Harrah's Philadelphia: Analysis for Sunday 11/29

2020 Statistics (through Nov. 15 – 86 days)
Top Selections – Overall:
Win %: 450 for 1,194 (37.7%)
ITM: 847 for 1,194 (70.9%)
Win Dividends: $1,988.10 - $2 ROI: $1.67
Best Bet: Gunslinger Hill (Race 2)
Spot Play: Full Send (Race 8)
Pick-4: 3,5/5,6,8/4,8/1,4 ($12)

Race 1 - Claiming $20,000-$25,000

5 - JEREMES GENERAL was a no-match second to the dominant Iammrbrightside N last week after a pressing bid tired him two back and a pocket trip lifted him to victory the week before. Capable for sure with the right circumstances; good mid-price offering. 2 - WAGON MASTER isn't lacking for staying power, as is evident through his pressing and staking trips of late. Inside draw keeps him near the action. 4 - DA MAGICIAN ran into the tough Iammrbrightside last week after two straight $20k wins. Give him a pass for his two-move effort into an intensifying pace.

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Race 2 - Claiming $15,000

6 - GUNSLINGER HILL hit the exacta in his last four races, including an odds-on pillar-to-post win at this level in one start for Taneyhill two back. They're back together, and Tetrick's back on as well. 2 - COLE ON THE BEACH only missed Cheyenne Reijane by a length last out, but cleared from post 8 and yielded before chasing late. Significant post relief sharpens him in kind. 8 - SEVENS HOPE A got back in the win column last week, and now has won three of five at this level. Wide draw is his prime obstacle; he seems to fare best when just off the front flight in the early stages.

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Race 3 - Claiming $20,000-$25,000

2 - REVELRY gets away from Da Magician and Sometimesawinner - to whom he finished second in his last two starts - this week. Three starts ago, he sprinted off at will to win by nearly a dozen. His prime dangers line up in the two outermost slots. Slight edge. 7 - IAMMRBRIGHTSIDE N made easy work of his foes last Sunday, but past pacesetting efforts for this tag saw him struggle some in the late stages. Expect him beyond any shadow of a doubt to be part of the early pace yet again. 8 - ALEX TYE reached from an earned pocket last week, wired similar four back, and sustained an uncovered push to prevail five back. All of those wins were at this level; wide draw is his biggest obstacle.

Race 4 - Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts

2 - BEVANS CULLEN N returns to action off a strong enough qualifier last Tuesday. While winless on the year, the 14-time winner showed minor chasing ability in tougher fields during the summer. 4 - ROLLINLIKETHUNDER pressed well in his last two, and held third after levelling off on the drop to this level. Kinder journey can aid. 1 - SUCHASENSEOFHUMOR circled up into fourth last week after landing at the tail of the field. Similar foes await; extreme post relief makes his already good staying power count for so much more.

Race 5 - Claiming $20,000-$25,000

5 - RAZOR'S EDGE was but second at odds-on in his last two tries at the level, but turned in good efforts both times. Two back, he made steady ground off the home turn, and last out, he pressed hard into a clear lead before getting nabbed by Alex Tye. Nap's choice of three. 8 - MAJOR DECEPTION drops in from $30k events at Pocono, where he earned a win and a second-place finish in his last four. Forgive the outright misses on account of stern first-over tries. 7 - SOMETIMESAWINNER debuts for Temming after a solid run at this level for Mosher. He can set or stalk the pace alike, but the outside draw gives him an added challenge.

Race 6 - Claiming $15,000

4 - IYQ YQR debuts for Faurot after generally enjoying success in mid-level claimers. Likely pacesetter looks to bounce back, but has a clear form edge in this group. 7 - DRINKA BEER won well from the pocket last week after respectable chasing efforts before that. Wide draw can boost his value. 2 - POLAK A won for the 50th time in his career three weeks ago, and he did so against a tougher group. Class relief can help him redeem himself after being outpaced up the far side, and the kind draw can minimise his need for early exertion.

Race 7 - Non-Winners $7,000 Last 5 Starts

5 - THE FIRST STEP made two moves on Sunday - one to land in third, and a second to nudge the pace along through the far turn - in his third-place finish against tougher. Prime bet-back option steps down now off that respectable outing; Gingras remains on. 3 - MISTER OHANZEE A invades from Dover after brushing and evading similar competition. Post is favourable enough for him to be involved from the get-go on this lateral move. 1 - JK MUSICMAN was pinned in momentarily last week, but stayed on amply for third. The start before, he rallied off cover to just miss at eights. He figures to be able to stalk closely without much exertion to establish position.

