Harrah's Philadelphia: Analysis for Wednesday 12/2

2020 Statistics (through Nov. 15 – 86 days)
Top Selections – Overall:
Win %: 450 for 1,194 (37.7%)
ITM: 847 for 1,194 (70.9%)
Win Dividends: $1,988.10 - $2 ROI: $1.67
Pick-4: 3,6/1,3,4/4,6/4,8 ($12)
Best Bet: Apple Bottom Jeans (Race 8)
Spot Play: Brunhilda (Race 13)

Race 1 - Claiming $10,000

3 - SPRINGBRIDGE PROUD seeks a third straight win after circling wide and edging clear in each of his last two. While there's not much early pace in this field, his raw speed towers over the vast majority of his foes. 1 - ROJAN'S WAY improved into third on the drop to this level in his second start for Piotrow after faltering late on debut against $15k types. The pole can help him establish closer early position. 6 - MYIDEALSON N fared OK in $12.5k and $15k events earlier in the fall, and now drops to the bottom local tag after being forced to chase a torrid first six furlongs in his last. Easier await; can rebound.

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Race 2 - Non-Winners 1 Race

As late-season maiden races go, this one shapes up as particularly strong. Both 2 - BETTOR OF THE WEST and 5 - GRETZKY boast stakes experience, but the former has gotten closer to converting in recent weeks. In his last, Bettor Of The West nearly made it on the point, and before that, he hit the board from the pocket on three occasions. Inside draw works well to his tendencies. Gretzky suffered an interference break in his Governor's Cup event, but demonstrated mighty speed in October tries. His 'A' game is enough for this group. 7 - ISSA HORSE makes sense as a minor player on account of recent improvement since adding Lasix. The wide draw is the major issue given he too likes to be prominently placed.

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Race 3 - F&M Claiming $10,000-$12,500

2 - ENGLISH ROSE N pressed and stalked her way to $10k wins both last week and four back. She's been pretty consistent at the level, too, noting six top-three finishes in her last eight. Can absorb or deliver pressure alike; Nap opts to remain on. 7 - FOLLOWTHEWIND N made belated gains from astern on arrival last week and is now reunited with Tetrick. Slight post relief can help her land a little closer early in the mile. 1 - ALWAYS BE LUCY won at this level two back, but had the aid of a cosy pocket ride. Since, she was ground down and eclipsed by English Rose N in the closing yards. Capable with her best, but others seem to be able to overcome more and achieve the same results. Mind value.

Race 4 - Claiming $10,000

4 - ARTACHE HANOVER debuts for Hastings off the claim after clearing from post 8 and being overpowered up the far side in his Nov. 15 curtain call for Faurot. The 39-time winner shouldn't have to work as hard from this midpack draw. 1 - CATCH MY SHADOW was elevated to first last week after pulling pocket and being carried wide in the stretch. He's won three of his last five $10k outings; pole plays well to his favoured racing style. 3 - DAMION DIESEL HAHN makes his second start back in close to nine months after rallying from astern to save third at 13-1 in his return outing. Similar await; expect sharper from this solid value player.

Race 5 - F&M Non-Winners $7,901 Last 5 Starts

7 - TOPVILLE ANGELINA hit the board in three straight from pacesetting and pressing efforts alike. Given that most of this field is moving up in class from second-level events, it doesn't stack up as a particularly tough task for this Garcia trainee. Form can carry. 3 - GINGER TREE CAREY was even or better for minors in N5L races, and finds some relief after those respectable chasing efforts. One of the better finishers in the group. 1 - MISTY SHOOTER knocked heads with upper winners fields in her last two Dover tries and stayed even after leaving in her last. Easier await; pole keeps her close.

Race 6 - F&M Non-Winners $14,000 Last 5 Starts

5 - NEW YEAR has knocked heads with the toughest 3-year-old pacing fillies all season, including her famous stablemate, Party Girl Hill. Forgive her last try outright due to mid-race road trouble; significant relief realised here is enough to lift her. 6 - ECLIPSE ME N won well at this level five back from a powerful middle move, and wired tougher the following week. She hasn't fared as well from off the pace in her last two, but she did improve enough to take third to Machnhope and Apple Bottom Jeans - two tough mares she dodges this week - in her most recent. Relief can aid. 1 - DELISHKA N returns to action after a six-week spell, and the :27 1/5 quarter at the end of her Nov. 24 qualifier indicates that she's fit. She made easy enough work of a field tougher than this one back in September. Pole keeps her close with ease.

