Hawthorne Harness: Sunday 3/15 Analysis + Pick Four Tickets

Best Bets: 1 for 4 / $4.00 (-$4.00)
Best Bet: LINDY’S BIG BANG (2nd)
Spot Play: DAYBREAK GIRL (9th)
Early P4 – ALL with 3,6,7,8 with 4,9 with 2 = $24
Late P4 - 2,3 with 3,7,8,9 with 1,4,6,7 with 1,6 = $32

Race 1 – FM 6-8000 Claimer

(4) THOUGHT PROVOKING finally draws a good post; fires early. (6) BLUE GEM pacing mare just needs a fast pace to close into for her best chance. (7) UNBROKEN CIRCLE has been sharp in three straight. (3) COOKIES EMPIRE finally scored for the new barn last week; threat.

Race 2 – Open

(5) LINDY’S BIG BANG looks to make it three straight easy wins; short price. (2) MUSCULAR BABE mare owns ability and will offer value underneath. (3) DOUBLE A GOLDRUSH might be the only threat to the top choice but gets sent out for a low-percentage pilot. (4) SHES GOT BLING finished a solid second last week.

Race 3 – FM NW1000L4

(3) C FAR will likely offer a big price in a very tough race to gauge. (6) SHAKEITFORMEGEAR has had tough racing luck in three straight and is due for a better setup this week. (1) LACARMELILIANA drops and draws the rail. (4) MOON JUMPER mare has room to improve third start back off the layoff.

Race 4 - FM 4/5 Claimer

(7) BACKWOODS BARBIE should offer a better price this week and just needs a smooth trip for a piece. (8) LILLY VON SHTUPP has yet to race up to her ability as a 4-year-old but is dropping in for a tag for the first time. (3) FIRE DANCE has been competitive at this level in two straight. (6) WILD DOROTHY was improved last week showing good late pace.

Race 5 – FM Open

(9) DEE ROCKS well-bred mare won’t get a soft half mile like last week but can still beat this bunch with a trouble-free trip. (4) DEBT MOTIVATED faces weaker but will offer low value for a low-percentage pilot. (8) ROLLIN COAL has been really good in three straight despite coming up a little short last race. (5) BLACK JACK PAT has room to improve getting sent out second start for new connections.

Race 6 – FM NW1/4000 Lifetime - **$25K GTD PICK-4**

(2) LOOKINTOMYEYES just missed last week facing tougher. (3) MISSFINANCIALSPORT has been close in two straight at this level. (6) GOOD GAUD GERTY had sneaky late pace against similar last out. (1) YANKEE JUBILEE has room to improve third start back.

Race 7 – FM NW30000 Lifetime/11000 Claimer

(8) ROBERTS NEW LIFE pacing mare is the only horse in the field with a win at this level. (9) KHALESSI is just now back in racing shape and will offer a big price in a weak and inconsistent field. (7) VEGAS HIGHROLLER mare has burned cash as the favorite in two of her last three; command a price. (3) COWGIRL TOO was solid in the qualifier last week but could need a start.

Race 8 – FM NW2/10000 Lifetime

(6) CASTIELLE lightly raced filly has found the winners circle in two of three starts. (7) SWEET GINGER had excellent late pace last week and could be closer turning for home. (1) FLIPFLOPPINFLOSSIE pacing mare just missed to the top choice two back. (4) CRYSTAL HOTSPUR was the beneficiary of a perfect ground-saving trip last week; needs more.

Race 9 - FM NW45000 Lifetime / AE NW7

(1) DAYBREAK GIRL just needs a better setup this week for a good chance to cash. (6) BIG BAD MOSA has been facing tougher in Ohio. (5) MY UPTOWNE GIRL goes for four wins in five starts; fires late. (2) VALAR MORGHULIS mare always offers low value and has trouble finishing her miles.