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Race 8 - Non-Winners 5 Races or $50,000

A number of horses have proven themselves capable at this level, making for quite a showdown. 5 - BUY IN can win on the point or out of the pocket, and he most recently lifted off cover to just miss at M1. 6 - SEA OF LIFE set the pace in that same race, and held narrowly in his debut for Cullipher. Before that, he brushed boldly and evaded N3L foes here. 8 - FULL SEND has improved markedly in recent weeks, and threw down a :55 1/5 back half to win his first N5L start ... but he's got the outside post to contend with here. Any of the three can conceivably win - Warrawee Veloce, too, if the race plays out in his favour - but a lot will depend on how things develop.

Race 9 - Non-Winners $20,001 Last 5 Starts

8 - WESTERN JOE won a Meadowlands Preferred two back before being outmatched by thee best of the best again in the TVG. Far easier await the 28-time winner on his return to Philly. 4 - ROCKAPELO was DQed at Yonkers in his last for stepping out of bounds, but stalked and lifted his way to victory two and four back. Strong stayer splits the difference on the class ladder. 5 - CLOSING STATEMENT invades from The Meadows after Open fields there proved too tough. His last local effort was a resounding 1:49 1/5 win against just kinder. Can share here with his best.

Race 10 - Non-Winners $14,001 Last 5 Starts, 8 Races or $70,000

1 - SAWYER'S DESIRE invades from Hoosier after a statement 1:50 score in his seasonal finale there. Stakes winner is eligible via the N8L provision, and his strong schedule this year towers over many in this group. 4 - SOMEBADDUDE rises after scooting clear of fourth-level company last Sunday. Closing speed in recent outings is as strong as any in the field. 5 - CRIMSON AND CHROME also beat fourth-level types in his last, and he flew home down the grandstand side to beat Casual Cool on Nov. 15. He's in search of a third straight, and he's been steadily ramping up over the past few weeks.

Race 11 - Non-Winners 3 Races or $30,000

4 - GERARD was just nabbed by the tough Bang Bang Boinga last week, and how has hit the board in six of his last seven. He's clearly moving in the right direction; easier await today. 8 - RECIPROCALBLUECHIP overcame traffic to save third last week after exerting for a close early spot. Good stayer retains McCarthy; she was his choice of three. 7 - TRANQUILITY K drew off powerfully to break maiden two weeks ago, and now she takes on winners off the strength of that score. Minor stakes contender isn't lacking for potential, but variables abound.

Race 12 - Non-Winners $4,000 Last 5 Starts

4 - MY DELIGHT earned minor cheques in his last five starts, and worked hard in the late stages of his last two to do so. Class relief off those three-wide pushes - mild as they may have been - can help him achieve better. 5 - RANDOM HANOVER rose from a bottom-level win to pass tired foes from astern for fourth at this level last week. Midpack draw can get him closer from the get-go. 1 - PURE ROCK gets a big pass for last week's mile - he yielded for the pocket before then being shuffled terribly through the backstretch and far turn. Clear sailing in this kinder group is almost a certainty to aid.

Race 13 - Non-Winners $10,000 Last 5 Starts

5 - PRINCE OF TIDES cleared, yielded, and reached from the pocket on a drop in class at Pocono two weeks ago. He capably proved himself in significantly tougher fields in September and October. Plenty to like on this lateral move. 7 - RODEO ROCK was fourth or better in his last seven - all against tougher, all from a wide variety of trips. The 28-time winner may be winless on the year, but he has proven up for any challenge that faces him. This drop could be the key. 1 - SOMEWHERE FANCY swept to the lead with three furlongs to go last week, and now he rises after sprinting off boldly through the far turn. Post relief in part negates the class hike.

Race 14 - Non-Winners $2,500 Last 5 Starts

8 - WARRAWEE TOTAL made steady ground from the back for third in a second-level race on arrival last Friday. Wide draw doesn't concern, especially on the step down from such a respectable outing. 7 - SURF THE WEB yielded for the pocket and just missed on arrival last week. Similar await; wide draw will test him just a bit more. 1 - CRIUS N ROCK can benefit from the pole after circling wide to pass the tired on the drop to this level last week. Gains McCarthy.