Keeneland: Babies 2-year-old picks and analysis for Oct. 13

RACE 6
1. Takemetohollywood

(Devil His Due - Spot of Beauty, by Skip Away) Sire 35-400 (9%) 2yo FTS; route winner (5K, 0-4 at 2, 0-3 sprint) has 0 winners from 1 runner (0-1 with 2yos, 0-1 with sprinters); barn 3-16 (19%, $3.17 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; he's one of the rare registered white thoroughbreds.

2. Category

(Put It Back - Groove Maker, by Empire Maker) Sire 143-802 (18%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; 2nd dam multiple SW Indy Groove (276K, 1-3 at 2, 1-4 sprint); barn 3-13 (23%, $2.27 ROI) past 5 years 2yos synthetic MSW sprint off 31-60 day layoff; according to 10/2 Keeneland Clocker Report, he "well reserved in his workout, and better at the finish than Red Moon Rising"; exits solid maiden (winner next ran 2nd Arlington-Washington Futurity; 3rd-finisher graduated turf SA 71 Beyer); grabbed lead after pacesetter bolted and opened up clear advantage only to be run down by green winner; respect.

3. Galton

(Offlee Wild - Nibbana, by Giant's Causeway) Sire 13-113 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam placed turf (16K, 0-3 at 2) with 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 1-1 with sprinters); dam 1/2 G3 turf SW Dietrich (England), turf SW Mambo Light (Germany); barn 0-11 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; 9/21 work matches Don't Tell Me No (7th FTS 50K MCL 36 Beyer 10/4 KEE).

4. Bracigliano

(Tale of the Cat - Platinum Ballet, by Skip Away) 77K RNA 2yo after 2F work 21.2; sire 85-485 (18%) 2yo FTS; sprint SW dam (355K, 1-3 at 2, 0-1 sprint) has 1 winner from 2 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 0-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP 2yo sprint Top Story (30K, 1-4 at 2, won debut, 1-6 sprint); barn 0-16 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic MSW sprint; 9/17 work matches Tarpy's Surprise (5th FTS 50K MCL dirt 58 Beyer 9/29 CD); 9/24 work matches Rumba (FTS Sat. R7); 10/8 work matches Gina's Kitten (49 turf Beyer)

5. Rare

(Fusaichi Pegasus - Xylophone, by Dehere) 20K yearling, 47K 2yo after 1F work 10.0; 1/2 multiple SW Tensas Yucatan (436K, 1-3 sprint), turf SP Tensas Palmyra (114K, 0-1 at 2, 0-1 sprint) by 36-300 (12%) 2yo FTS sire; dam placed sprinting (7K, 0-5 at 2, 0-4 sprint) with 4 winners from 5 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 3-5 with sprinters); dam 1/2 sprint SW 2yo Joyous Song (140K, 3-8 at 2, 3-11 sprint); barn 2-7 (29%, $9.54 ROI) past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; 9/20, 9/27 works match Hampden Fiveone (FTS. Fri. R6); according to 10/4 Keeneland Clocker Report, he "was reserved early and easily drew off from Hampden Fiveone in the stretch"

6. Unstoppable Colby

(Pulpit - Great Design, by Storm Cat)
30K yearling; sire 154-1007 (15%) 2yos; unraced dam has 2 winners from 4 runners (0-2 with 2yos, 1-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 multiple route SP Red Velvet (72K, 1-1 at 2, 3-5 sprint), multiple G1 route SW General Challenge (2.8M, 1-1 at 2, 2-3 sprint), 2yo G1 route SW Notable Career (327K, 3-7 at 2, 2-6 sprint), multiple SW Western Hemisphere (417K, 3-6 sprint); barn 1-32 (3%, $0.41 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/synthetic (1-5 second-out); not disgraced after poor start in slop; prefer underneath.

7. Roll All Knight

(Bluegrass Cat - Miss Sand Bar, by Glitterman) 9K weanling, 52K yearling, 37K 2yo after 1F work 10.2; sire 77-595 (13%) 2yos; dam 2yo SP sprinter (94K, 3-9 at 2, 3-10 sprinting) with 3 winners from 4 runners (0-3 with 2yos, 3-4 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP Cheyenne Spirit (185K, 1-15 sprint); dam full SP Friday Meeting (49K, 1-8 sprint); barn 1-9 (11%, $0.46 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/synthetic; broke inward in quality MSW at Spa (winner then took RP stake with 91 Beyer); dull 2nd-out; leaning elsewhere.

8. Fools Road

(Bellamy Road - Barbfool, by Fool the Experts)
Sire 8-69 (12%) 2yo FTS; dam won sprint (6K, 0-3 at 2, 1-16 sprint) with 2 winners from 3 runners (0-1 with 2yos, 2-3 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SP Select Storm (53K, 0-2 at 2, 1-28 sprint); dam full G3 SW G Malleah (440K, 1-2 at 2, won debut, 16-47 sprint), multiple SP Bound to Fool (39K, 0-2 at 2, 2-6 sprint), multiple SW Hugafool (175K, 1-4 at 2, 5-13 sprint); this is trainer's 1st starter.

