Harrah's Philadelphia: Analysis for Wednesday 11/11

Witherite - PHL (through Oct. 11 – 66 days)
Top Selections – Overall - Win %: 351 for 927
ITM: 648 for 927 - Win Dividends: $1,542.00 - $2 ROI: $1.66
Pick-4: 1,2,8/4,7/4,8/4,7 ($12)
Best Bet: Levator (Race 11)
Spot Play: Misty Memory N (Race 9)

Race 1 - Claiming $10,000

5 - SWEET TALKIN SATIN brushed and held his ground well on arrival last week. He's hit the exacta in his last three local tries for $10k, and he did so from a variety of trips. Keeps Nap. 4 - BILLION DOLLAR DAY drops back to the $10k level after a failed three-wide bid against tougher last week. Better cover or a clear stalking trip can help him achieve better results. 6 - OWN IT hasn't been worse than fourth in the last two months, and he consistently shows up for minor shares at healthy enough prices.

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Race 2 - F&M Claiming $10,000-$12,500

7 - ENGLISH ROSE N won three of her last seven at this level and consistently demonstrates ability to deliver and withstand sustained pressure. Last week, she duelled down Always Artistic after forcing a :27 4/5 third quarter. As strong as any. 4 - WORLDOFROCKZEE flattened out in her last at Rosecroft, but she did fine for second here four back from an earned pocket. Gains David Miller. 6 - ALWAYS ARTISTIC dug in gamely in defeat to English Rose N last week in what was her first start back in nearly a month. She may well be even sharper coming back, but variables abound. Mind value.

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Race 3 - F&M Non-Winners $7,400 Last 5 Starts

7 - CAVIART CHERIE drops for the third straight start after even finishes yielded her minor shares in top-level events as recently as mid-October. In her last, she was one-paced from the pocket behind a tough Its Mesmerise N. Can lift. 5 - MAGICAL MISTRESS was too far astern to threaten in her last few, but proved capable off cover in her last try at this level. Can similarly benefit from class relief. 1 - ROLLING GOING GONE brushed and parried pressure for a second-level win last week, and she showed closing ability for two in-the-money finishes before that last month. Nap's choice faces markedly tougher this time.

Race 4 - Claiming $10,000

6 - CATCH MY SHADOW won his last two attempts at this level, but since got roughed up in the breeze for $12.5k. Class and trip relief get the 15-time winner back in the win column. 5 - DONT JUDGE A BOOK just missed from earned pockets in all three starts since stepping down to $10k. Midpack draw and a lack of inside speed can help McCarthy land this one near the pace again. 1 - BETTER B ROLLING failed to sustain his wide bid in the slop 10 days a go, but he looked good in a going-away score at Pocono before that. Figures OK from this spot; should be near the action.

Race 5 - F&M Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

1 - WINNING WORDS was a no-match second to Marloe Hanover in the Simpson last month, and she's got the class edge in this group by virtue of that performance. I'm inclined to entirely forgive her Oct. 25 Pocono outing on account of her early exertion to clear from post 8. Pole keeps her much sharper to the end. 3 - AVAYA HANOVER came out of the same Simpson split and just missed Winning Words for second by a neck. Now, she returns after a two-move effort to obliterate bottom-level company at M1. 6 - RUN DEO RUN could be the biggest threat from off the pace in this group, especially noting steady gains to just miss in her last two at this course and class. 2 - SOMEWHERE NORTH can benefit from a better draw in her second ever start against winners, and 4 - ROLL WITH AMY is in a similar boat after riding cover to save fourth with similar at this level three weeks ago.

Race 6 - F&M Non-Winners $10,000 Last 5 Starts or 5 Races

4 - QUEEN LOSTRIS N improved at the end of her last three miles and hit the board on all three occasions. A similar group awaits the 19-time winner; her last two scores came over similar both five and 10 back. Consistently solid finisher. 5 - BRUNHILDA was one-paced from the pocket behind Crazy Cute last week. The class relief she experienced then helped, and there's more coming today. A threat from nearly any trip scenario; mind value on the second straight drop. 2 - ARDEN HANOVER crossed over for a pocket ride in N5L company in her last, and she chased to hold second at 14-1. Post relief helps the stakes-placed filly stay in striking range with more experienced rivals.

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Race 7 - F&M Non-Winners $14,000 Last 5 Starts, 8 Races or $115,000

8 - CRAZY CUTE seeks back-to-back wins at this level after pressing steadily and edging clear of similar last week. Post 8 didn't do her any favours the start before that, but on the whole, she's got the staying power and class to most readily contend. 2 - ABIGAIL DAWN had tons of pace but nowhere to use it in her last start until the last 150 yards, at which point she found a lane and gained three lengths. The closer draw and clearer sailing can help her find better results. 1 - BARON REMY was too far out of contention in her last two top-level races, but did remain even against that tougher company. Class relief and the pole both aid; mind value.

Race 8 - Non-Winners 1 Race

7 - WARRAWEE VICTOR hit the board in five of his last seven, all at this course and class. The closest he got to victory was six back, when he was just upended by a neck. Todd McCarthy was on then; he's back up today. 4 - KEYSTONE MICAH gains Nap on arrival from Dover, where he pressed into a good second against maidens there. That 1:55 mile shapes up well with this group. 6 - YUPYUPYUP has improved into a consistent minor player at this level, as is noted by four straight third-place finishes largely from midpack stalking trips. Solid exotic inclusion.

Race 9 - F&M Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts

4 - MISTY MEMORY N invades from PEI, where she amassed 6 wins in 14 starts through the season. Debuts for Peña amid the best form of anyone in the field. 8 - MARYMACISBACK gave way under pressure on the far turn on arrival last week, but did well to rally into second against similar company the start before. Wide draw is her main obstacle on the step down. 1 - STONEBRIDGE HONEY arrived from Freehold last Wednesday and stayed even with battle-tested $10k company at over 180-1. An even kinder group awaits today; pole keeps her close in a relatively paceless event.

Race 10 - Non-Winners 1 Race

7 - VITANI AS lifted three-wide off the home turn to claim a no-match second in her last after using similar late gains to reach the ticket twice before. She's coming into her own; easier await here. 4 - MOTHER LIN wasn't that hard used to clear from post 8 last out - it was just a :30 first quarter, after all. The rookie's been warming up since Engblom took over; midpack draw can aid. 6 - DOMINIC DE VIE pushed to the lead at head-stretch last out, only to be eclipsed by The Nun. Versatility is what helps him stand out in this group.

Race 11 - Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

1 - LEVATOR checked at the quarter pole when the leader broke in front of him, inherited the top spot, and held it at 9-1 last week after a commanding pillar-to-post score the week before. Easily the strongest and sharpest in this group. 5 - WORTHY OF HONOR broke on the lead last week and suffered broken equipment, but previous outings indicate ability to contend at this level. Mid-price player is well drawn to use his speed optimally. 7 - GROSSETO AS makes his local debut after a par of narrow defeats at M1 this fall. Minor stakes winner is versatile enough to overcome the wide draw, and Nap's aboard, too.

Race 12 - F&M Non-Winners $7,400 Last 5 Starts

3 - TOPVILLE ANGELINA worked into a tie for top honours in a second-level event two weeks ago. Following the win, she's forced up a level, but her overall class edge can carry her. 2 - DARKRSHADEOFPALE N pressed and flattened in her last after a strong front-end score at M1. Rises; inside draw keeps her close. 1 - ZOE ELLASEN returns from Yonkers after fighting gamely in defeat in three of her last four. She boasts the best form of any in this field right now.