Race 7 - F&M Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts

6 - BRING ME DIAMONDS was shuffled to last before making significant ground wide of rivals in her last. Before that, she chased gradually to hit the board against two levels tougher both two and three back. Plenty to like given proven staying power. 3 - WINDFALL PROFITS worked hard to clear from post 6 last week, but a taxing pace took its toll on her through the final three furlongs. Post relief can help the sophomore get back on track. 1 - JANUARY A missed her last due to sickness, but gains the pole after toiling in $10k claiming events last month. Easier await; can share.

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Race 8 - F&M Non-Winners $10,000 Last 5 Starts

3 - APPLE BOTTOM JEANS drops for a third straight start, and relief from Open events has helped her work back into improving form. Two back, she rode the pocket for second behind Machnhope in a local top-level race, and more recently, she forced a :27 1/5 third quarter in the breeze and stuck around to protect third. Lots to like owing to further relief. 1 - ROYALTYWESTHO simply never got involved from post 8 last week. Post and class relief put her back into play, and her narrow miss after sweeping three-wide out of the pocket on Nov. 11 is more indicative of her abilities. 4 - MISTY MEMORY N has done well since arriving from PEI, winning twice and just giving way in the final yards of her last. She rises again, but her week-over-week improvement encourages.

Race 9 - F&M Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

6 - KRISPY GINGER rises after breaking maiden two weeks ago, and her 1:53 mile over this track towers over the others in terms of raw speed. Every chance to repeat. 4 - WINNING WORDS has earned minors in her last six starts now, and she was a no-match second to Marloe Hanover in their Simpson split. This group is significantly kinder by comparison. 8 - SPORTY JULIANA pressed steadily to only miss by 1-1/4 lengths at this level on her return from Yonkers on Nov. 25. Wide draw is an added obstacle; proven staying power can keep her in the hunt for exotics.

Race 10 - F&M Non-Winners $4,000 Last 5 Starts

I really like 8 - BARON REMY in this spot. Her form has improved since she's started back down the class ladder, and she kept a first-over bid alive pretty well last week before being severely impeded at the sixteenth pole. Form and class edges are both crystal clear. 4 - OOH REAL GOOD drops from N5L and draws cosily after not showing much in her last couple tries. Nap's back aboard; a general lack of inside speed can yield her a closer tracking trip. 5 - JUSLIKEAQUEEN is another one looking to rebound by way of a step down. She showed glimmers of pressing and chasing ability in her third-level lines on Nov. 11 and 18, although those fields ultimately proved too much for her. Can share with a slightly kinder journey.

Race 11 - F&M Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

1 - SWEET TALKER worked hard to clear and then parried pressure to win at this level in her last. Before that, she kept an uncovered press alive to only miss by a length. Clearly capable of repeating. 5 - MOANING LISA hit the ticket in six of seven, including a second-place finish to Hen Party in the NYSS final. That being said, she's only one-for-three at this level and course since then, including a defeat at 1-20 on Nov. 18. Mind value. 7 - JOE'S SIGN, on the other hand, seeks back-to-back scores after making two moves to upset at 8-1 in her last. She proved capably that she can leave from the far outside for position if required.

Race 12 - Non-Winners 1 Race

2 - KEEPTHETAB HANOVER has hit the board in his last six, including three against older company. Proven versatility can carry him along with far and away the strongest form in this group. 3 - SIMON GOT LUCKY rallied from well back to hit the board in each of his three starts to date, and his mid-:28 closing quarters in his first two tires are the strongest around a turn on this page. If he can land in striking range earlier on, he's a big threat. 8 - LADY AT ARMS added hopples last week and sustained a wide uncovered bid to almost convert at 8-1. Given that the hopples seem to have aided gait issues, the wide draw is truly her biggest obstacle this time around.

Race 13 - F&M Non-Winners $7,901 Last 5 Starts

3 - BRUNHILDA stepped down to this level two weeks ago and was a game second after facing heavy pressure through the far turn. Just in October, she was a consistent minor player in top-level races over this course. Gains McCarthy. 8 - PONDER THE ODDS almost lasted in a fourth-level race on arrival last week, but was just nabbed after making the pace. Class relief is partially dulled by wide draw. 7 - QUEEN LOSTRIS N crossed over on Baron Remy after circling three-wide last week, and as such saw her string of top-three finishes interrupted by way of a DQ. Presser-stalker was more than capable of holding her own a level above this one.

Race 14 - Non-Winners $4,000 Last 5 Starts

2 - BO MACH returns to action after 2-1/2 months off, and does so at a level below one where he closed for second in his most recent start. His Nov. 25 qualifier indicates fitness. 4 - INDIGO ART invades from Yonkers after sustaining wide gains past tired foes into third last out. Gains Nap; moves laterally. 6 - BICORNE HANOVER cleared, yielded and was shuffled in his debut for Bongiorno, but now gets an easier group on arrival. Class relief should aid; trip relief will aid all the more.