9. SEAL SIX (Tiznow - Sweet Damsel, by Turkoman) 1/2 G3 SP Caroline's Gold (156K, 1-4 at 2, 2-7 sprint); full multiple G1 route SW Colonel John (1.7M, 2-4 at 2, 1-3 sprint), G1 route SP Mr. Hot Stuff (349K, 0-3 at 2, 0-2 sprint), SP Kayce Ace (151K, 0-1 sprint) by 22-303 (7%) 2yo FTS sire; winning dam (66K, 0-3 at 2, 0-7 sprint) has 9 winners from 9 runners (2-5 with 2yos, 4-9 with sprinters); 2nd dam SW Grande Dame (81K, 0-4 sprint); barn 0-45 past 5 years 2yo FTS MSW synthetic sprint; according to 10/8 Keeneland Clocker Report, he "looked very good, eased up in 47.0 for the half"

10. One More Night

(Scat Daddy - Livia B Quick, by Crafty Prospector) 105K yearling; sire 18-103 (17%) 2yo FTS; sprint winner (57K, 0-1 at 2, 2-7 sprint) has 2 winners from 2 runners (1-1 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); 3rd dam multiple G1 SW La Chaposa (Peru); barn 0-12 past 5 years 2yo FTS synthetic sprint; 9/27 work matches Street of Gold (5th Ta Wee Stakes turf 71 Beyer 10/5 IND)

11. Myositis Dan

(Istan - Cranberry Sauce, by Harlan's Holiday) Sire 8-78 (10%) 2yos; 1st starter from unraced dam; dam 1/2 SW Amber's Way (95K, 1-4 sprint); barn 3-5 (60%, $10.04 ROI) past 5 years 2yos dirt/synthetic (1-3 second-out); caught slop against good-looking winner; can improve for crafty barn.

12. Runkle

(Yes It's True - Elizabeth Street, by Street Cry) 10K RNA yearling; sire 209-1408 (15%) 2yos; sprint winner (45K, 0-5 at 2, 1-6 sprint) has 1 winner from 3 runners (1-3 with 2yos, 1-2 with sprinters); dam 1/2 SW 2yo sprinter Affirmed and Ready (138K, 2-4 at 2, 4-24 sprint); barn 1-2 (50%, $8.50 ROI) past 5 years turf/synthetic); according to 10/6 Keeneland Clocker Report, he was outworked by Take It Like a Man; has some speed and should be a forward factor here.

Selections:
1. Category
2. One More Night
3. Runkle

The Play:
Category - One More Night EXACTA
Category - Runkle EXACTA

RACE 8

1. Cool Cowboy

(Kodiak Kowboy - Grand Breeze, by Grand Slam) Well-regarded for the debut, he finished behind My Crafty Friend, a gelding that returned to win the $89,000 Crown Ambassador Stakes for Indiana-breds (51 Beyer); hustled from the gate 9/14 and made an easy lead going into the turn; opened up at will turning for home and was never threatened while under only hands and heels urging; could prove the main speed from the rail and must be respected.

2. Pure Luxury

(Exchange Rate - Luxury Ride, by Pulpit) Handled 3rd-finisher Harbor Bound in the debut and was flattered somewhat when that gelding returned to finish second here 10/5 with a 74 Beyer (13-point improvement); don't be too harsh on the loss at Kentucky Downs as he faced a very promising runner in Boji Moon and the runner-up came back to win an 'N2L' heat here with an 80 Beyer; has good tactical speed, but needs a Beyer boost to take these down.

3. Sandbar

(War Pass - Summer Cruise, by Vicar) Well-beaten in the faster division of a $50,000 stake at Delaware, he then finished third behind a pair of fillies (finished tenth and fifth, respectively in the Grade Jessamine here on 10/9) going long on turf; has yet to gain ground from the stretch call to the wire and needed help from the stewards to obtain his lone victory; prefer others.

4. High Roll

(Roman Ruler - Wild Crazy Lady, by Touch Gold) Didn't have a problem in the debut, but that race hasn't produced much (the seven next-out runners he beat returned to compile a 0-3-0 record with a Beyer top of 65); gave a disappointing effort as the chalk in the Grade 3 Arlington-Washington Futurity as he was going up-and-down with 5/16th remaining after a failed three wide bid; think he'll appreciate cutting back in class; according to 10/7 Keeneland Clocker Report, he "was not asked for run, in front of Ucanchangethename"; capable.

5. Chippewawhitechief

(Weigelia - Chippewa, by Alleged) Bumped at the start last time, he was outsprinted through some fast fractions while saving ground entering the turn; eased to the far outside turning for home and came with a determined run to outfinish them all; the seventh-place finisher returned to upset an 'N2L' allowance on turf here with a 78 Beyer; should get some pace to attack once more and can threaten with a good late kick.

6. Pablo Del Monte

(Giant's Causeway - One Hot Wish, by Bring the Heat) No surprise in his debut as he dominated for Ward, annually the top trainer in 4 1/2-furlongs baby races during the spring meet; the runner-up that afternoon took the Grade 3 Arlington-Washington Futurity two starts after being blitzed by this one; there's no doubt that he's quick, but the layoff and additional quarter-mile are things to worry about; according to 10/5 Keeneland Clocker Report, he "was impressive, broke 3-4 lengths in front of Hollywood Talent, allowed that one to catch up, and easily pulled away in the stretch"

7. TASHIR (Afleet Alex - Twin Induction, by Slewacide)
Form is dirtied up somewhat as he chased a gate-to-wire winner over a speed-favoring track in the faster division of 50K stakes on 7/29; last time, he attempted two turns for the 1st time and passed some tired ones; think he'll like turning back in distance and there's some speed for him to target; may need career-best run against some promising foes; not convinced.

8. He's Got Talent

(Talent Search - Honeymoon Baby, by Lemon Drop Kid) Didn't seem very interested on turf as the rider had to ask him early on the turn and he was all done with three furlongs left to run; beat a moderately-talented field in his career debut and he may work out a decent outside stalking trip in this heat; Ward is 19-97 over the past 5 years with 2yos off 61-180 day layoffs (2-4 turf-synthetic); prefer on bottom of exotics.

Selections:
1. Chippewawhitechief
2. Cool Cowboy
3. High Roll

The Play:
Chippewawhitechief to WIN and PLACE at 9-2 odds or greater.