Harrah's Philadelphia: Analysis for Sunday 12/13

2020 Statistics (through Nov. 15 – 86 days)
Top Selections – Overall:
Win %: 450 for 1,194 (37.7%) ITM: 847 for 1,194 (70.9%)
Win Dividends: $1,988.10 - $2 ROI: $1.67
Pick-4: 3,4,7/4,5/1,5/2,4,5,6 ($24)
Best Bet: Full Send (Race 8)
Spot Play: P L Munson (Race 5)

Race 1 - Claiming $20,000-$25,000

2 - WISE IMAGE held sway at this level two back before being outkicked for home by Revelry more recently. Looks to rebound for powerful connections; could figure as lone speed. 4 - REVELRY swept to the fore in the final yards on debut for Storer, and has hit the exacta in four of five at this level. Powerful closer does have the ability to set the pace too, if needed. 8 - DA MAGICIAN likewise has enjoyed good form at the level, having won three of five since rising from $15k company. He closed mightily to score last week, and he kept a pressing bid alive pretty well the start before. Wide draw is his prime obstacle.

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Race 2 - Claiming $15,000

4 - ZINNY MACH N pressed and faded last out, but fared a bit better at the level from more insulated trips in November outings. Reunited with Tetrick. 6 - TJ BLAST invades form Dover, where he pressed to best $17.5k foes three back. Credible value player boasts ample raw speed. 3 - NINE WAYS has been out of action for 3-1/2 months, but qualified OK twice for Storer after having had moderate success in $30k company at Pocono this summer. May need the start, but class relief can aid.

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Race 3 - Non-Winners $4,000 Last 5 Starts

5 - TACT TATE N drops in class for the third straight week, and he turned in a much improved effort in his last. Every chance to strike after brushing and maintaining the lead until the final yards last week. Morgan gets along well with the 23-time winner. 1 - TAP TAP TAP made his local debut on Sunday, but failed to fire after being angled wide out of midfield. Another pole can keep him close; gains Napolitano. 2 - SHANE ADAM returns from Yonkers following a refreshed closing effort from astern in his last. He shouldn't have as much ground to make up this time given the kinder draw. Wide leaving ability in high claimers and good chasing ability proven two levels above this one four starts back encourage mightily.

Race 4 - Claiming $20,000-$25,000

1 - RAZOR'S EDGE debuts for Renaud off the claim following front-end wins at his level in his last two. He can press or stalk just the same, note. Form is unrivalled in this group. 7 - IAMMRBRIGHTSIDE N is as credible a roughie option as you'll find anywhere on the card. He's hit the board in five straight, including his last four at this level. Wide draw does not concern, given his proven gate speed. Expect him to be amid the early fray yet again. 6 - COLE ON THE BEACH rises from a powerful $15k win in his lone start for Mosher. Gingras opts to stay with this one off that score, but how will the class hike affect him? Mind value, for certain.

Race 5 - Non-Winners $10,000 Last 5 Starts

7 - P L MUNSON is my price play of the afternoon, far and away. Last week, he pushed three-wide up the backstretch before levelling off, but he had every excuse to flatten after pacing a :26 1/5 third quarter and then travelled three-wide through the entire home turn. Heck of a mile from him on the step up to this level. Love, love, love him in this spot. 4 - JOESSTAR OF MIA A cleared, yielded, and just missed from a cosy pocket in the same race that P L Munson exits, but did far less work during the most strenuous part of the race. Very capable, but value won't be there with any likelihood. 6 - PYRO looks to rebound from a break on this switch back to three turns and return to a winning level, 3 - SADIQ HANOVER gains Tetrick after an even outing at this level, and 1 - OUTKAST BLUE CHIP figures well for at least a minor share with a kinder journey than he's been availed in his last two.

Race 6 - Claiming $15,000

2 - POLAK A worked his way to victory two back, but was softened up by sustained pressure amid an intensifying pace in his last. Reunited with Tetrick; can bounce. 7 - SHATTERED GLASS has done good work from off the pace in recent tries, having circled four-wide to just miss in his last and three-wide to win two back. Tougher await this stone-cold closer, but he's ramping up. McCarthy opts to stay aboard. 1 - ALTA SHELBY N pressed to just miss four back, and lifted off cover to just miss in his last. Proven presser-stalker benefits from the pole in a level where he's enjoyed consistent minor success.

