Hawthorne Harness: Sunday 3/1 Analysis + Pick Four Tickets

Best Bets: 0 -2 / (-$4.00)
Best Bet: MY UPTOWNE GIRL (2nd)
Spot Play: DEE ROCKS (5th)
Early P4 – 1,2,4,8 with 3,7,8 with 8,9 with 1,4,7 = $36
Late P4 – 1,2,3,7 with 3,7,8 with 4,6,7 with 2,7 = $36
Race 1 – FM 4-5000 Claimer
(5) FIRE DANCE just needs a smooth trip for a big chance to hit the top few spots. (4) HARD HEADED WOMEN takes a significant drop down against weaker. (7) SUMMER PARTY should be ready for an improved effort third start back off the long layoff. (1) FOX VALLEY CHARLIZ might need one more start coming back from the break; use underneath.
Race 2 – FM NW30000 Lifetime/11000 Claimer
(7) MY UPTOWNE GIRL goes for three straight off the layoff. (3) KZ KOOL DESIRE had good late pace last week and should only improve off that effort. (4) ROBERTS NEW LIFE might be one of few threats in the field with a smooth trip. (1) ROCKN’ WITH T draws the best post and was competitive against this group two back.
Race 3 – NW1/5000 Lifetime
(2) MAMANEEDSMOREWINE filly took lots of tote action in her seasonal debut and has room to move forward. (1) JUSTA NOTHER BAG draws the best post against a field full of question marks. (4) LOUS FLASHY DANCER has made the most money in the field. (8) BLUEBIRD LUIGI appears to be heading in the right direction for capable connections.
Race 4 - FM NW40000 Lifetime
(7) KINDA LIKE KORI pacing mare finds a beatable bunch and will offer a better price this week. (3) VALAR MORGHULIS has had no excuse in two straight and will probably offer another short price. (8) DAYBREAK GIRL had solid late pace last week at this level. (2) ASHLEE’S JOY is one of the faster pacers in the field but gets sent out for a low percentage pilot.
Race 5 – FM Open
(9) DEE ROCKS well-bred pacing mare was used multiple times last week first start back off the layoff. (8) PRETTY IMAGE was sharp off the layoff and should have more to offer this week. (3) BOOGIE ON DOWN is just now back in racing shape and was competitive at this level last year. (4) ROLLIN COAL always seems to be in the mix but is probably best used underneath.
Race 6 – FM NW2/10000 Lifetime
(1) LOOKINTOMYEYES filly flashed good ability against better prior to the miscue. (7) CRYSTAL HOTSPUR should be ready for an improved effort third start back. (4) SKYWAY IGOTTHIS lightly raced filly drew off against softer last week. (8) PERFECTLY DUNE scored a big upset last start at this level but will need much more.
Race 7 – NW3/25000 Lifetime
(1) EVCO LANE draws the best post and could be closer turning for home this week. (7) FAST TRACK takes a huge drop down in competition. The four-year-old just missed against better two back. (3) SHADYMAN also faces softer this week third start back off the long layoff. (2) LAKESIDE BUDDY has been knocking on the door in recent and will probably offer good value.
Race 8 – NW1/4000 Lifetime
(8) KEENE WILLIAM raced gamely last week being used multiple times. (7) ROCK JAGGER has excuses in two straight. The gelding might be the only threat to the top choice with some racing luck. (3) LAZY GRINGO has room to improve third start back off the layoff against a soft group. (1) ROMAN RYAN draws the best post in a weak field; use underneath.
Race 9 - FM 6-8000 Claimer
(7) UNBROKEN CIRCLE mare likes the big track and faces weaker. (4) BACKWOODS BARBIE gets sent out for a recent hot barn taking a significant drop down in for a tag. (6) OK JEWEL is also dropping in for a tag second start back against weaker. (9) COOKIES EMPIRE was improved last start and will offer a big price.
Race 10 – NW2/12000 Lifetime
(7) PIRATES ALLEY barely broke a sweat last race and probably has more to offer this week. (2) COMING UP is the most proven of the bunch but gets sent out for a low percentage provisional pilot. (8) ERNIE THE MOOSS had tons of late pace against this group last week and will offer a big price. (6) FOX VALLEY LINCOLN has been close at this level in two straight.

