers 9/1 returned to run off the board (63 Beyer top)

8. Queen Daenerys

(Street Sense - Fitnah, by Fit to Fight) 110K weanling, 190K yearling; 1/2 G1 route SW Dreams Gallore (588K, 2-3 at 2, won debut, 2-4 sprint), G3 turf SW Fateful Dream (294K, 1-3 at 2), G3 route SW Absent Friend (369K, 0-4 sprint), multiple SP Giant Chieftan (208K, 1-4 at 2) by 10-83 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won route (75K) with 5 winners from 8 runners (3-4 with 2yos, 1 FTS winner, 2-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP Jalanpur (Italy), sprint SP Plume Poppy (75K, 1-3 at 2, 1-10 sprint), 2yo turf SW Mrs. West (2-6 at 2, 0-1 sprint); barn 5-37 (14%, $2.96 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MSW sprint; 10/10 work matches Clever Beauty (72 dirt Beyer); may want more ground, but expecting solid showing.

9. V V Goodnight

(Midnight Lute - Victorious Vice, by Vice Regent) 50K yearling; 1/2 route SW Forest Princess (302K, 0-2 at 2, 0-1 sprint), G3 SW Gleam of Hope (466K, 3-6 at 2, 1-3 sprint) by 16-125 (13%) 2yo sire; dam won route (16K, 0-3 at 2, 0-3 sprint) with 6 winners from 9 runners (1-5 with 2yos, 2-7 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G2 SP 2yo Darien Deacon (57K, 1-5 at 2, 2-4 sprint), SW Skytrial (308K, 1-3 at 2), SP Madison County (Italy), SW Tray My Force (Italy); barn 2-4 (50%, $10.40 ROI) past 5 years 2nd-out 2yos dirt/synthetic; chased 3 next-out winners.

10. Ireland

(Afleet Alex - Classy Mirage, by Storm Bird) 115K yearling; full G1 2yo sprint SW Dublin (438K, 2-5 at 2, 2-4 sprint); 1/2 G2 SP sprinter Mike's Classic (328K, 0-2 at 2, 12-39 sprint) by 49-490 (10%) 2yo sire; dam G1 sprint SW (716K, 12-23 sprint) with 9 winners from 12 runners (3-8 with 2yos, 7-12 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple G1 Missy's Mirage (838K, 2-4 at 2, 12-24 sprint), multiple SW Joey's First Jove (309K, 1-2 at 2, 14-43 sprint); barn 0-10 past 5 years 2yos turf-synthetic; chased quality filly in career debut and faced 4 next-out winners on turf 8/21; vet scratch 10/6.

Selections:

1. Diva Meg

2. Jerry Love

3. Queen Daenerys

The Play:

Diva Meg to WIN at 5-2 odds or greater