Race 7 - Claiming $20,000-$25,000

4 - VORACITY won for Storer at this level three back, and twice since lifted off cover to hit the board. His form towers over the others; McCarthy remains on. 7 - HEREITTIZ hit the board in his last three starts for Wisher, who claimed him back out of an eighth-place finish last Sunday. Can rebound; wide draw can boost value. 3 - DRINKA BEER rose to this level last week and fought gamely after being headed a quarter from home. Versatility noted, as is consistent staying power.

Race 8 - Non-Winners 5 Races or $50,000

5 - FULL SEND worked exceptionally hard to claim the lead into the far turn at this level two weeks ago, but was reeled in by the mighty tough Buy In after doing so. Strength of his win at this level two back is indicative of his ability. Lots to like. 4 - ACTOR HANOVER figures to be sharper second out, but he didn't lack too badly in his return outing after a two-month spell. He didn't miss by much at all from an earned pocket, after all. 7 - FANTASTIC VOYAGE beat an upper-winners field at Dover three back, albeit the lower division of same. Since then, he earned mixed results against Maryland's best. Gains Dunn on arrival; potential price drifter.

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Race 9 - Claiming $10,000

5 - CATCH MY SHADOW seeks a third win in his last four tries at the level — and his runner-up effort last week may well have been his best in the current wave. After being headed a quarter out last week, he dug back in to only lose by a neck. As strong as any here. 1 - MYIDEALSON N was used to clear and then tired under pressure in his last. Before that, he was wide for much of the early part of the race and still managed to only narrowly miss. Pole can keep him close with ease. 3 - ROJAN'S WAY stayed even or better in three tries at this level, from all sorts of trip scenarios. He can press or stalk alike; live flow makes him a late threat.

Race 10 - Non-Winners $14,001 Last 5 Starts, 7 Races or $70,000

Today's feature offers a number of credible contenders, and the outcome will be largely dependent on how the race unfolds. 4 - ROCK THE TOWN sustained a three-wide push through the far turn to take second behind Vettel N in last week's edition of this race. He's been second in five straight outings, mostly from close tracking trips. Give him credit for the extra ground he covered last week - he improved into a :26 4/5 third split and kept on ticking after. Wow. 6 - SHNITZLEDOSOMETHIN hasn't appeared here often, but he's done well on the occasions he has. He's back in action off a brief spell; back class noted. Comparing this task to his Oct. 10 outing, he shouldn't have to work as hard early on for a close early spot. 5 - STATEMENT MADE A won locally three back via a second-over trip. Since then, he's stayed on OK for minors with tougher. Splits the difference today.

Race 11 - Claiming $15,000

6 - GUNSLINGER HILL drops to his last winning level after simply having no pop from the pocket in a $20k event. He tore it up at this level last month; can rebound. 5 - MELANIE'S TEDY pressed steadily into a :27 3/5 third quarter last week and maintained second. A kinder stalking trip enabled him to produce an 11-1 win three back on debut for these connections. 1 - UNION STATION was reeled in by Gunslinger Hill after a stout middle move in his last. The inside draw should minimise need for early exertion; past wins at the level encourage.

Race 12 - Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

3 - SWEET TEA gets a pass from her last at M1 owing to all the work she did through the middle half. Early fall form indicates she can compete. Far kinder circumstances await. 5 - HOTSPRINGS VOLO won at Oak Grove two back and chased for a no-match third in her local debut. Similar await; Kentucky lines prove ample raw speed. 6 - GERARD gets a pass from his last owing to his three-wide push to clear the lead and mid-turn pressure after that. Results in previous outings with similar prove his ability more truly.

Race 13 - Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts

3 - SOMEBEACH BARON set a blistering first six furlongs last week after clearing from post eight. Post and class relief can help him last longer; Nap opts on. 6 - NEWBIE worked to clear from post seven last week, and held until the final sixteenth. Before that, he improved belatedly to just miss at hefty odds. Plenty to like off those two outings; Dunn's choice. 5 - CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR invades from Freehold and gains George Napolitano on arrival. Lot of variables to consider.

Race 14 - Non-Winners $7,000 Last 5 Starts

6 - JACKAMINO gets another crack at this level after brushing and just being nabbed by Mr Censi last out. This one did the bulk of the work in that race, note. 7 - SEEYOU AT THEBEACH landed close and improved to save second last out. The week before, he sustained wide gains and held his ground OK in the stretch. Gingras' choice of three.