Hawthorne: Sunday 8/21 Analysis
Race 7 - $20,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool
Best Bet (16 - 27 / $77.60): SUNSET DREAMER (5th)
Spot Play: SIMPLY BURBON (1st)
Race 1
In a field with few contenders, (7) SIMPLY BURBON might offer the better price and faces much weaker. (1) CARMEN O has beat this field consistently all year. (6) LIZZABELLE doesn't win often but can jump up with a good effort from time to time.
Race 2
(8) RED RED REDNECK races very inconsistently from week to week but a good effort puts him on the ticket. (7) REAL COOL DUDE gets a downgrade in the bike but has been racing gamely. (9) GENUINE DESIRE keeps the top driver off a big effort from a tough post.
Race 3
(6) IYQ YQR sophomore pacer went from empty to awesome last week winning easily. (2) EVERGREEN ELITE four-year-old gets sent out for a hot barn off a lifetime mark. (5) JEWEL MAKER well bred pacer looks to be coming on strong late in the season.
Race 4
In a really tough race to gauge, (9) SOUTHERN SPECIAL will offer a monster price and might have a chance with some racing luck. (7) ROSE GUIDA burned cash last week showing very little in the stretch; use caution. (3) FOX VALLEY KLAUS freshman trotter faces older tougher opponents but is one of few in the race with some upside.
Race 5
(5) SUNSET DREAMER dropped and popped last week sweeping past late. If the pacer gets a good setup he's a huge threat. (7) LUCKY CRUSADER pacer has been on fire since a really lackluster effort a month ago; threat. (6) MYSTICAL WALTER has been much improved for a new barn. The pacer has been really close at this level.
Race 6
(7) SEEYOUATTHEFINISH was in too tough last week. The pacing mare loves to win. (6) FEETONTHEDASHBOARD four-year-old hasn't been as good this year but is capable. (5) RYLEIGH'S LILLY has been unable to seal the deal this year; command a price.
Race 7
(5) SPORTY REDHOT nice looking two-year-old will look to get back on track against weaker. (7) FOX VALLEY JETER picks up a big driver change and has flashed ability. (3) FANCY CREEK LINK has lots of room to improve off a nice win.
Race 8
(1) CINNAMON SPIDER has strung together good efforts in the past and comes off a really nice victory. (3) SHHRAYRAY is due for a better effort; threat. (4) KING OF THE SWAMP well bred pacer is 0 for the year but is getting sent out for a capable barn.
Race 9
(5) 'CUDA HALL well bred trotter looks to be improving and will offer a nice price in a wide open race. (10) LITTLE MS CHRISSY gets saddled with a tough post but is fast enough to threaten against this bunch. (7) IT'SASWAN drops in class and owns a win against better on the year.
Race 10
(6) CAPELO five-year-old stallion drew off impressively last start and is right back in against similar. (7) OUTLAWPOCKETROCKET just missed last week racing gamely; threat. (4) HOLY MCMOSES pacer rarely wins but can hit the ticket at a price.
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